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[VanMardigan]

What the heck is IKE? I live in the caribbean, and by our standards, 75mph winds ain't shit. But leave it to people to invent a new way this storm is way stronger because it is hitting the precious northeast.

The storm is dangerous because its going to hit some high population areas where people are less accustomed to hurricanes and thus less prepared. That's a horrible combo and Obama/FEMA need to do as much as possible to minimize the loss of life.

But as a hurricane, Sandy is weak sauce.

 

[syllogism]

What the heck is IKE? I live in the caribbean, and by our standards, 75mph winds ain't shit. But leave it to people to invent a new way this storm is way stronger because it is hitting the precious northeast.

The storm is dangerous because its going to hit some high population areas where people are less accustomed to hurricanes and thus less prepared. That's a horrible combo and Obama/FEMA need to do as much as possible to minimize the loss of life.

But as a hurricane, Sandy is weak sauce.

It's a function of the wind field mostly and Sandy is now the largest storm ever observed in the atlantic basin. The surge is the main threat, not the wind speed

Sandy's winds at a modest 2.6 on a scale of 0 to 6. However, the destructive potential of the storm surge was exceptionally high: 5.7 on a scale of 0 to 6. This is a higher destructive potential than any hurricane observed between 1969 - 2005, including Category 5 storms like Katrina, Rita, Wilma, Camille, and Andrew.

 

[Chumly]

Jesus, there really are more trolls than actual posters here. Get a grip, guys, this isn't the Breaking Bad thread.



As Nate observed this week, Obama is leading in the tracking poll average.

Well we have nothing better to do than troll ourselves

 

[sc0la]

I think The Economist does not have any influence at all over American conservatives.

Because the economist doesn't have an AM radio show or appear on fox news.

Pathetically, it does influence American liberals.

Eh, you can be liberal and enjoy the economist. You just need a good dry sense of humor, and a healthy dose of skepticism.

 

[Plinko]

Obama up 3 in Minnesota.

And that's why they bought ad time there.

 

[jamesinclair]

What the heck is IKE? I live in the caribbean, and by our standards, 75mph winds ain't shit. But leave it to people to invent a new way this storm is way stronger because it is hitting the precious northeast.

The storm is dangerous because its going to hit some high population areas where people are less accustomed to hurricanes and thus less prepared. That's a horrible combo and Obama/FEMA need to do as much as possible to minimize the loss of life.

But as a hurricane, Sandy is weak sauce.

How many times do hurricanes in the Caribbean collide with a strong cold front from canada, and do so during the full moon?

In some regions a 6 foot surge is big floods, and 9 foot storm surge is considered devastating.

Theyre expected 13+

 

[Amir0x]

Well we have nothing better to do than troll ourselves

i find it hilarious

it's 2012 and we have websites specifically dedicated to gathering all the data points so these sort of variations are less important, but certain sky fallers are still intent on utilizing one 'headline' poll to try to persuade everyone the world is different then the combination of 12 polls instead of 1.

I am not the least bit worried about November 6.

 

[ClovingWestbrook]

i find it hilarious

it's 2012 and we have websites specifically dedicated to gathering all the data points so these sort of variations are less important, but certain sky fallers are still intent on utilizing one 'headline' poll to try to persuade everyone the world is different then the combination of 12 polls instead of 1.

I am not the least bit worried about November 6.

Yep.

 

[Cloudy]

I am not the least bit worried about November 6.

I'm a little anxious but I'll panic when the gambling sites give Romney better odds

 

[SSGMUN10000]

I hate to say but these national polls have me a bit worried. Now I know that state polls are what is important but just getting a little uneasy. Is there a site that tracks all national polls?

 

[Cloudy]

NEWS FLASH: Our new Virginia poll for @Priorities2012 has Obama up 49%-46% w/ likely voters. 807 interviews, Thurs-Sat. Party ID +1 Dem

Bad News?

 

[The Librarian]

Bad News?

But the Politico poll!

 

[Red Blaster]

Priorities2012 is basically run by Stalin himself so we can throw it out

 

[Clevinger]

I hate to say but these national polls have me a bit worried. Now I know that state polls are what is important but just getting a little uneasy. Is there a site that tracks all national polls?

talkingpointsmemo and realclearpolitics

first site is left leaning, second is right leaning

 

[Cloudy]

Wow, I just saw a clip of Mandel calling Brown a liar to his face in a debate. Terrible politics cos folks don't like that

 

[gcubed]

Priorities2012 is basically run by Stalin himself so we can throw it out

meh, they paid for it, who did it? It doesn't matter who pays for a poll from a respected polling firm, they dont change the weighting

talkingpointsmemo and realclearpolitics

first site is left leaning, second is right leaning

calling RCP right leaning is generous. There are plenty of aggregate sites that don't ignore polls

 

[gkryhewy]

How many times do hurricanes in the Caribbean collide with a strong cold front from canada, and do so during the full moon?

