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PoliGAF 2016 |OT6| Delete your accounts

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S

studyguy

Member
quantico said:
A couple million in ads across the state of CA doesn't go very far.
Click to expand...

Aye but I've read of enough smaller rallies happening in CA and it seems to be almost exclusively a norcal affair. Hell I've had more Trump interactions out here than Bernie ones for fucks sake. Living near Santa Barbara makes you hear the man's name every weekend.
 
F

Fenderputty

Banned
TheLostBigBoss said:
He's talked up California so much that it would be amazingly embarrassing if he actually loses it.

Campaign is out of money at this point, probably the last of his pocket to try and make sure he actually, you know, tries to win the state to some degree to have some type of talking point.
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Isnt he expected to lose it by 10 or so points?
 
S

Suikoguy

I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
eBay Huckster said:
also, in case anyone wants to engage in thought experiments regarding caucuses being fucking garbage, polls just closed for the washington primary
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We did that with Nebraska and the results were a mirror of the caucus.
 
T

TheLostBigBoss

Banned
Fenderputty said:
Isnt he expected to lose it by 10 or so points?
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Current polling has him down ~10 points

but I've been assured by Bernie Sanders that California will rocket him to the convention and with the Retroactive Momentum Theorem combined with the actual impossibility index of him gaining a majority of pledged delegates, he will win California by....

99%

Lock it in here folks, Clinton has the 1% on her side
 
Z

zero_suit

Member
TheLostBigBoss said:
Current polling has him down ~10 points

but I've been assured by Bernie Sanders that California will rocket him to the convention and with the Retroactive Momentum Theorem combined with the actual impossibility index of him gaining a majority of pledged delegates, he will win California by....

99%

Lock it in here folks, Clinton has the 1% on her side
Click to expand...

I'm dyin'.
 
F

Fenderputty

Banned
TheLostBigBoss said:
Current polling has him down ~10 points

but I've been assured by Bernie Sanders that California will rocket him to the convention and with the Retroactive Momentum Theorem combined with the actual impossibility index of him gaining a majority of pledged delegates, he will win California by....

99%

Lock it in here folks, Clinton has the 1% on her side
Click to expand...

Heh, I do wonder how he'll take being mathematically eliminated.
 
H

Holmes

Member
According to the Washington Secretary of State site, Clinton is leading by 40k votes, with about 550k votes cast.

http://results.vote.wa.gov/results/current/President-Democratic-Party.html

I don't know if the AP hasn't caught up yet, or the SoS is wrong which would make no sense? I dunno why there's a discrepancy.

ItWasMeantToBe19 said:
Who are these people that are going out to vote in Washington tonight.
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It's mail voting. They've had over 3 weeks to mail in their ballots.
 
M

Macho Madness

Member
Holmes said:
According to the Washington Secretary of State site, Clinton is leading by 40k votes, with about 550k votes cast.

http://results.vote.wa.gov/results/current/President-Democratic-Party.html

I don't know if the AP hasn't caught up yet, or the SoS is wrong which would make no sense? I dunno why there's a discrepancy.


It's mail voting. They've had over 3 weeks to mail in their ballots.
Click to expand...

AP showing this:

pEYsyfV.png
 
S

Suikoguy

I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
S

Suikoguy

I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
Holmes said:
I don't know where The Hill got that number, but it was indeed 53 - 47. Turnout was about over 80k, much more than the 33k turnout in the caucus.
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Weird. I don't know.
 
R

royalan

Member
Iolo said:
Devine hasn't said much of late. Sure he's expensive, but one wonders if Bernie has shut him out during the home stretch.

Anyway, I found this in a WSJ article about Trump stinking up his GE chances in Ohio, from a few days ago:
Click to expand...

I don't know if I agree with "boilerplate Democrat" but it's a hell of a lot better than "lesser of two evils." Welcome aboard ma'am.
 
H

Holmes

Member
I look forward to really comparing the Washington and Oregon primary results, and the Washington caucus and primary results. Hillary is winning King county (Seattle) by about 17%. It was a pretty weak county for Sanders in the caucus too, relative to the other counties anyway.
 
T

TheLostBigBoss

Banned
teiresias said:
Washington using the caucus results rather than the primary results is yet another fail for DWS . . . and another nail in the coffin in the argument of using caucuses at all.



He won the caucus back in March(?).
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Yea... wait

I was going to say, so they do a caucus and a primary?

what?
 
N

NeoXChaos

Member
why have a caucus when you have a primary anyway. So stupid.

Convinced she would have done better in all the caucus states if they were primaries.
 
S

Suikoguy

I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
It's pretty clear that Sanders would have been mathematically eliminated if there were no caucuses.
 
T

TheLostBigBoss

Banned
So what is the point of the primary, how many delegates will Clinton get?

I mean if this doesn't tell you how stupid the caucus system is and how Bernie piggy backed on it to not get completely blown out, I don't know what will show you
 
H

Holmes

Member
So Hillary will win California after seeing this. Of this, I am more certain than ever. Seeing how King county has voted, she will win Santa Clara county (San Jose) and most likely Alameda (Oakland and Berkeley). Hell, maybe even San Francisco.
 
A

Aaron Strife

Banned
Suikoguy said:
What are you talking about?

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box...n-wins-nebraska-primary-but-gets-no-delegates

"Hillary Clinton won a symbolic victory Tuesday in Nebraska, taking 59 percent of the primary vote to rival Bernie Sanders's 40 percent."
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Oh, oops. When you said mirror image I thought you meant the results were the same (Bernie winning by the same margin). You meant the opposite. Yeah it was a bit closer, but still.

NeoXChaos said:
do you think your state would have been won by Hillary if it was a primary?
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I think it would have been a bit closer, but it probably still would have gone to Bernie. Demographically it's very similar to Wisconsin and Bernie won there by like 13 points.

Voting would have been less of a pain in the ass though! Our legislature just passed a bill switching to primaries starting in 2020.

TheLostBigBoss said:
So what is the point of the primary, how many delegates will Clinton get?

I mean if this doesn't tell you how stupid the caucus system is and how Bernie piggy backed on it to not get completely blown out, I don't know what will show you
Click to expand...
Zero. Nothing was at stake here, it's basically a straw poll.
 
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