BlastProcessing
Member
The GE polling is probably accurate in the sense that that really is how people are feeling right now about the matchups right now.
However, the projection of consequences of attacks on Bernie in the general is not just unfalsifiable, it's unquantifiable. There is no formula or metric you could use to extrapolate a definitive outcome in November based on the data that we have now, so no, it is not safe to use.
I suppose you could make the argument that in a Hillary vs Trump matchup, the outcome in November is unlikely to divert much from the current data. But GE polling IN GENERAL is definitely not safe to use when there are relatively unknown quantities included. There is no guarantee that Bernie would do much worse in November when his opponent is Donald Trump, regardless of the attacks; their effectiveness is not guaranteed.
Another thing that isn't quantifiable is how the electorate would react to a candidate that clearly won the popular vote and delegate count losing their spot because the party establishment went against them.
It seems like that could hurt things significantly, specifically down ticket.