In some regions a 6 foot surge is big floods, and 9 foot storm surge is considered devastating.

Theyre expected 13+

Interestingly, the current forecast is for barely a blip of flooding in Philadelphia. Irene last year was worse.

 

[Mac_Lane]

Bad News?

Tie!

 

[Cloudy]

I hate to say but these national polls have me a bit worried. Now I know that state polls are what is important but just getting a little uneasy. Is there a site that tracks all national polls?

Pollster.com is the best. They take ALL polls. RCP is a right-wing site and they exclude a lot of polls. TPM does some weird stuff with poll delay

 

[el retorno]

Bad News?

but what about the storm?!!?

 

[markatisu]

LOL @ a poll showing MN tightening, has anyone ever been to MN?!?! With the exception of Bachmann's district the whole state is almost unanimously blue or at the worst moderate.

I would believe WI or IA would turn red before I believe MN would turn red and IA and WI are not turning red.

 

[Cloudy]

Good Gallup for Obama

Approval 48-48 (net +3)
RV 48-47 O (R-1)
LV 50-46 R (R-1)

 

[786110]

Mark Halperin ‏@MarkHalperin

Philly Inquirer poll of likely voters in Pennsylvania: Obama 49%, Romney 43%

 

[Chumly]

What the heck is IKE? I live in the caribbean, and by our standards, 75mph winds ain't shit. But leave it to people to invent a new way this storm is way stronger because it is hitting the precious northeast.

The storm is dangerous because its going to hit some high population areas where people are less accustomed to hurricanes and thus less prepared. That's a horrible combo and Obama/FEMA need to do as much as possible to minimize the loss of life.

But as a hurricane, Sandy is weak sauce.

The storm is dangerous because its unheard of for the area its going to hit. An October storm with this type of storm surge and wind field is record breaking. We know its not going to have the concentrated winds like Caribbean storms but it is most likely going to be devastating.

 

[PhoenixDark]

Wow, I just saw a clip of Mandel calling Brown a liar to his face in a debate. Terrible politics cos folks don't like that

What a disaster. Seriously, this guy has been falling upwards his entire life. Very decorated military service, House of Representatives, treasurer. He must have friends in high places because dude seems like an incompetent child. Even republicans like ToxicAdam can vote for him

 

[norinrad]

Good Gallup for Obama

Approval 48-48 (net +3)
RV 48-47 O (R-1)
LV 50-46 R (R-1)

Bad news for Barry

 

[OmniOne]

So I was looking at 538 and noticed the model has an outcome of obama winning 332 EV's with a 16% probability, which is higher than any other outcome. How's is his model seeing that when it is currently projecting Romney as most likely to win Florida. Shouldn't 303 be the highest probability considering the current projection?

 

[gcubed]

Interestingly, the current forecast is for barely a blip of flooding in Philadelphia. Irene last year was worse.

i think we established that Philly will have no problems. The sustained wind seems to be higher and for a longer period of time than Irene, but it seems to be much less rain/water

 

[XenodudeX]

Mark Halperin ‏@MarkHalperin

Philly Inquirer poll of likely voters in Pennsylvania: Obama 49%, Romney 43%

Obama can't break 50%. Bad news.

 

[Amir0x]

Yep.

heh i like how the second I mention this, a good poll comes out for Obama in Virginia.

Using the chicken little scenario

welp this race is over Obama has won Virginia he could win the white house without Ohio if he has virginia coloroda homg

 

[Chumly]

i think we established that Philly will have no problems. The sustained wind seems to be higher and for a longer period of time than Irene, but it seems to be much less rain/water

The biggest problem will be the storm surge which should be significantly more than Irene's and over a much bigger area.

 

[el retorno]

Mark Halperin ‏@MarkHalperin

Philly Inquirer poll of likely voters in Pennsylvania: Obama 49%, Romney 43%

Tie? I heard biden is going.

 

[airmangataosenai]

Obama leading among registered voters again on Gallup?
DataFistPump.gif

 

[ClovingWestbrook]

Good Gallup for Obama

Approval 48-48 (net +3)
RV 48-47 O (R-1)
LV 50-46 R (R-1)

Bu bu bu

 

[TacticalFox88]

Okay, now this storm is pissing me off. As cold as this might be, why the fuck couldn't' this shit hit in the middle of November? The future of the country is at stake FFS!

