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PoliGAF 2015-2016 |OT3| If someone named PhoenixDark leaves your party, call the cops
- Thread starter Diablos
- Start date
- Status
I can't wait for the salt!
Cesare Borgia
Banned
Entrance polls don't matter much in a caucus. They're arguing and debating inside those precincts. The fact that Trump doesn't have many precinct captains tells me that a smart campaign could steal his supporters.
I'm sinking or sailing with the Cruz ship fellas.
I'm sinking or sailing with the Cruz ship fellas.
Poodlestrike
Banned
There seems to be a direct correlation between how well you know Cruz and how much you hate him, though.
That kind of sheer personal unlikeability can only be downplayed so much.
disastermouse
Banned
This is exciting! I'm glad I get to share this with all of you!
I'm watching MSNBC...so...dunno how that changes things.
I'm watching MSNBC...so...dunno how that changes things.
Manmademan
Member
nah. Trump's supporters were incredibly high in their "made up their mind" category. they're largely not persuadable, which makes sense since this is largely a personality campaign for him.
Even Ted Cruz can't "out asshole" donald trump. you're not going to be able to sway those people by convincing them ted cuz loves jesus more, or marco rubio has a better plan with hispanics.
If any of ya'll are interested, I found these two sites to be good for my neurosis.
Dems - https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state
GOP - https://www.iagopcaucuses.com/#/state
Dems - https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state
GOP - https://www.iagopcaucuses.com/#/state
I mean, if Sanders can't even get the Paul numbers to start out with...
Tesseract
Banned
sanders is a snowball, paul was an egg
Poodlestrike
Banned
One of them melts in the heat, the other becomes delicious?
TumblingHippo
Member
Look at me
Spendin' my money,
Why's no one paying attention to me?
Oh Jeb; Mmm Jeb!
Just forget
My governor's seat,
Let's aim for that dynasty repeat!
Oh Jeb; Mmm Jeb!
Please forget my brother's face,
Let me win the president's race,
One more poll no time to waste!
Oh Jeb; Oooo Jeb!
Spendin' my money,
Why's no one paying attention to me?
Oh Jeb; Mmm Jeb!
Just forget
My governor's seat,
Let's aim for that dynasty repeat!
Oh Jeb; Mmm Jeb!
Please forget my brother's face,
Let me win the president's race,
One more poll no time to waste!
Oh Jeb; Oooo Jeb!
User 463088
Banned
Current numbers for Dem side
52 Hillary
44 Bernie
2 Martin
4% reporting per CNN.
52 Hillary
44 Bernie
2 Martin
4% reporting per CNN.
disastermouse
Banned
I do agree Cruz is as dangerous as Trump but like him he's far too bigoted to have a chance in the general.
I know its not statistically significant, I'm diablosing.
ugaboga232
Member
Ben Carson is rewriting history about founding fathers and when they added Under God in the pledge of allegiance. Too bad no one knows or cares about the reality.
disastermouse
Banned
Officerrob
Banned
Manmademan
Member
RustyNails
Member
Holy crap, Marco Rubio is the dark horse. 21% of evangelical (vs 28% for Cruz)
ugaboga232
Member
Looks like sanders lost, I think he's come pretty far since he declared. Maybe if he had another month 
GGWP lets hope Chillary funds NIH more
GGWP lets hope Chillary funds NIH more
I am scared
And_Gignac
Member
Clinton won. I just hope Sanders can pull of a 48% - 52%
Finding it hard since her strongholds are not even reporting yet.
Finding it hard since her strongholds are not even reporting yet.
User 463088
Banned
MSNBC currently has 8% in and saying 53/46.
ugaboga232
Member
And_Gignac
Member
All those Clintonians cheers. Literally satanic sounds.
Why not just use this website? https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state
Most up to date and auto refreshes.
10% in with
Clinton 52.8%
Sanders 46.6%
O'Malley (0.6%) is in a dead heat with Uncommitted (0.1%)
User 463088
Banned
Yes.
And I'm not cheering yet. I'm still nervous. I'm feeling better but I'm not ready to say anything yet. I'm hopeful.
From Poligaf member diablos, I believe one definition is: "To speculate, theorise, or panic based on no or irrational evidence."
Captain Pants
Killed by a goddamned Dredgeling
If those numbers hold, I feel like the polling was way off for Iowa Dems.
Manmademan
Member
1.) it's early
2.) the results are delegate counts, not popular vote. Polls can't and won't track delegate count results, only raw popular vote. its entirely possible for the polls to have been correct, but for sanders supporters to be concentrated in areas where their effect is essentially wasted.
Captain Pants
Killed by a goddamned Dredgeling
That makes sense. I'm pretty happy either way, but rooting for Hillary.
ugaboga232
Member
Martin Omalley breaks every statistical model and comes ahead in the 80% of precincts not reporting.
Jeb wins the republican as well.
Your face when?
Jeb wins the republican as well.
Your face when?
?:^V
User 463088
Banned
Again, this isn't like a primary. Even if a caucus has 6 delegates, and Bernie takes 60% of the vote, he's not going to net a ton even among the bigger areas.
He also should be doing better in places like Black Hawk County and a few other Obama places where he's not.
Manmademan
Member
takes a while for results to actually report in once the caucus is over. They're using an app this year, 2012 there was some kind of crazy dial in phone system.
My boy. Gilmentum incoming. Gilmore's not gonna take it.
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