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PoliGAF 2016 |OT4| Tyler New Chief Exit Pollster at CNN

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S

Suikoguy

I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
What seems to be causing a bit of a surge in Trump's numbers? I swear we were freaking out last week over his chances.
 
M

Macho Madness

Member
PPP

-By a 63/14 spread voters in the state prefer Metro Cards to tokens for riding the subway. It's 84/9 among people who actually live in New York City.

-By a 62/13 spread New Yorkers express agreement with the sentiment that 'the Rent is too Damn High.' In NYC it's a 79/11 agreement.

-And finally John Kasich may get clobbered in New York next week, but it won't be because of pizza. 55% of voters in the state say they think it's acceptable to eat pizza with a fork, to only 33% who think it's unacceptable.
Click to expand...
 
I

ItWasMeantToBe19

Banned
With Trump about to dominate the next six states while Cruz controls the loyalty of most of Trump's delegates, only two things matter:

1. California
2. If Trump's people can convince unbounded Pennsylvania delegates to vote for him after he dominates Pennsylvania.
 
P

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Indiana is key for Trump. He needs a big win.
 
N

NihonTiger90

Member
Rafa=FedKilla said:
"What's Megyn Kelly doing in Trump Tower!? Just who's side is she on!? We are ALL OUTTA TIME SEE YOU ON THE ORELY FACT----"
Click to expand...

Trump becomes nominee at the GOP convention in Cleveland. Everyone wonders who his VP will be.

Suddenly...

biDFHU0.gif


You laugh but I'm convinced Trump is crazy enough to actually do this. And Vince is crazy enough to accept.
 
M

Macho Madness

Member
Trump supporters are already threatening the Indiana delegation that they better support Trump if that's how the voting goes. Cruz is going to make a big play here and it might work.
 
D

Daniel B·

Banned
Hillary has a [thread=1207294]blowout[/thread] (GAF thread, inc. YT vid) in the Women's Pornstar Caucus:

Daniel B·;200868534 said:
Womens Pornstar Caucus: Bernie - 33% (6) *, Donald - 28% (5), Hillary - 5% (1) #, Undecided 33% (6)

* included "I really hope that it's not Hillary Clinton, and it's not Trump"

# included "I'm not going to say who I'm voting for, because I don't even tell my best friends who I'm voting for. I'm just going to leave it at that"
Click to expand...
 
N

NihonTiger90

Member
Macho Madness said:
Trump supporters are already threatening the Indiana delegation that they better support Trump if that's how the voting goes. Cruz is going to make a big play here and it might work.
Click to expand...

Between Cruz and Kasich, Cruz has the better shot of stopping Trump in Indiana. I think he can carry the southern half of the state. Trump will take Indianapolis metro and northwestern part of the state. No clue about Northeast Indiana, but considering Trump took second place by 15 points over Cruz in every county in the western part of the state, wouldn't be shocked if he does well there.
 
M

Macho Madness

Member
NihonTiger90 said:
Between Cruz and Kasich, Cruz has the better shot of stopping Trump in Indiana. I think he can carry the southern half of the state. Trump will take Indianapolis metro and northwestern part of the state. No clue about Northeast Indiana, but considering Trump took second place by 15 points over Cruz in every county in the western part of the state, wouldn't be shocked if he does well there.
Click to expand...
Kasich will do well in Ohio border counties but lol nobody lives there besides like Richmond

Local media seems to buy the idea that Pence won't endorse but I think the Cruz people are going to pressure him
 
B

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
Macho Madness said:
Why does Schumer have a high approval rating why
Click to expand...

He's basically the guy you go to when there's an issue with a city or state agency and no one else will do anything. A few years back there were a couple of supermarkets in my parent's neighborhood that were flaunting health codes. It was some really nasty stuff and when no one else did shit about it he brought out some news crews and did a whole press conference in front of one of the places on how the health department wasn't doing enough.

Plus whenever he runs for reelection he visits every single congressional district.
 
R

Rafa=FedKilla

Banned
Trump is gonna be fine, because even if he comes up short, he will make deals with the unbound sand he will get Kasich's pledged delegates for the VP spot. Manafor is a Mafioso, ain't nobody wanna fuck with him in a suit like that.
 
H

Holmes

Member
I didn't realize CT had a 50% WTA threshold for its statewide delegates. Hopefully Trump gets over 50% there.

RI on the other hand is kind of like another Wyoming because it has so few delegates. Its two congressional districts award 3 delegates, with 1 delegate awarded to the three highest vote getters that cross 20%. So the CD delegates will be 1-1-1 per district for Trump-Kasich-Cruz there unless Cruz is unable to cross 20% (or Trump gets 66.7% of the vote in a CD - but that would mean someone is below 20% anyway)... which he might. But Trump may only get like 9 or 10 delegates even if he gets 55%+.
 
