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PoliGAF 2016 |OT5| Archdemon Hillary Clinton vs. Lice Traffic Jam
- Thread starter Spoiled Milk
- Start date
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BlastProcessing
Member
She should have gone to shake their hands, then yanked her hand back real quick at the last second and yelled "Syke!"
Or maybe had a prank buzzer in her hand or some shit. That's what a real leader would do.
Is Indiana a winner take all state for Republican delegates?
I didn't like that line. Sanders ain't a racist.
I didn't like that line. Sanders ain't a racist.
Retromelon
Member
The cost of the national school lunch program to the federal budget was a little more than half of 1% in 2014.
I never had a packed lunch, guess no one cared about me and I have no soul
I never had a packed lunch, guess no one cared about me and I have no soul
Ted Cruz isn't the Zodiac Killer either.
exmachina64
Banned
Trump would just have them killed.
But that's so much money that could be returned to your pocket.
I don't think he called him a racist, Larry likes Bernie.
Basileus777
Member
That's actually a far bigger number than I would have thought.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
The cost of the school lunch program in 2012 was $11.6B, the federal budget is nearly $4T, so, uhh, significantly less than .5%.
Jokes are supposed to be based on stereotypes. It's fine to make fun of Bernie for tons of things, but that line feeds into a narrative that he doesn't deserve.
Retromelon
Member
In 2014 the total expenditures of the federal budget were 3.5 trillion. In 2014 the cost of the program was 16 billion. So, actually a little less than half of 1%
It could feed into a narrative that he's trying to appeal to black voters who want gun control.
Ryan is a punkass.
Jokes aren't really supposed to be anything, except funny I guess but even that's going to be subjective.
Jesus Christ.
Just make school food free for everyone. Students, teachers, staff. volunteers.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
I feel like the fact that Paul Ryan voted a child rapist to be Speaker of the House on several occasions and now Ryan wants to take away your child's lunch could be used pretty well if a Democrat would bother to try against Ryan.
Eh. Did he know he was a rapist then? There are plenty of legitimate things to shot on Ryan for. Not knowing someone was a child predator is not one of them.
Kite
Member
I'm not surprised, a coworker sent out a mass message to go vote for Bernie.. the day after the Texas Dem primary ended. I know she didn't vote and now I know she doesn't follow the news.
VanMardigan
has calmed down a bit.
I grew up in a low income school district and I didn't even know public school students actually paid for lunch until I moved temporarily to Ohio my junior year. I was legit stunned that you had to pay money for school lunch.
AYE LMAOOOO
Macho Madness
Member
Cruz is falling apart and it couldn't happen to a better person
Like every time I write something about the guy I have the urge to write fuck Ted
Like every time I write something about the guy I have the urge to write fuck Ted
They are merely exchanging long protein strings. If you can think of a simpler way, I'd like to hear it.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Cruz should have been the first Gater candidate. A socially awkward nerd with a deep hatred of women and who is such an asshole that he has no friends. But Trump stole that demo from him too. Sad!
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Yeah no, Paul. Pretty sure that a starving elementary child will choose food over dignity. Also pretty sure they wouldn't care about dignity at all.
aspiegamer
Member
I will not be content this primary season until I see Ted Cruz cry on live TV. We're getting there!
Lewd.
I hate this
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
I think the only things that bring Cruz and Fiorina together is that everybody hates them and they both hate Trump.
He will def cry during his concession speech, I would put money on it. He is too melodramatic to pass that up.
Sure, but then he went on to sign that letter along with 39 other Republicans that said hey, we all make mistakes, so who are we to judge.
Their faces make this even better.
Macho Madness
Member
Fuck Ted
Oh. Then in that case fuck him.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Ryan didn't sign the letter I'm pretty sure. Just DeLay and more of DeLay's people.
Still, investigating your own people is often a good thing.
Still, investigating your own people is often a good thing.
Retromelon
Member
Could somebody help me
How do normal people skip songs that they are bored of? You know, without tediously pulling their phone out of their pocket, unlocking it and manually pressing next in their mp3 player? Surely there must be some simple way that this is done that everyone but me knows about instead of having to hack every android phone i buy to make volume buttons skip the track when held for 2 seconds.
Yeah rasta but i have headphones that hook onto the tops of my ears because earbuds never stay in and they dont have buttons.
I read somewhere that you can loop earbuds over the top of your ears instead of underneath and gravity will keep it in your ear but ive never tested this.
