Dubbedinenglish
Banned
Yes more Berger Cruz vids pls
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT11| Well this is exciting
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Yes more Berger Cruz vids pls
whyamihere
Banned
AHHHHHHHHH
Basileus777
Member
You're just saying that he has terrible political judgement.
The guy made a mistake, got spooked that it was going to ruin his future political aspirations, and then made a desperate turn that won't help.
No.
Gray can't win but Matt Bevin is being a huge douche and that's at least some motivation for Dems in Jefferson and Fayette county. Trump can't lose here because of coal.
I'm not sorry, fellow idiotic millennials.
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Sorry--didn't realize this was a 2016-only discussion thread. Odd considering I see people always bring up 2018 and 2020 Congressional races.
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
Cruz's calculation is that it's safe to back Trump in case he wins because nobody in the party is going to give a fuck about who supported Trump in 2020 if he loses, and he's probably right.
Finale Fireworker
Member
I've just realized that the whole "William Taft got stuck in a bathtub" story was, for many years, taken as a literal account of an actual event.
I've always known that William Taft was our heaviest president and that he had an extra large tub moved into the White House. I always thought the "Taft was so big he got stuck in a bath tub!" was a facetious remark referencing the fact that he needed a huge bathtub to accommodate him.
I didn't think anybody actually believed he literally, physically, entered a bathtub he could not get out of.
Now I sort of understand why Benji was calling me out for perpetuating "myths" when I referenced Taft's bathtub.
I've always known that William Taft was our heaviest president and that he had an extra large tub moved into the White House. I always thought the "Taft was so big he got stuck in a bath tub!" was a facetious remark referencing the fact that he needed a huge bathtub to accommodate him.
I didn't think anybody actually believed he literally, physically, entered a bathtub he could not get out of.
Now I sort of understand why Benji was calling me out for perpetuating "myths" when I referenced Taft's bathtub.
Nate on a roll today. Clearly looking to work on his GAF cred.
Basileus777
Member
That calculation came months too late after he had already tanked his favorability with Republicans. Now he just looks like a tool.
banefirelord
Banned
TIL Taft didn't actually get stuck in a bathtub. I distinctly recall reading some "Facts about the Presidents" book in 2nd grade that ingrained that into my head as a true thing that happened.
Randolph Freelander
Member
Hillary is going to be in Charlotte on Sunday, according to CNN.
BlastProcessing
Member
Cruz's miscalculation is that no one will respect him after this. This is 100% spineless and transparent.
User 463088
Banned
USC finally updated
Trump almost lost another point.
Trump almost lost another point.
Black Mamba
Member
I think Ted Cruz is continuing to prove himself to be a horrible politician. This is a man who multiple times let Harry Reid screw over the GOP because he didn't understand the rules.
This is a man who made an awful decision at the RNC unlike Kasich.
Ted Cruz is not as smart as people think he is. Him and Rubio set their political futures on fire this year and I, for one, am glad to see it happen.
The lead did drop to 1, fwiw.
I said a couple weeks ago that Hillary's lead is likely in the 4-6 (or maybe I said 4-8) range and I think that's still true.
This is a man who made an awful decision at the RNC unlike Kasich.
Ted Cruz is not as smart as people think he is. Him and Rubio set their political futures on fire this year and I, for one, am glad to see it happen.
The lead did drop to 1, fwiw.
I said a couple weeks ago that Hillary's lead is likely in the 4-6 (or maybe I said 4-8) range and I think that's still true.
I hate politicizing these events, but this could be a moment for her.
Let's dispel once and for all with the fiction that Ted Cruz doesn't know what he is doing, he knows exactly what he is doing.
whyamihere
Banned
lol
Aaron Strife
Banned
Greenberg polls look like good news.
Also the NC/NV numbers (and Florida from other polls) and hell even a near-tie in Ohio (which is just a tie in the two way!) demonstrate how dumb the liberal potty dancing is over the blue wall holding up. These states are all coin flips at worst but Clinton winning any of them (well NV not as much) would make it nigh impossible for Trump to win. Notice every dumb fantasy map that shows Trump's path to victory (usually ones posted by a certain banned poster) take for granted that Trump will win all of these states.
Of Obama's 2012 states the only one that looks like it could be out of reach is Iowa. And while I hope Clinton can bring it back into the fold, if she loses it who cares? The states she leads in add up to 320+ EVs. Do the math.
Also the NC/NV numbers (and Florida from other polls) and hell even a near-tie in Ohio (which is just a tie in the two way!) demonstrate how dumb the liberal potty dancing is over the blue wall holding up. These states are all coin flips at worst but Clinton winning any of them (well NV not as much) would make it nigh impossible for Trump to win. Notice every dumb fantasy map that shows Trump's path to victory (usually ones posted by a certain banned poster) take for granted that Trump will win all of these states.
Of Obama's 2012 states the only one that looks like it could be out of reach is Iowa. And while I hope Clinton can bring it back into the fold, if she loses it who cares? The states she leads in add up to 320+ EVs. Do the math.
Yup. I loved seeing Cruz up there because I love seeing the GOP in disarray. But he was better off for his own sake to just not show up.
