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PoliGAF 2016 |OT14| Attention NV shoppers, democracy is on sale in aisle 4!
- Thread starter eBay Huckster
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Unfortunately it looks like black voters did not reach their registration. Close, but not 13%. That kinda sucks.
I think there's really one risk in both NC and FL...that the NPA/Unaffiliated vote is as much angry white people pretending to not be republicans as it is latinos.
I think there's really one risk in both NC and FL...that the NPA/Unaffiliated vote is as much angry white people pretending to not be republicans as it is latinos.
Carpe Carnim
Member
I prolly missed this Friday, but it's nice to see some local reporting on the phenomenon
Texas Latino turnout up sharply in early voting surge, analysis shows
The article is sober, we shouldn't expect a win, unless Election Day is a total bust for the GOP, but this definately will send a cold shiver down the GOPs spine, and may lay the groundwork for an immigration deal in Clinton's second or third year, depending how the '18 Midterms shake-out.
Texas Latino turnout up sharply in early voting surge, analysis shows
The article is sober, we shouldn't expect a win, unless Election Day is a total bust for the GOP, but this definately will send a cold shiver down the GOPs spine, and may lay the groundwork for an immigration deal in Clinton's second or third year, depending how the '18 Midterms shake-out.
After a 2 ½-hour hearing, Philadelphia Common Pleas Judge Linda Carpenter denied SEPTA's request to force striking workers back on the job immediately.
Theres enough evidence that an injunction might be appropriate. Theres not enough evidence that an injunction right now is necessary, Carpenter said.
I think they're getting enjoined tomorrow.
Manmademan
Member
Black voters exceeded their 2012 number in raw votes.
Hispanics being up drastically is messing with the percentage.
White voters are only down slightly, but remember that women are up everywhere in the early vote. An increase in women even white women is bad for Trump.
User 463088
Banned
Correct.
They would probably not pass a LV because they aren't considered very likely to vote. They haven't voted in 2012 or 2010 or 2008 (depending). The fact that we are turning them out and the GOP isn't is HUGE.
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
I'm a touch worried about this as well. Guess we'll see.
Wow, the early vote yesterday in Florida wasn't even 58% white, and it might be even lower today.
It's hard to say. With the new VBM system, I'd be willing to bet a lot of the reliable GOP election day vote is voting by mail, and the actual election day vote won't be too bad for Clinton (or it may actually be good), considering she's winning the low-propensity vote comfortably, Hispanic turnout is surging and the African-American turnout % will probably reach 2012 levels or close to it, while white turnout % is lowering.
User 463088
Banned
There is nothing in these FL numbers that is bad for us. We're going to end up with an electorate that is more diverse than 2012 but with turnout around 2008. This is literally the best case scenario for us!
User 463088
Banned
Steve Schale ‏@steveschale 12m12 minutes ago Florida, USA
Percentage of FL Hispanic EV that is low propensity:
All: 55%
GOP: 37.4%
DEM: 59.2%
NPA: 66.4%
Good luck GOP.
HNGGGGGG
Percentage of FL Hispanic EV that is low propensity:
All: 55%
GOP: 37.4%
DEM: 59.2%
NPA: 66.4%
Good luck GOP.
HNGGGGGG
Um hello those are secret white Trumpkins. They didn't vote for Liberal Elite romney and Bomb Bomb Iran McCain (Who Cant Lift Up His Arms) so...
I know you've been using nuance, as well as some personal bias in regards to Michigan.
It's just that the weeks after that primary were horrible for someone that believes in numbers. People were ready to throw all polling out the window and a part of the media went along with it.
User 463088
Banned
Oh god, you're right. FUCK.
Already Torn
Banned
That taco bowl was a complete waste of time.
Taco bowls are never a waste of time
Basileus777
Member
Ingratiation 2017 sounds really sinister.
Manmademan
Member
Nope. Secret Marco Rubio fans
But if those NPA break for Trump?
Carpe Carnim
Member
I lurve it!
Ask yourself a question: Do low-propensity Hispanic voters who are registered GOP get motivated, all of a sudden, to vote FOR or AGAINST Trump?
Obviously a large majority of those folks will vote the party line, but do you think that a not-insignificant minority of them are bothering to cast a ballot this year against the Orange Menace? I think so.
Hispanic NPA?
I know this applies to most Trump headlines, but once again: imagine if this was about Hillary. Press would go nuts.
The real silent majority.
RustyNails
Member
Angry white people are Republicans. If an angry white man did not wanted to be assoiciated with Trump, he would leave the party.
They are scared about a candidate that has no policies to hinder them. Think about it.
Already Torn
Banned
I don't think it's fair to call it racism. It's just anger at certain voting populations.
Voysa Reezun
Banned
Come on, man!
I think it's the uncertainty. They have no fucking idea what he stands for, or what he'll try to push through.
Well imagine you work primarily with healthcare companies. They've gotten the shit kicked out of them over the past year or so following Hillary's tweet on drug prices. And we still want her over Trump. lol
metalslimer
Member
Well Free trade has been great for big businesses. Trump's anti trade talk probably scares them more than anything. Republicans will do an about face on trade as soon as Trump is gone.
A lot his "policies" work against their interests, despite the tax cuts. Of course quotation marks because they are shit and infeasible to implement.
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
I understand.
oh my god, this is the most disgusting political ad ever
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YD1_NMMMsu4
Good thing it looks like Roy Cooper is going to win the NC gov, especially with the turnout we're seeing.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YD1_NMMMsu4
Good thing it looks like Roy Cooper is going to win the NC gov, especially with the turnout we're seeing.
Carpe Carnim
Member
They have no faith that the GOP would/could restrain his moment-to-moment urges.
When you're POTUS, saying stupid shit can tank markets in a single day before your, "What he really meant..." squad could clean-up the mess
While Tapper pressed her in that interview, it pissed me off how he let her slide with complaining about people being mean to her on twitter while an unarmed protester was stomped down by a bunch of knuckle dragging red hats.
Third Strike
Member
Good. The governor's party controls the board of elections, so the next two elections shouldn't see the kind of voter suppression we're seeing now. I want Hillary to win this state, but I'm more hoping that Cooper wins over McCrory more than ever.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Alex Jones has final thoughts on the election.
Starting a nuclear war with China or turning America into Venezuela so that Trump can rob it are not helpful possibilities for Wall Street either.
Starting a nuclear war with China or turning America into Venezuela so that Trump can rob it are not helpful possibilities for Wall Street either.
GoldenEye 007
Member
What's the saying?
There have been more Republican congressmen found to have committed abuse in bathrooms than transgender citizens in total.
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