Normally agree with you, but not sure I agree here.
I think Doom will easily clear 2 million on PS5 and a lot of Xbox games are going to have success there.
That being said, it's a packed year even without GTA6 and already coming off from Kingdom Come Deliverance 2 and Monster Hunter Wilds and I think it would be silly to assume that every game coming out this year has already been announced. Wouldn't be surprised if we got a shadow drop of God of War Greek Saga remastered in March or a release shortly thereafter. Obviously, anything from October on is the danger zone for publishers.
TBD
Death Stranding 2
Ghost of Yotei
Age of Empire 2
March
MLB The Show 25
WWE 2K25
The First Berserker
Assassin's Creed Shadows
April
Expedition 33
Days Gone Remastered
Forza Horizon 5
Age of Mythology
May
Capcom Fighting Collection 2
Doom Dark Ages
Elden Ring Nightreign
Lost Soul Aside
Onimusha 2 Remaster
August
Metal Gear Solid Delta
Shinobi
September
Hell is Us
Personally throw in Lunar and Suikoden and this year is kind of nuts. So yeah, there's a lot of competition among all publishers.