What To Watch Next
Despite the awful-looking early vote numbers right now, Democrats may yet rebound. Once their in-person early vote push gets going, these numbers could jump significantly. And a very key number to watch is the return rate. If the requested ballots come back in quickly, campaign and staff will have more time to push people to other early vote sites. This weekend is particularly important to all volunteers collecting ballots as soon as they come out is crucial, and a lot will be hitting mailboxes over the next few days.
Still, its difficult not to be extremely concerned over the state of Iowa Democrats ground game. If these numbers are indicative of very low voter enthusiasm on the left, Democrats could get routed at all levels in a state where the party is already struggling.
Clintons visit today will bring significant visibility to the importance of Democrats voting early. Its going to take an all-out effort from volunteers and staff to get the early vote totals back to where they need to be. For anyone whos stayed on the sidelines, this is the time to get involved.
If you want to follow along, the Secretary of State posts their updated numbers here each day. This other page shows you the daily numbers from 2012. Remember, Election Day is two days later this year, so you would compare September 28, 2016 numbers to September 26, 2012 numbers.