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PoliGAF 2015-2016 |OT3| If someone named PhoenixDark leaves your party, call the cops
- Thread starter Diablos
- Start date
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Veritigo_X
Member
Aaron Strife
Banned
Damn, just think of how many senators and representatives we could get from Texas if the Latino vote were better mobilized.
Jack Remington
Banned
Just in case anyone else is curious:
You can buy Yes or No shares on an outcome. Each share will be priced somewhere between 1 cent and 99 cents. All shares can either resolve to $1 or $0. If you buy a Yes share and that thing happens (Trump winning New Hampshire), every yes share pays out at $1 and they add money to your account, and if he doesn't win New Hampshire, every share is worth $0 and they subtract money from your account.
Buying No shares works the same way, except it's less risky because the outcome is less specific. For example, buying a No share on Christie winning New Hampshire resolves to $1 if anyone but Christie wins the state. As a result, No shares are usually more expensive than Yes shares if the outcome is still in doubt.
In a market with lots of buyers and sellers, Yes and No prices will match each other closely. So if a Yes share of Trump in New Hampshire costs 55c, a No share will cost around 45c. This is because for every Yes share on the market, someone else is holding a corresponding No share. So if an event starts looking more likely to happen and people start bidding up Yes shares, the price of No shares will decrease, and vice versa.
One area where it gets more complex is risk-based pricing. Let's say you buy a share of Christie No in New Hampshire for 90c. Now you want to buy a Rubio No share in New Hampshire, which is priced at 85c. They won't actually debit your account 85 cents for the Rubio share. It will be somewhat less than that, because only one outcome can resolve to Yes, so there's no way you can lose money on both bets. There's a formula that calculates your total risk and debits your account accordingly.
I find white people totally irrational about de Blasio. My parents are totally hipster liberal wack jobs and they blame de Blasio for making ny less safe and for creating more homeless people despite every stat suggesting otherwise. I don't know if it's because his personality is grating or if the republican media has just been so successful but people haaaaate him.
A Human Becoming
More than a Member
No new Iowa poll came out, so it must be due to weight change in the past ones.
QuiteWhittle
Member
It sort of reminds me of the hysteria that comes with a progressive in the executive, and not unlike what's happening with Corbyn in the UK (obviously not an apples to apples comparison). The press does an amazing job tearing down progressives.
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
what did Bill do to hurt white voters?
Stopped hassling black people, basically
Less glibly--a very real homeless problem and a largely imagined increase in crime has led to the perception that NYC isn't as Disney-riffic as it's been for the last decade and a half
I honestly don't get why he isn't more popular. He's done a lot of good stuff. Could just be the feud with Cuomo.
The color coding on those is fucking me up. Why use "skin tones" instead of brights? Especially if you aren't going to "match" them lol
Jack Remington
Banned
I blame police culture, actually.
Seems like the police threw a massive tantrum when De Blasio so much as suggested that there might be a problem with excessive force.
My mom (who commutes through port authority every day-- problem #1) is mad that a homeless village has popped up on the subway grates outside of the station because of the heat ventilation. white people, no matter how progressive and how liberal, seriously have no patience or empathy for people tucking up their commutes. Kinda weird. It's like a racial trigger issue.
Like mom. They live outside. But I'm sure I'd be angry too. Once I hit someone with my umbrella gently when they were sprawled out on the subway steps. Don't sit on the godsamn steps omg.
Like mom. They live outside. But I'm sure I'd be angry too. Once I hit someone with my umbrella gently when they were sprawled out on the subway steps. Don't sit on the godsamn steps omg.
They absolutely did and they are still a bit of a sacred cow among white New Yorkers of a certain age despite everything that's happened.
Having an African-american wife and admitting to giving his kids the "careful around cops" talk probably didn't help either.
Despite all that, I'm still pretty confident he'll win reelection when the time comes.
Yea, he stopped bussing out the homeless and decided to try and tackle the issue head on instead of sending them all to Jersey.
PantherLotus
Professional Schmuck
LOL this exactly. Then again matching them up could go really, really wrong. Just go with the rainbow, fellas. red orange (not yellow!) green blue purple
it ain't hard.
User 463088
Banned
Red could be problematic too.
Green / blue is susceptible to confusion with certain forms of color blindness but yes, use brights pls.
Veritigo_X
Member
PALIN WATCH
https://twitter.com/SopanDeb/status/689551774659825666
Sopan Deb ‏@SopanDeb
Sarah Palin's PAC sending out mailers: "A New Endorsement?"
https://twitter.com/SopanDeb/status/689551774659825666
Wait, is the Trump/Palin thing now?
User 463088
Banned
RastaMentality
Banned
This Long Islander in my dorm keeps saying how everyone loathes De Blasio in NY and everyone loved Bloomberg. But he's obviously only surrounded by white people.
Veritigo_X
Member
The rally starts at 5 CST (6 EST). Doors are opening now.
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/donald...cement-with-special-guest-tickets-20697947117
Of course he's from Long Island :lol
Your assumption is correct, also he isn't even in a part of the state deBlasio controls. Long Island is a completely different thing than NYC.
Oh boy oh boy oh boy
I repudiate this, it looks perfectly cromulent to me
That's not Jordan Schlansky
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
This is literally not possible. Are you still staring at the tops of buildings as you walk around?
Depends on what part of the city he frequents. Outside parts of Midtown, there aren't many homeless people laying around.
Aww yes
RastaMentality
Banned
This is everything I needed.
Veritigo_X
Member
Getting ready to watch Trump's PredictIt shares skyrocket again.
Oh, I'm gonna serve crow. I'm gonna serve that crow and then when Trump wins the nomination I'm gonna buy a round of beers for NYCPoliGAF with my winnings.
God, I wish I had put down as much a Cerium had.
User 463088
Banned
Could you make mine Peanut Butter vodka? It's kinda my thing.
I live in Brooklyn and went to the natural history museum the other day.
Yea, there's no issue with the homeless on the streets in the boroughs that aren't Manhattan and even in Manhattan it's just a thing in parts of midtown. It's not some insane menace, we're just not bussing them out of the city anymore so rich people have to look at them on occasion.
Sure, what the hell.
Veritigo_X
Member
[insert hipster joke]
Roland_Gunner
Member
I was in Manhattan for a week and Brooklyn for a couple of days and saw way fewer homeless people than downtown Austin.
There's a small story out about Jeb mispronouncing Obama's daughter's name. It's totally nothing. But if I were the president, I wouldn't want any politician ever even mentioning my daughter's name. Like, why is Jeb Bush, some old white dude running on the republican side even saying my daughter's name? It's odd, has no relevance to anything, and is borderline creepy. Am I alone in thinking this?
Black Mamba
Member
My trip last month to [mostly] Manhattan surprised me. I hadn't been since '07 and the previous 2 times were '05 and as a kid in I think '96.
I barely saw any homeless people. In fact, I had to walk around the city a bit just to give away my leftover food we couldn't keep (no fridge in our hotel).
NY still has the people who come on the Subway begging for money yet wearing brand new Nikes (I don't bother with these people) but the amount of actual homeless and destitute people in the city has plummeted by my personal experiences. Compared to 1996, Manhattan is almost a different city. I remember being told we couldn't go places at night back then!
over Xmas I couldn't even find them in most of midtown! Only near the Macy's did I find any homeless at all. The streets were very clean and you seriously had to look for the homeless to find them at that time.
I live in BK, and used to live in Manhattan - the city is an adult theme park for the most part.
Awesome.
It is appropriate that I had this on in the background when I read this (srs):
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ie4SV1vMKDs
Black Mamba
Member
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