I fucking love this post.
PoliGAF 2016 |OT12| The last days of the Republic
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A better graph to identify what's happening in Iowa in relation to 12:
Oh, if someone else is doing this I'll abandon my document. Link?
Angry Grimace
Two cannibals are eating a clown. One turns to the other and says "does something taste funny to you?"
should I start bedwetting?
Unless Hillary is standing out on the beach in NW Florida, no.
StopMakingSense
Member
should I start bedwetting?
Do you not know your cardinal directions?
bangbang i'm a timpani
Banned
A better graph to identify what's happening in Iowa in relation to 12:
gotta love these picks we have for president....
Shep with some advice to Drudge followers suddenly convinced that the hurricane isn't gonna get 'em. He seems mad.
Bam Chowder
Member
Just voted for that question - I want to see Trump squirm
He actually won that state by 26%. I think she will get beat trump by a margin between 30% and 35% most likely and maybe by as high as 40% if she is lucky.
aspiegamer
Member
Drudge is being WTFdangerous to public safety by trying to promote the idea the storm isn't as powerful as officially billed. They're trying to make meteorological claims based on amateur observations and some apparent duty to get people to think this isn't as serious as it is. This is criminally dangerous.
Yeah, not all of the data is consistent with all the rest. And yeah it's true that the aircraft haven't found what the billed intensity is. This shit happens sometimes. Hell, even I'm scratching my head a little. There are several relatively reliable ways to come up with an intensity estimate. It's asking a lot for them to all match up. Like really. If, say, all but 1 are in agreement, that's pretty high confidence. Intensity also means FAR more than just a peak wind speed. To dismiss all of it because it's a government agency collecting the info is SIIIIIIIIGH.
If Drudge wants to come up with its own fleet of custom planes and equipment for hurricane hunting they're more than welcome to! They'll die, but I guess no one can stop them from trying! Or just leave it to the Air Force squadron that exists specifically to handle this stuff. It's a military operation, officially! Dare Drudge question our armed forces?
...Okay I'm done ranting. I can tolerate gossip of armchair hurricane observing but to openly scream about how the government is just trying to terrify us is a new level of stupid I don't think I've ever witnessed.
Yeah, not all of the data is consistent with all the rest. And yeah it's true that the aircraft haven't found what the billed intensity is. This shit happens sometimes. Hell, even I'm scratching my head a little. There are several relatively reliable ways to come up with an intensity estimate. It's asking a lot for them to all match up. Like really. If, say, all but 1 are in agreement, that's pretty high confidence. Intensity also means FAR more than just a peak wind speed. To dismiss all of it because it's a government agency collecting the info is SIIIIIIIIGH.
If Drudge wants to come up with its own fleet of custom planes and equipment for hurricane hunting they're more than welcome to! They'll die, but I guess no one can stop them from trying! Or just leave it to the Air Force squadron that exists specifically to handle this stuff. It's a military operation, officially! Dare Drudge question our armed forces?
...Okay I'm done ranting. I can tolerate gossip of armchair hurricane observing but to openly scream about how the government is just trying to terrify us is a new level of stupid I don't think I've ever witnessed.
I Miss Ham Rove soooooooo much.Can we get another meltdown of everyone's favorite political strategist?
banefirelord
Banned
Goddam, that's brutal.
Do you simply choose to ignore the positive results around the rest of the country?
whyamihere
Banned
Natural selection at work
*Rolls eyes*
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
I don't know if Jacksonville is still lean R this election cycle even though it was in 2012.
More like a 1% election day boost or less(most likely in trump's case) if this election follows the canadian federal election on november 8th..
This shows the history of polling for the conservative party(the blue line) and the other parties in the last federal election in Canada.
I don't think trump will get an election day boost at all at this point and if he does it will be really really tiny and it will probably be cancelled out by whatever election day boost hilary gets.
whyamihere
Banned
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Trump is retweeting this poll:
Rmoney won Tennessee by 20.
And Hillary hasn't even unleashed Gore yet (lol).
Rmoney won Tennessee by 20.
And Hillary hasn't even unleashed Gore yet (lol).
whyamihere
Banned
Me neither, but if we're going to be fair, the damage would be much more evenly distributed against both parties than, say, south Florida.