How do normal people skip songs that they are bored of? You know, without tediously pulling their phone out of their pocket, unlocking it and manually pressing next in their mp3 player? Surely there must be some simple way that this is done that everyone but me knows about instead of having to hack every android phone i buy to make volume buttons skip the track when held for 2 seconds.
Yeah rasta but i have headphones that hook onto the tops of my ears because earbuds never stay in and they dont have buttons.
I read somewhere that you can loop earbuds over the top of your ears instead of underneath and gravity will keep it in your ear but ive never tested this.
RastaMentality
Banned
My earphones have a middle button on the rocker that I can double click to skip. Android earphones should also exist.
Box of Kittens
Banned
To make things more interesting, I'll go ahead and try to make predictions on a district basis for Indiana, since I'm familiar with the state. I fully expect to get several of these wrong, given that we generally don't have polling data for individual districts and whatnot, but it'll be fun.
Here's a map of the districts.
Brief descriptions, with Cook PVI and significant cities.
1st (D+10) Northwest Indiana, including Gary and Michigan City. Largely industrial, influenced mostly by Chicago.
2nd (R+6) Northern Indiana, including South Bend and Elkhart. Notre Dame is in this district.
3rd (R+13) Northeastern Indiana, including Fort Wayne.
The 1st is largely urbanized, while the 2nd and 3rd are more of a mix of urban and rural. All would be largely characterized as "Rust Belt."
4th (R+11) Stretches from western suburbs of Indianapolis to the north and west, including Lafayette and Kokomo. Purdue is in this district.
5th (R+9) Northern (and wealthy) suburbs of Indianapolis including Carmel, Fishers, and Noblesville. Also some of the north side of Indianapolis itself as well as the economically distressed city of Anderson.
6th (R+12) Stretches from eastern suburbs of Indiana to the east and south (and a little northeast), including Muncie, Richmond, and Columbus. Ball State is in this district. Geographically much of this district is in Southern Indiana, but a lot of the population is in the northern part of the district.
7th (D+13) This district covers most of the city of Indianapolis, and that's pretty much all you need to know.
8th (R+8) Western and southwestern Indiana, including Terre Haute and Evansville. Indiana State and the University of Evansville are in this district.
9th (R+9) Stretches from southern suburbs of Indianapolis, including Greenwood, south to suburbs of Louisville. Also includes Bloomington. Indiana University is in this district (referring to it as "the University of Indiana" is almost as bad a faux pas as referring to Hoosiers as "Indianans").
Republicans
Trump sweep. It just seems like Cruz's campaign is collapsing, what with recent polling, the Kasich alliance going over like a lead balloon, and an air of desperation. The 1st, 2nd, and 3rd districts should be particularly strong Trump territory. His protectionism will play well there. Likewise, Trump tends to do well in urban districts like the 7th.
The 6th, 8th, and 9th all cover Southern Indiana, which are dominated more by religious conservatives than the rest of the state. While that would seem to bode well for Cruz, these areas have somewhat Southern characteristics (many of the settlers in this area migrated from Virginia), and Trump tends to do well with religious conservatives in the South. Indeed, Trump did quite well in Southern Ohio and Southern Illinois, both of which share that characteristic with Southern Indiana. Also, to be blunt, this is a part of the state with a particular racism problem.
The 4th and 5th are where I expect Cruz to keep it closest. The northern and western suburbs of Indianapolis remind me a lot of the Milwaukee suburbs, where Cruz cleaned up. Also, Trump often struggles in college counties like the 4th's Tippecanoe. For that same reason, I would expect Cruz to fare better in the 9th than the other two Southern Indiana districts.
Democrats
Hillary takes the 1st, 5th, 6th, 7th, and 8th, as well as statewide. Bernie wins the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and 9th.
The 1st and 7th should be easy wins for Hillary. Both are largely urban districts with relatively high African American populations. The 5th, 6th, and 8th should all be tighter and depend on whether they vote more like Ohio (where southern and suburban districts favored Hillary) or Illinois (where Bernie fared better in similar districts). Given the overall polling and likelihood of Bernie's supporters being discouraged, I give her the edge here.
The 4th and 9th should give Bernie massive margins in and around the major universities, and I expect that to swamp any advantage Hillary might have elsewhere in the districts. The 2nd and 3rd districts should favor Bernie for the same reason they favor Trump (largely white industrial districts where an anti-trade message will resonate).
