The PoliGAF/Depends Daily Tracking poll is pretty consistent. The results of the past week have been:
10/21 - fuck
10/22 - Fuck
10/23 - FUCK
10/24 - FUCK
10/25 - FUCK!
10/26 - Fuck
10/27 - fuck
10/28 - FUCK!!!!
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT14| Attention NV shoppers, democracy is on sale in aisle 4!
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The PoliGAF/Depends Daily Tracking poll is pretty consistent. The results of the past week have been:
10/21 - fuck
10/22 - Fuck
10/23 - FUCK
10/24 - FUCK
10/25 - FUCK!
10/26 - Fuck
10/27 - fuck
10/28 - FUCK!!!!
newshinycd
Member
You have to remember the shy hidden Trump vote. Obviously this liberal pollster rigged their own poll. Real numbers should be 75-25.
Wiz
Member
Draggin him to the finish line
We could probably pull a bit of money out of Duckworth's race now too. It's not like she'll need it after the other night.
PoliGAF 2016 |OT15| FUCK!
Good article
cartoon_soldier
Member
Goodnight, Michelle.
Is that Newt?
nature boy
Member
I'll believe it when a poll shows Murphy ahead, which has never happened.
JHoNNy1OoO
Member
Bless you. I actually spent a good deal of time trying to track down the first place the image was used, but failed.
I'm absolutely certain that this is the post where it was first used, in reference to this graph:
The image link in that post is broken now.
He's going to be sent packing and it'll be goddamn glorious. When Hillary and Murphy both take the state, I can finally be proud of this dumb place for the first time since Obama won it in 2012.
Has this happened yet? Seems like a pretty easy compromise: raise Murphy's name ID and also get a general rally in Florida.
Idk, I'm not a campaign strategist. What do I know
Take this hopium man, you'll get nice and high.
Last time Obama was down there he mentioned Murphy almost more than Hillary, but I don't think it was a joint appearance.
Estimated that almost 1/3 of Florida votes have already been cast, pretty amazing. Imagine trying to get all those votes cast on a single day. It seems pretty clear that our population has outgrown "Election Day" and a longer voting period should be mandated at the federal level.
If Florida were more on the fence in terms of the general I'm sure they'd be doing this already. The issue seems to be that it's more or less locked up and Obama could be better deployed elsewhere.
Even Kellyanne is throwing in the towel on Kirk. Not without a little petty rub about how he didn't kiss the Donald's ring enough.
plagiarize
Banned
Guys. There's just a really short Hispanic woman holding that sign above her head, and she couldn't fit 'Hispanic Female Littlepeople' on the sign, so she just put 'Hispanic Women'.
Clearly.
my name is ed
Banned
In line for early voting in Texas
1.5 hr wait 😅
1.5 hr wait 😅
Manmademan
Member
eh...I have some issues with it.
there are certain polls that we know are bunk. not because of random chance, but because they're designed to be as favorable to republicans as possible. We're in an era where polls themselves drive headlines and fundraising- it's inevitable you'll end up with some of them that are designed to produce a particular result, accuracy be damned. That's not an outlier, that's dishonesty.
If you have on one hand a group that's honest in their results with some degree of error, and another that's simply lying about their results because it's profitable to do so, the "actual answer" isn't "between the two" you ignore the result that's dishonest. Or to put it another way, If Fox news and breitbart are saying 2+2= 8, and CBS/ABC/NPR/CNN/MSNBC/WSJ is saying 2+2=4, the answer isn't 6.
Gravis, rasmussen, and IBD are in that latter category, and they're in that category EVERY cycle. There's no attempt to correct methodology, they simply repeat terrible results every 4 years- and IBD goes out of their way to try to hide this by arbitrarily moving their final polls and touting the "accuracy".
LA Times at least seems to just have had the bad luck to get a terrible sample, so their "experiment" didn't really pan out well. Gallup had awful methodology in 2012, admitted their assumptions were bad, and had the sense to take 2016 off. Those other three, not so much. At some point you stop reporting them and giving them the attention.
also:
"totally up in the air" seems a bit conservative. It's leaning D at this point.