Black Mamba
Member
The USC poll looks like a giant mess. The 2012 RAND survey was so much more consistent.
The swings in the vote make no sense. It seems like a huge amount of voters are non-commital but we know that's not true.
USC-LA Times sample is funky.
The swings in the vote make no sense. It seems like a huge amount of voters are non-commital but we know that's not true.
USC-LA Times sample is funky.
Finale Fireworker
Member
How deep does it go? Did George Washington really chop down that cherry treee? Did Abraham Lincoln really wear a top hat?
Wait, there were TWO John Adamses? Deja vu usually means they changed something in the matrix...
Oh my God what is real
nature boy
Member
Clinton going to Charlotte on Sunday.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Atheists are such a strong Democratic voting block:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/religion-and-education-explain-the-white-vote/
They're Hillary's best voting group even though Hillary is clearly more religious than Trump, yassss.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/religion-and-education-explain-the-white-vote/
They're Hillary's best voting group even though Hillary is clearly more religious than Trump, yassss.
nature boy
Member
Those GQRR polls are optimistic, no?
aspiegamer
Member
How long do you have to be part of PoliGAF before you start getting royalties on all the work we supposedly do to harm the internet/freedom/'Murica/free speech? But seriously, is there anywhere online where banned people hold more of a grudge? And why is this?
The rules (as applied) here are extremely simple! Don't insult other members, don't shitpost, and don't be a bigot. That's really really not asking a lot of people. Stuff like that -should- be pretty standard. Do basic policies like that really make us some liberal bastion of the internet? If so, I'm not sure how I survived 20 years on the internet before joining GAF. *shrug*
...In less depressing news, have things improved enough vs a week ago that we can change the thread title yet? And lolCruz. What a wuss. The only man who left the RNC with gonads still attached just to toss them away at random closer to election day. I swear CNN has been expecting this for months given all the contradictory footage they instantly had available.
The rules (as applied) here are extremely simple! Don't insult other members, don't shitpost, and don't be a bigot. That's really really not asking a lot of people. Stuff like that -should- be pretty standard. Do basic policies like that really make us some liberal bastion of the internet? If so, I'm not sure how I survived 20 years on the internet before joining GAF. *shrug*
...In less depressing news, have things improved enough vs a week ago that we can change the thread title yet? And lolCruz. What a wuss. The only man who left the RNC with gonads still attached just to toss them away at random closer to election day. I swear CNN has been expecting this for months given all the contradictory footage they instantly had available.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Beer Monkey
Member
The (D) platform is the only one in 2016 that is evidence-based when you really think about it.
Aaron Strife
Banned
Um what
Maybe the USC-LA poll is the only true unskewed poll out there and all of the others are wrong.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
The white vote, explained.
If you are don't have a college degree and are super religious, Trump is your god-king:
If you have a college degree and you never attend church, Trump looks more Hitler-like.
If you are don't have a college degree and are super religious, Trump is your god-king:
If you have a college degree and you never attend church, Trump looks more Hitler-like.
whyamihere
Banned
The white vote, explained.
If you are don't have a college degree and are super religious, Trump is your god-king:
If you have a college degree and you never attend church, Trump looks more Hitler-like.
College degree, no church... ah ha.
Weight is based on three things - Pollster Ratings (which were set middle of the year based on previous performance), sample size, and how recent the questions were asked (not the date the poll was released, but over what days they did the polling).
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features...ethirtyeights-2016-general-election-forecast/
Seriously, the entire explanation of the model is there and has been for months. It's kind of funny watching folks bash the model and reveal that they never bothered to read the handy dandy primer put out that actually explains it in pretty significant detail.
Remember that time where Nate told everyone to wait a week before panicking?
Well..
Indeed.
Spiritreaver
Member
If it keeps up she'll be back on top of USC/LAT in a day or two.
Randolph Freelander
Member
First Brangelina and now this.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Did you have any coke or drugs on a similar level to it in the car? Hope you end up okay :/
You can't put me into a bubble.
The white vote, explained.
If you are don't have a college degree and are super religious, Trump is your god-king:
If you have a college degree and you never attend church, Trump looks more Hitler-like.
The dumber you are the dumber you vote.
Or rather, the less educated you are about the world, the more likely you are to vote for people who actively skew the way the world works. Mr Preacherman has a lot of sway.
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
The white vote, explained.
If you are don't have a college degree and are super religious, Trump is your god-king:
If you have a college degree and you never attend church, Trump looks more Hitler-like.
Atheists going hard for a fairly devout Methodist; evangelicals wedding themselves to a godless amoralist.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Not saying he is Hitler or that they think he's Hitler.
Just that he looks more similar to Hitler the less religion and more college you have.
nature boy
Member
Yikes.
Finale Fireworker
Member
Hope you learned something from this, Bernie Sanders.
What's disturbing to me are the Trump supporters who aren't bigoted at all (as far as I know) but are super friendly and unassuming. I can only assume it's for tax reasons or such. Even then, bad look and I don't have much respect for them. Just some thoughts I've been having.
Truly interesting how life works out.
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