User 463088
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PublicPolicyPollingVerified account
‏@ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling Retweeted Richard Sharpe
Probably would have been an 8-9 11 days ago, just a 5-6 now
Dubbedinenglish
Banned
Wolf hurricane coverage is damn hype.
whyamihere
Banned
Guessing a tie. Maybe up by 1.
Probably tied or +/- 1 in either direction
BravesCountry
Banned
I have a feeling Hillary brings up the Central Park 5 during the debate if there is a race or "law and order" question. Trump even this past week still refused to admit they are innocent when asked about it by CNN.
User 463088
Banned
I'm going to say Hillary by 2. GO BIG or go home
Storm is going to be hitting NE florida the hardest:
(pic based on 2012 prez election)
i was genuinely wondering who this would affect more. thanks
I half agree! Hillary is an excellent leader and will do a great job of advancing progressive causes, protecting America, and continuing the free trade expansion that has enriched all Americans and lifted millions worldwide out of poverty.
Unfortunately Trump is a Nazi.
But 50% isn't bad.*
* 50% is usually considered bad.
whyamihere
Banned
Paywall, but, this headline:
Fuck yes. It will be the ultimate payback for his witch hunts during Obama's term.
NYCmetsfan
Banned
The map isn't perfect because there are a lot of dems in the red counties (especially volusia county where Daytona Beach is, where there's a big HBU https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bethune-Cookman_University)
This is the area where florida elections are decided
This is the area where florida elections are decided
being gop in california has gotta be a tough life to lead.
whyamihere
Banned
The map isn't perfect because there are a lot of dems in the red counties
This is the area where florida elections are decided
There's a different, though, between a heavily Dem area being affected and a general issue that hits both types of voters similarly.
NYCmetsfan
Banned
true and AA areas of in the more affected areas are more inland and not right on the beach (because of racial economic disparities) but its not as if dems aren't getting hit
And if this hits jacksonville there are a large number of dem votes there
Edit: I don't mean to sound like electorial politics are more important than peoples lives. My mom lives in orlando and I'm obviously concerned about the storm
callhitman
Member
User 463088
Banned
The map isn't perfect because there are a lot of dems in the red counties (especially volusia county where Daytona Beach is, where there's a big HBU https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bethune-Cookman_University)
This is the area where florida elections are decided
Well, yes, but if it affects a swing area it has the potential to be problematic for both sides. But, like, the whole topic is kind of tacky, I think, since we're talking about people who may lose their homes and their lives. But, I understand why it's a relevant conversation to have.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Trump and Hillary are going to make the race about the Central Park Five next week and oh my god, I can't believe Trump's so stupid as to do this.
http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/06/politics/reality-check-donald-trump-central-park-5/index.html
http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/06/politics/reality-check-donald-trump-central-park-5/index.html
NYCmetsfan
Banned
I mean I think its fair to discuss. Just don't cheerlead.
Wolf Hurricane sounds like a cool final attack from Yu Yu Hakusho.
RastaMentality
Banned
Go all in on this at the debate, Hill.
I mean, that's good and all, but it's still too small to let us win Georgia. Some day, sure. But not now.
IggyChooChoo
Member
I've been wondering why it never seems to come up. That would make sense.
User 463088
Banned
@ppppolls
One under covered reason Hillary has struggled: sheer sexism. 40% of Trump voters in OH say country is inherently better off w/ a male POTUS
LITERALLY THE WORST.
One under covered reason Hillary has struggled: sheer sexism. 40% of Trump voters in OH say country is inherently better off w/ a male POTUS
LITERALLY THE WORST.
I've never seen someone so excited to be sitting in the middle of a potentially deadly hurricane before:
https://www.periscope.tv/Jeff_Piotrowski/1YqxoXlOYMXKv#
Entertaining though
https://www.periscope.tv/Jeff_Piotrowski/1YqxoXlOYMXKv#
Entertaining though
whyamihere
Banned
A loaded question, but.
RustyNails
Member
User 463088
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I beat you. Bigly.
"For someone who touts "Law and Order" as a staple of his campaign, Donald sure likes to deny justice for the innocent due to his personal biases."
Please Hillary.
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