 

[gcubed]

The biggest problem will be the storm surge which should be significantly more than Irene's and over a much bigger area.

that flood prediction for the major river in Philly is much less than irene

 

[ClovingWestbrook]

heh i like how the second I mention this, a good poll comes out for Obama in Virginia.

Using the chicken little scenario

welp this race is over Obama has won Virginia he could win the white house without Ohio if he has virginia coloroda homg

I'm usially quite the pessimist but the facts are that Obama is leading in every poll for those swing states that e actually needs. Thats all I need to know.

 

[Manmademan]

heh i like how the second I mention this, a good poll comes out for Obama in Virginia.

Using the chicken little scenario

welp this race is over Obama has won Virginia he could win the white house without Ohio if he has virginia coloroda homg

but virginia is going to be washed away by the storm of the century a week before the election! A week isn't enough time for dems to get to the polls!

might as well just give romney the nomination right now.

 

[gkryhewy]

The biggest problem will be the storm surge which should be significantly more than Irene's and over a much bigger area.

The chart I just posted is the storm surge.

 

[markatisu]

I know we are all laughing at the storm scenario, but can you imagine the delicious tears if the older GOP voters decide to stay home because they are unenthused over Romney and the bad weather. Romney ends up losing even worse then he already will

 

[Manmademan]

that flood prediction for the major river in Philly is much less than irene

I had this discussion yesterday. Sandy is far less of a threat than Irene, Floyd, OR Gloria- all of which did jack shit to the infrastructure/power grid.

at worst it's a couple of downed trees, mostly in the burbs which (surprise!) lean R.

But some people insist on being brainwashed by their local news and think this is going to be the katrina of the northeast.

 

[Clevinger]

Obama leading among registered voters again on Gallup?
DataFistPump.gif

Who cares if they're not voting? Instead of giving them a fist pump, give em a fist punch and tell those assholes to go vote.

 

[CaptainSchwann]

So when is the projected time this storm is supposed to hit?

 

[SSGMUN10000]

I figure I ask you guys here. Me and a co-worker briefly discuss politics and pretty much knew he was a republican. Anyways he was trying to tell me some bs about the federal reserve. How it is corrupt or privately owned and wants to get rid of it. He wanted me to watch this youtube film called The American Dream. Don't know much about the reserve and from past briefly reading isn't this some conspiracy theory that right has come up with?

 

[airmangataosenai]

The fact that Obama doesn't even need either Ohio or Virginia anymore to have a viable path to 270 makes me much more comfortable too. Just holding on to Iowa, Colorado, and New Hampshire alone are enough.

 

[gcubed]

I had this discussion yesterday. Sandy is far less of a threat than Irene, Floyd, OR Gloria- all of which did jack shit to the infrastructure/power grid.

at worst it's a couple of downed trees, mostly in the burbs which (surprise!) lean R.

But some people insist on being brainwashed by their local news and think this is going to be the katrina of the northeast.

i was so overprepared for irene that im soured on preparation for sandy. I can walk to multiple bars and grocery stores. I have batteries and will charge everything but, meh. I'll be drinking, my boss sent me an email to work from home M/Tue because i take a trolley to work... which doesnt play nice high winds

 

[Amir0x]

but virginia is going to be washed away by the storm of the century a week before the election! A week isn't enough time for dems to get to the polls!

might as well just give romney the nomination right now.

the nomination? he already has the nomination!

oh shit does that mean the streams have crossed after Hurricane Sandy!?

 

[Chumly]

The chart I just posted is the storm surge.

Wasn't talking about Philly directly

 

[ClovingWestbrook]

The fact that Obama doesn't even need either Ohio or Virginia anymore to have a viable path to 270 makes me much more comfortable too. Just holding on to Iowa, Colorado, and New Hampshire alone are enough.

But THE STORM OF THE CENTURY!!!

 

[Particle Physicist]

I figure I ask you guys here. Me and a co-worker briefly discuss politics and pretty much knew he was a republican. Anyways he was trying to tell me some bs about the federal reserve. How it is corrupt or privately owned and wants to get rid of it. He wanted me to watch this youtube film called The American Dream. Don't know much about the reserve and from past briefly reading isn't this some conspiracy theory that right has come up with?

Republican crying about something that is privately owned? lol

sounds like a ron paul faux-libertarian.