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PoliGAF 2015-2016 |OT3| If someone named PhoenixDark leaves your party, call the cops

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V

Veritigo_X

Member
At this point in 2012 campaigns spent a total of $35M on advertisements. The biggest spenders being Romney ($8.5M) and Obama ($7.4M). The 2016 election is currently at $111M spent with the Bush campaign spending more than what the entire field spend at this point in 2012 at $38.1M.

ad_spending_c433718fc7f5044042988d24ef9557ae.nbcnews-ux-2880-1000.jpg


Top ad spenders in the 2016 race - so far


  • Team Bush: $38.1 million ($37M from Right to Rise Super PAC, $1.1 million from campaign)
  • Team Rubio: $17.8 million ($8.8M from 501c4, $6M from campaign, $3M from Super PAC)
  • Team Clinton: $12.2 million ($12M from campaign, $200K from Super PAC)
  • Team Kasich: $9.1 million (all from two outside groups)
  • Team Christie: $8.1 million ($7.7M from Super PAC, $400K from campaign)
  • Team Sanders: $7.6 million (all from campaign)
  • Team Carson: $3.2 million ($3M from campaign, $184K from Super PAC
  • Team Cruz: $1.3 million ($965K from campaign, rest from outside groups)
  • Team Paul: $1.0 million ($875K from Super PAC, $125K from campaign)
  • Team Fiorina: $1.0 million (all from Super PAC)
  • Team O'Malley: $219,000 (all from Super PAC)
  • Team Trump: $217,000 (all from campaign)
Click to expand...

Trump and Cruz still spending very little.

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/campaign-ad-spending-tops-111-million-2015-n484571
 
Q

QuiteWhittle

Member
In new audio, officer, security guard say NM Gov. Martinez appears ‘inebriated
...
A security agent, speaking to the police sergeant, says it is his first time dealing with such a situation in the month and a half he worked there.

“I never expected the first time it would be the governor,” the security agent said.

“I can tell she is…”

“Inebriated,” the officer finishes.
Click to expand...

Hilarious. There goes a potential GOP running mate I guess.
 
U

User 463088

Banned
Not really poli related, but I just got word that the people I interviewed with yesterday want to extend an offer to me!

So, that means that I'm employed again. I fully want to lower my taxes, gut Obummercare, cut food stamps and every entitlement program in existence.
 
R

RustyNails

Member
adam387 said:
Not really poli related, but I just got word that the people I interviewed with yesterday want to extend an offer to me!

So, that means that I'm employed again. I fully want to lower my taxes, gut Obummercare, cut food stamps and every entitlement program in existence.
Click to expand...
Nice work dude. I thought from reading your posts in the jobs thread the interviewer hated you. Crazy how it works out. I'm also switching jobs at the moment and just declined a counter+retention bonus from my current employer. Feels goodbad man.

Anyways, time to start distributing your wealth.
 
F

Farmboy

Member
Congrats adam.

I asked the hivemind a couple of days ago whether we still see Trump as the best case scenario (for a Hillary victory of course, with all due respect to the GOP minority here). Most of you do. However I've been thinking Cruz is even less electable than Trump. He's uncharismatic and hated.

Anyway. Having them both on the ticket would be great!
 
B

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
adam387 said:
Not really poli related, but I just got word that the people I interviewed with yesterday want to extend an offer to me!

So, that means that I'm employed again. I fully want to lower my taxes, gut Obummercare, cut food stamps and every entitlement program in existence.
Click to expand...

Grats dude, that's great!


Now where's our cut? Don't forget about the redistributing.

NeoXChaos said:
PD are you sweating?

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=173890293&postcount=13100
Click to expand...

How many of these does he have going at once? Goddamn.
 
P

PhoenixDark

Banned
NeoXChaos said:
PD are you sweating?

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=173890293&postcount=13100

I refuse to donate though:

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=173906751&postcount=13122

Cheebo you sweating yet?

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=175942200&postcount=16259

lol Kasich

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=180591418&postcount=5238
Click to expand...

I feel confident. NH is the only state that scares me. If he doesn't win one of the first four he won't win anything later.
 
P

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Still feeling good about being the first one on the Trump Train.
 
Tarkus

Tarkus

Member
Plinko said:
Still feeling good about being the first one on the Trump Train.
Click to expand...
I'm not too proud of my day one pick. Especially since I'm the only one actually voting for the party.

adam387 said:
Not really poli related, but I just got word that the people I interviewed with yesterday want to extend an offer to me!

So, that means that I'm employed again. I fully want to lower my taxes, gut Obummercare, cut food stamps and every entitlement program in existence.
Click to expand...
Congrats adam. I'll toast my glass of peanut butter vodka to that!
 
F

FloydtheFathead

Member
adam387 said:
Not really poli related, but I just got word that the people I interviewed with yesterday want to extend an offer to me!

So, that means that I'm employed again. I fully want to lower my taxes, gut Obummercare, cut food stamps and every entitlement program in existence.
Click to expand...

See, told you it's all good man. :)
 
C

Cheebo

Banned
NeoXChaos said:
PD are you sweating?

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=173890293&postcount=13100

I refuse to donate though:

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=173906751&postcount=13122

Cheebo you sweating yet?

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=175942200&postcount=16259

lol Kasich

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=180591418&postcount=5238
Click to expand...

Why would I be sweating? Cruz's rapid rise is awful for Trump. If he doesnt win a single one of the first 3 he aint winning a single state.

My guess is he comes away with absolutely zero victories, still. I am actually more confident than I was a month ago to be honest.
 
N

NeoXChaos

Member
Cheebo said:
Why would I be sweating? Cruz's rapid rise is awful for Trump. If he doesnt win a single one of the first 3 he aint winning a single state.