B

balladofwindfishes

Member
B-Dubs said:
He's basically the guy you go to when there's an issue with a city or state agency and no one else will do anything. A few years back there were a couple of supermarkets in my parent's neighborhood that were flaunting health codes. It was some really nasty stuff and when no one else did shit about it he brought out some news crews and did a whole press conference in front of one of the places on how the health department wasn't doing enough.

Plus whenever he runs for reelection he visits every single congressional district.
Click to expand...

Same for my area, more or less. Time Warner was going to put in 5gb caps on our internet. Yes, 5gb! And he put the breaks on it. I don't know what he threatened to do, but they stopped pushing the caps within a week and everything went back to normal.

He's very influential, and generally goes to bat for his citizens.
 
A

AntraxSuicide

Banned
adam387 said:
Cf71_H9r_Us_AAl_qa.jpg
Click to expand...

Doing God's work.

Macho Madness said:
AHHHHHHHHHHHHHH IVY

AHHHHH


AHHHHHHH

GEORGIA GENERAL ELECTION MATCHUP (Lake Research Poll)

CLINTON 50
Drumpf 37
Click to expand...

A whole bunch of red states are in play with Trump on the ticket. He'll win most in the end, but some smart campaign funding can force Trump to burn his cash in those states. The RNC would love it if he got blown out, so they'd try to spend a ton on down-ticket folks specifically. Trump will have to mostly finance his own run, even after getting the nom. He'll legitimately have to fight it out in places like Georgia, Louisiana, and Mississippi, while states like NC, AZ, and UT get left behind. No way he has to funds to put up a real fight in FL, OH, or CO.

Literally drooling.
 
A

AntraxSuicide

Banned
Holmes said:
I didn't realize CT had a 50% WTA threshold for its statewide delegates. Hopefully Drumpf gets over 50% there.

RI on the other hand is kind of like another Wyoming because it has so few delegates. Its two congressional districts award 3 delegates, with 1 delegate awarded to the three highest vote getters that cross 20%. So the CD delegates will be 1-1-1 per district for Drumpf-Kasich-Cruz there unless Cruz is unable to cross 20% (or Drumpf gets 66.7% of the vote in a CD - but that would mean someone is below 20% anyway)... which he might. But Drumpf may only get like 9 or 10 delegates even if he gets 55%+.
Click to expand...

So could Trump win all 3 if he hits that 66.7%? Like, if Cruz and Kasich split the remaining third, neither would hit 20%, so what I'm really asking is how likely this scenario is.
 
H

Holmes

Member
AntraxSuicide said:
So could Trump win all 3 if he hits that 66.7%? Like, if Cruz and Kasich split the remaining third, neither would hit 20%, so what I'm really asking is how likely this scenario is.
Click to expand...
If Trump is able to get over two-thirds of the vote in a congressional district (66.7%) then he will get 2 delegates and Kasich will get the other one. Rhode Island will be his best state (along with West Virginia) and he won't even be able to get all its delegates.
 
I

ivysaur12

Banned
It's pretty easy to get Trump over 1,237 with these numbers. Close, but absolutely possible:

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/can-you-get-trump-to-1237/

NihonTiger90 said:
Between Cruz and Kasich, Cruz has the better shot of stopping Trump in Indiana. I think he can carry the southern half of the state. Trump will take Indianapolis metro and northwestern part of the state. No clue about Northeast Indiana, but considering Trump took second place by 15 points over Cruz in every county in the western part of the state, wouldn't be shocked if he does well there.
Click to expand...

Yeah, but there isn't enough Gary and Marion to put Trump over.

EDIT: Here's what Nate Cohn has for the rest of the race:

CfYuJQbUUAAY_69.jpg
 
B

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
balladofwindfishes said:
Same for my area, more or less. Time Warner was going to put in 5gb caps on our internet. Yes, 5gb! And he put the breaks on it. I don't know what he threatened to do, but they stopped pushing the caps within a week and everything went back to normal.

He's very influential, and generally goes to bat for his citizens.
Click to expand...

I think everyone who has lived in NY long enough has one of those stories.
 
V

Voysa Reezun

Banned
ivysaur12 said:
THEY ALSO HAVE

CLINTON 47
CRUZ 40
Click to expand...

It's only one general election poll while still in primary season, I know, but this is the bigger deal even than Trump. If Cruz is also that far underwater, hello White House, hello Senate, hello pro-freedom, anti-oppression SCOTUS.

ivysaur12 said:
Best $25 donation of my life
Click to expand...

And a reminder of why you vote for/support/donate to the guy or gal with (D) next to his or her name instead of bitching about how they're not liberal enough for you.
 
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