I'll be very curious to see the results here. I find it particularly fun to follow elections in states I'm familiar with. Again, I fully expect to get a couple of these wrong, but we'll see.
Here's a map of the districts.
Brief descriptions, with Cook PVI and significant cities.
1st (D+10) Northwest Indiana, including Gary and Michigan City. Largely industrial, influenced mostly by Chicago.
2nd (R+6) Northern Indiana, including South Bend and Elkhart. Notre Dame is in this district.
3rd (R+13) Northeastern Indiana, including Fort Wayne.
The 1st is largely urbanized, while the 2nd and 3rd are more of a mix of urban and rural. All would be largely characterized as "Rust Belt."
4th (R+11) Stretches from western suburbs of Indianapolis to the north and west, including Lafayette and Kokomo. Purdue is in this district.
5th (R+9) Northern (and wealthy) suburbs of Indianapolis including Carmel, Fishers, and Noblesville. Also some of the north side of Indianapolis itself as well as the economically distressed city of Anderson.
6th (R+12) Stretches from eastern suburbs of Indiana to the east and south (and a little northeast), including Muncie, Richmond, and Columbus. Ball State is in this district. Geographically much of this district is in Southern Indiana, but a lot of the population is in the northern part of the district.
7th (D+13) This district covers most of the city of Indianapolis, and that's pretty much all you need to know.
8th (R+8) Western and southwestern Indiana, including Terre Haute and Evansville. Indiana State and the University of Evansville are in this district.
9th (R+9) Stretches from southern suburbs of Indianapolis, including Greenwood, south to suburbs of Louisville. Also includes Bloomington. Indiana University is in this district (referring to it as "the University of Indiana" is almost as bad a faux pas as referring to Hoosiers as "Indianans").
Republicans
Trump sweep. It just seems like Cruz's campaign is collapsing, what with recent polling, the Kasich alliance going over like a lead balloon, and an air of desperation. The 1st, 2nd, and 3rd districts should be particularly strong Trump territory. His protectionism will play well there. Likewise, Trump tends to do well in urban districts like the 7th.
The 6th, 8th, and 9th all cover Southern Indiana, which are dominated more by religious conservatives than the rest of the state. While that would seem to bode well for Cruz, these areas have somewhat Southern characteristics (many of the settlers in this area migrated from Virginia), and Trump tends to do well with religious conservatives in the South. Indeed, Trump did quite well in Southern Ohio and Southern Illinois, both of which share that characteristic with Southern Indiana. Also, to be blunt, this is a part of the state with a particular racism problem.
The 4th and 5th are where I expect Cruz to keep it closest. The northern and western suburbs of Indianapolis remind me a lot of the Milwaukee suburbs, where Cruz cleaned up. Also, Trump often struggles in college counties like the 4th's Tippecanoe. For that same reason, I would expect Cruz to fare better in the 9th than the other two Southern Indiana districts.
Democrats
Hillary takes the 1st, 5th, 6th, 7th, and 8th, as well as statewide. Bernie wins the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and 9th.
The 1st and 7th should be easy wins for Hillary. Both are largely urban districts with relatively high African American populations. The 5th, 6th, and 8th should all be tighter and depend on whether they vote more like Ohio (where southern and suburban districts favored Hillary) or Illinois (where Bernie fared better in similar districts). Given the overall polling and likelihood of Bernie's supporters being discouraged, I give her the edge here.
The 4th and 9th should give Bernie massive margins in and around the major universities, and I expect that to swamp any advantage Hillary might have elsewhere in the districts. The 2nd and 3rd districts should favor Bernie for the same reason they favor Trump (largely white industrial districts where an anti-trade message will resonate).
I'll be very curious to see the results here. I find it particularly fun to follow elections in states I'm familiar with. Again, I fully expect to get a couple of these wrong, but we'll see.
mashoutposse
Ante Up
The writing's been on the wall long enough that we may not get the tears.
Spycrabbing asshole.
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
I don't get his angle. One minute it sounds like he's preparing an exit, the next he's talking about burning it all down.
Maybe it's dependent upon which advisor he spoke with last?
I guess the Weaver/Devine power struggle isn't quite done yet.
He'd need his California numbers to be legendary, Indiana isn't going to make enough of a difference at this stage.
Box of Kittens
Banned
Winner take all by district. The delegate allocation is such that the statewide winner is guaranteed a majority of the delegates. Now if Trump is around the high end of what the polls are suggesting then it'll be tough for Cruz to get more than a small handful of delegates, if any.
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