My guess is he comes away with absolutely zero victories, still. I am actually more confident than I was a month ago to be honest.
Click to expand...

Your boy Rubio has got to win NH according to historical data.
 
B

Black Mamba

Member
Getting ready for my week in NYC with my girl. Won't be around so wanted to wish everyone Merry XMas, New Years, Holidays, etc.

Last time I left, Walker exited the race. What will happen this time!?!?

(B-dubs, if you still want to get back to me, I only really need a cheap place to check out some jazz at night in the city. Or any cool bars that aren't high end nightclubs. I'll check my PMs for a few more hours).

See y'all in 2016!
 
U

User 463088

Banned
Samarecarm said:
Congrats!!
Click to expand...

Thank you!

RustyNails said:
Nice work dude. I thought from reading your posts in the jobs thread the interviewer hated you. Crazy how it works out. I'm also switching jobs at the moment and just declined a counter+retention bonus from my current employer. Feels goodbad man.

Anyways, time to start distributing your wealth.
Click to expand...

Ya. I thought I bombed the entire thing. I'm trying so damn hard to not blow up their phones with trying to get back in touch. I don't start until Feb, so there's plenty of time to get shit done. But...I'm an obsessive person. I made my mom take the phone and hide it from me.

Farmboy said:
Congrats adam.
Click to expand...

Thank you!

B-Dubs said:
Grats dude, that's great!


Now where's our cut? Don't forget about the redistributing.
.
Click to expand...

Naw. If it all works out, I'll be moving up a tax bracket. I gotta go hard right now. I want someone who will protect the hell out of my money. No more commie, socialism for me. :p
Kiddding

SourShoes said:
Congrats adam. I'll toast my glass of peanut butter vodka to that!
Click to expand...

I actually bought a bottle today. I'm addicted. :) And thanks.

FloydtheFathead said:
See, told you it's all good man. :)
Click to expand...

MacDonalds for everyone!
 
C

Coriolanus

Banned
Since today we all decided to start acting more like other community threads (which tbh is an improvement, we should do this more often), i got the mats to craft some cream cheese & salmon tortillas from scratch. That pizza hut thread was brutal.
Also got a gigantic bag of assorted confectioneries as xmas gifts. #yuss
Black Mamba said:
Getting ready for my week in NYC with my girl. Won't be around so wanted to wish everyone Merry XMas, New Years, Holidays, etc.
See y'all in 2016!
Click to expand...

Have a good one!

Cheebo said:
Why would I be sweating? Cruz's rapid rise is awful for Trump. If he doesnt win a single one of the first 3 he aint winning a single state.
My guess is he comes away with absolutely zero victories, still. I am actually more confident than I was a month ago to be honest.
Click to expand...

Man, that's Nate Silver levels of denial. Best of luck.
 
N

NeoXChaos

Member
Coriolanus said:
Since today we all decided to start acting more like other community threads (which tbh is an improvement, we should do this more often), i got the mats to craft some cream cheese & salmon tortillas from scratch. That pizza hut thread was brutal.
Also got a gigantic bag of assorted confectioneries as xmas gifts. #yuss


Have a good one!



Man, that's Nate Silver levels of denial. Best of luck.
Click to expand...

Cheebo and PD will be eating crow soon enough.
 
R

RustyNails

Member
Even though Iowa is Cruz Country, Trump has a real shot at ending 2nd place which is enough to keep the momentum going. I am not seeing Rubio break his 14% ceiling in Iowa (or nationally for that matter). Iowans are also looking tired of Huckabee's bullshit. Simply no way they will go with Santorum again after he won their hard-fought vote and squandered it in general.
 
N

NeoXChaos

Member
Todd: Who do you think will be the Republican Nominee?

Charlie Cook: Rubio. Once we get to March states..........etc

Todd: Contested Convention?

Cook: Oh I still thinks its possible.

CW3bfVtWIAAk-Ki.png:large
 
C

Cheebo

Banned
NeoXChaos said:
Your boy Rubio has got to win NH according to historical data.
Click to expand...
It's Cruz's race to lose now, not Rubio. Lazy guy did NOTHING to jump on the huge opportunity he had for the last two months while Cruz actually made the right moves.

I assumed Rubio would actually campaign and spend money on a ground game when he has all the establishment attention. He did nada. Cruz did.
 
N

NeoXChaos

Member
Cheebo said:
It's Cruz's race to lose now, not Rubio. Lazy guy did NOTHING to jump on the huge opportunity he had for the last two months while Cruz actually made the right moves.

I assumed Rubio would actually campaign and spend money on a ground game when he has all the establishment attention. He did nada. Cruz did.
Click to expand...

You picked Walker and he flubbed. You settled on Rubio and the jury is still out on him. Cruz must be your lucky charm now my friend.

Plinko said:
I still see almost zero way Trump loses New Hampshire. That state is prime Trump voters.
Click to expand...

my man.
 
P

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
I still see almost zero way Trump loses New Hampshire. That state is prime Trump voters.
 
T

Teggy

Member
I really need to get a photo of the car of the crazy Trump supporter near my neighborhood. I mean it's like a fully detailed white sedan with all kinds of slogans professionally painted on.
 
T

thepotatoman

Unconfirmed Member
Cheebo said:
If Trump loses NH it will end quick. If we have a situation like

Iowa: Cruz
New Hampshire: Non-Trump candidate such as Christie
South Carolina: Cruz

Then it's all over. Trump's whole image is built around winning. If he comes out of the first round without a win he will collapse.
Click to expand...

On the other hand, if it goes

Iowa: Cruz
New Hampshire: Trump
South Carolina: Trump or Cruz

Does Rubio or anyone else still have a shot going into Super Tuesday, or is Cruz already solidified as the default anti-Trump vote?
 
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