BronzeWolf
Banned
Is that really a gain though? How many gays are voting for Trump?
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT11| Well this is exciting
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Is that really a gain though? How many gays are voting for Trump?
Box of Kittens
Banned
I've said this before, but Mark Penn is the perfect example of being in the right place at the right time. He joined the Clinton team right after its lowest point (the '94 midterms) and got to take credit for getting Bill re-elected in the midst of a booming economy against an uninspiring opponent. You'd think basically being fired for incompetence by the Gore campaign would've ended his chances of working with national campaigns, but finishing that job may have been the best thing to come out of Hillary's 2008 campaign. I won't miss his pithy names for THE key swing demographic this cycle.
Manmademan
Member
Gay republicans, like Black republicans do exist- but there isn't a statistically significant amount of them.
Tying Trump to Pence's homophobic comments is going to be more useful to persuade heterosexual moderates that are on the fence and possibly uncomfortable with that kind of attitude even if they aren't gay themselves.
nature boy
Member
Monmouth will have several state polls this week, Monday is the first of them.
Don't know the states and how many of them.
This weekend sucked, not even a CBS/YouGov cheap online poll.
But good news! Rassss has a daily tracker poll!
So Rasssss every morning!
cooljeanius
Member
I was about to say there's at least 1 (Milo), but then I remembered he's not actually an American...
Bingo. It's useful to remind people that despite some lip service Trump has given regarding LGBTQ rights, he went and chose Pence as his running mate. You can't ignore what that says.
User 463088
Banned
Probably about 20% of the population that identifies as LGBT, to be honest. Republicans usually get around there, and I assume Trump will too. But, that's not the point. HB2 in NC i s one of the reasons we have a great shot at flipping the state, getting the Senate seat and taking back the Governorship. Homophobia is, surprisingly, getting less and less acceptable, especially with moderates, college educated whites and women. almost everyone knows someone who is gay or has a family member who is gay. This transcends nationality, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, religion and race. There may be a few people out there who are terrified of Trump, but they think Pence will be in control so they're still open to vote. Dad needs to go in and make Pence just as gross as Trump.
Interestingly, the one issue in which I don't think Trump is a total asshole is LGBT issues. I genuinely do not think he has a problem with gay people. He's attacked Rosie for many, many things, but he's never (so far as I know) brought up her sexuality as something to use against her.
Yeah. Raw returns.
I actually work for an independent pollster that collects the raw data for like half of these polls lol
Care to divulge what the stats look after this week? Within reason of course, no need for any NDAs or the sort to be broken.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
How is Trump still winning in Ohio when he has none of the Ohio Republican party behind him?
Probably demographics. But I still feel Hillary will win it. It'll just be a bit close.
have you been reading this thread the whole time? I've never see you but thanks for the info.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Rob Portman: "Trade is good."
John Kasich: "Trump should lick my asshole."
*Portman and Kasich dominate elections in Ohio*
.... Trump still leads by 1.
Trump doing so badly in Colorado and Virginia while massively outspending Hillary in those states is interesting from a political science research perspective.
John Kasich: "Trump should lick my asshole."
*Portman and Kasich dominate elections in Ohio*
.... Trump still leads by 1.
Trump doing so badly in Colorado and Virginia while massively outspending Hillary in those states is interesting from a political science research perspective.
ive been lurking for a good few years lol
we dont really do any analysis in house here, we do have a national poll that starts tomorrow though
overall it looks closer nationally than it should i think from what ive seen in the last week, but the battleground states mostly lean hillary so im pretty confident on her winning
Are you risking anything by disclosing this info to us? Thanks though.
Nobody from the media lurks here.
not that im aware of, but i should probably be mindful of this. thanks
Dubbedinenglish
Banned
Just mail Y2Kev the info with a return address of Trump Tower
will your group be doing more polling as election day approaches for Monmouth?
RustyNails
Member
RustyNails
Member
He can always mask his text ala Buttocks On A Train
most likely yes but i dont know the schedule past this week - we have another major pollster we are doing 5 national polls for this month though
cooljeanius
Member
But GAF is one of the top 5 referrers to www.hillaryclinton.com tho; I'd think some media would have noticed that...
User 463088
Banned
These "With Her" Podcasts are just amazing.
Listening to her talk about how she's just used to the shit people say about her constantly is heartbreaking though. Queen will get her revenge, but god damn.. When I stop and think about the shit she's dealt with for 30 years it infuriates me. Just ridiculous.
Listening to her talk about how she's just used to the shit people say about her constantly is heartbreaking though. Queen will get her revenge, but god damn.. When I stop and think about the shit she's dealt with for 30 years it infuriates me. Just ridiculous.
User 463088
Banned
That would be up to the pollster.
Edit: In college, I used to work for a call center that did polls. (For like two months). And, we'd get he numbers and then send them to the client. The'd then do what they wanted to them. I assume it's still the same.
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
Raw data doesn't mean much unless the person is up by double digits then you may be able to assume they are at least leading. Weightings make big differences.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Trump mocking Hillary's pneumonia while Trump's father died of pneumonia is kind of fucking weird.
Yeah but if historically you have raw data of X and the final result is always X + 3 then it can be useful to tell us! But I guess it can never move uniformly given the samples are different.
NYCmetsfan
Banned
They are on GAF. Especially younger reporters and a lot of GAF watches these threads even if they dont post.
Thunder Monkey
Banned
I thought the Yaaaas, Hillary shirts were all the proof necessary that someone in the Hillcamp reads GAF.
Okay. Anybody notable from political circles except for our 2 insiders such as Harry, Cohn, etc.
Atleast not in PoliGAF........eh your probably right lol.
For the best. No need to put yourself in jeopardy
neurosisxeno
Member
NeoGAF is up there with Reddit when it comes to places often used as a source for news stories--mostly the Gaming side, but it's indicative of the fact that this forum is monitored by media outlets.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Direct democracy is the worst thing in the world, people are way too bloodthirsty and bigoted to vote on complex issues.
I deleted the posts that quoted your post, Sadsic. Because I am nice.
you forgot BotoxAgent post.
D
Deleted member 231381
Unconfirmed Member
The Colombian result is bumming me the fuck out. Makes Brexit look like peanuts. Sometimes there's just no joy in the world, and 2016 has just been such a shitty year.
RustyNails
Member
Being a top 5 driver to HillaryClinton.com, I'm sure there are a few. I'm willing to bet Keepin it 1600 peeps at least lurk.
Also we know cesare works for or is close to the Clinton Campaign.
Unless Cesare or Cybit ever directed them to PolIGAF I doubt it. Then again idk.
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