I thought I heard CNN say that Obama's Orlando rally today was going to be a joint rally with Murphy. Obama REALLY hates Rubio.
Fragamemnon
Member
Many red states are actually doing OK/along the national average.
The issue is that rural areas aren't getting any better, and they won't get any better. The economy of today and tomorrow is in the cities.
plagiarize
Banned
I'm absolutely certain that this is the post where it was first used, in reference to this graph:
The image link in that post is broken now.
Yep that's the thread. I remember it well.
It is also arguable that these down ballot races are more important than the general now.
wumster3000
Member
But your avatar? Why wasn't it a good feeling to you? I know why it's not a good feeling to people who oppose him.
User 463088
Banned
Also, just gotta say. I had an MRI this morning. Without insurance, I'd have been screwed. I recently lost one of my contracts (I'm self employed),but because of the exchange, where I buy my insurance, I didn't have to worry about that. I had pre-existing conditions (my eyes) that prevented me from getting insurance before.Today, I had a $100 copay, which was completely doable. Without the ACA, I'd probably be sitting here without insurance or without the ability to go to the doctor.
So ,what I'm trying to say, is thanks Obama.
So ,what I'm trying to say, is thanks Obama.
I thought about it... but I would've felt like a real creep.
Tulsa, OK.
Avatar is from a bet and you are rubbing salt.
gutter_trash
Banned
question: do mother tongue Spanish speakers get under polled by pollsters?
wumster3000
Member
Lol, sorry dude. Didn't mean to rub it in.
Manmademan
Member
most pollsters don't poll in spanish, so the answer is yes there.
This is why states with high latino populations can be tough to poll.
Latino decisions is one of the few that does. They're generally considered pretty accurate when trying to get a feel for what way the latino population is leaning.
I'm glad you had the MRI and are covered.
RustyNails
Member
PPP FL
HRC 48
DT 44
Rubes 46
Murph 46
HRC 48
DT 44
Rubes 46
Murph 46
Fragamemnon
Member
why does barry hate little marco so much? any why does little marco suck so bad that he keeps flailing against a scrublord like Murphy?
Also I'd like to add that what the NC GOP has done to early voting in the cities is downright criminal. One of the five early voting sites in my county-and the only one that was really close to the large suburban population of the county (Durham, democratic stronghold) was basically 15 polling booths stuffed + staffing into a church classroom designed for groups of 10-15 students.
Some of the other polling places (our swank new library, the country BOE) were larger, but it's clear that early voting was chopped in half statewide and clear from the Sunday hour changes that it targets African Americans the most. NC Dems should be howling at their supporters to get to the polls to tear down this garbage.
Also I'd like to add that what the NC GOP has done to early voting in the cities is downright criminal. One of the five early voting sites in my county-and the only one that was really close to the large suburban population of the county (Durham, democratic stronghold) was basically 15 polling booths stuffed + staffing into a church classroom designed for groups of 10-15 students.
Some of the other polling places (our swank new library, the country BOE) were larger, but it's clear that early voting was chopped in half statewide and clear from the Sunday hour changes that it targets African Americans the most. NC Dems should be howling at their supporters to get to the polls to tear down this garbage.
whyamihere
Banned
I refuse to believe.
Manmademan
Member
it's happening. no way Rubio survives this election.
I'm absolutely certain that this is the post where it was first used, in reference to this graph:
The image link in that post is broken now.
How did it actually turn out?
NYCmetsfan
Banned
RustyNails
Member
I'm going to attribute Murphy's rise from the grave solely to Obama's star. He annihilated Rubio and said great things about Murphy in that Miami rally.
He's going back to Florida today and drag Murphy's scrub ass across the finish line. Based Obama.
He's going back to Florida today and drag Murphy's scrub ass across the finish line. Based Obama.
NYCmetsfan
Banned
I need a murphy poll with him ahead to think he's got a shot or like 2 more ties
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