He will be lucky to cross the 35% mark there in the GE.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT6| Delete your accounts
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He will be lucky to cross the 35% mark there in the GE.
Officerrob
Banned
It's crazy how steady these Cali numbers are
Edit: CNN projects Hillary wins Cali
Edit: CNN projects Hillary wins Cali
Black Mamba
Member
Hillary is going to win Los Angeles by a greater vote margin than Sanders biggest win (Wisconsin).
lol.
And time for bed.
lol.
And time for bed.
User 463088
Banned
Yasssssss Queen!
excelsiorlef
Member
Ouch just heard Rachel Maddow's comments:
"He's not building an organization. They've made no effort to build any sort of ongoing organization, any sort of ongoing effort.
....
He really isn't building anything that's trying to do anything other than elect him as the Democratic nominee for President."
Brutal.
"He's not building an organization. They've made no effort to build any sort of ongoing organization, any sort of ongoing effort.
....
He really isn't building anything that's trying to do anything other than elect him as the Democratic nominee for President."
Brutal.
nature boy
Member
The 1000th Hannity interview with Trump really didn't produce anything relevant.
The start of many, hopefully:
The First Member of Congress Endorsed by Trump Loses GOP Primary
The start of many, hopefully:
The First Member of Congress Endorsed by Trump Loses GOP Primary
San Luis Obispo County went +2, heh
User 463088
Banned
I'm seriously worried about HA Goodman's mental health. He's totally lost it.
yaaaaaassssss
User 463088
Banned
Benchmark confirms fam. Lol
I do hope the guy takes a break from the internet once the FBI does not recommend an indictment for Hilary. Cenk actually came back to reality today and said good things about Hilary if I recall. HA Goodman is still talking about Hilary getting indicted by the FBI eventually despite no one caring much about it especially right now and yesterday. It may take awhile for him to come back to reality which the process will start once the FBI comes out and says they do not recommend an indictment for Hilary, but I don't think he will ever support Hilary.
Officerrob
Banned
NBC News finally calls Cali for Hillary
He probably wakes up in a cold sweat at night screaming FBI INDICTMENT!!!
excelsiorlef
Member
So on Facebook tonight I posted simply: Historical Night, The First Woman Nominee for President in the US
And all I got was someone lawyering me saying not till the Convention , Supers don't vote till the convention and when I said don't care she's won, it's not going to change, it's as historic as Obama winning at this point in 08. Friend said ok but it's not legal.
Another friend then replied saying basically her entire feed is all Sanders no Clinton so she can't possibly understand how Clinton is getting all these votes but then said she overheard some women on a bus saying they're voting for Clinton because she's a woman and not Bernie because he looks like Doc Brown from Back to the Future, and thus my friend concluded from this one example that everyone who votes for Clinton must be a superficial moron. and that apparently there are a lot of superficial morons in California. All because she saw no Clinton people on her facebook
And I note literally all I said was Historic Day: First Woman Nominee for President.
Didn't even say her damn name or praise her ideas, just that cool a woman could be President.
And I'm a Canadian in Canada. LOL It's why I completely have not said anything publicly on facebook about this primary. It encourages people to crawl over and shit on anything I write.
And all I got was someone lawyering me saying not till the Convention , Supers don't vote till the convention and when I said don't care she's won, it's not going to change, it's as historic as Obama winning at this point in 08. Friend said ok but it's not legal.
Another friend then replied saying basically her entire feed is all Sanders no Clinton so she can't possibly understand how Clinton is getting all these votes but then said she overheard some women on a bus saying they're voting for Clinton because she's a woman and not Bernie because he looks like Doc Brown from Back to the Future, and thus my friend concluded from this one example that everyone who votes for Clinton must be a superficial moron. and that apparently there are a lot of superficial morons in California. All because she saw no Clinton people on her facebook
And I note literally all I said was Historic Day: First Woman Nominee for President.
Didn't even say her damn name or praise her ideas, just that cool a woman could be President.
And I'm a Canadian in Canada. LOL It's why I completely have not said anything publicly on facebook about this primary. It encourages people to crawl over and shit on anything I write.
User 463088
Banned
Ya... But are you from southern Canada, though?
So... Canada?
nature boy
Member
Haha, based on what's going on Morning Joe, Trump's speech last night was worthless.
Officerrob
Banned
Nobody believes he can contain himself, and nobody is buying that act last night. The toothpaste is out of the tube, and he can't put it back in
User 463088
Banned
Well the parts of Canada that have internet. And McDonalds too, I assume. Or is this the low information parts of Canada? So many questions. I'm sure the answer is fraud though.
AP finally called it too.
exmachina64
Banned
He'll be back in 2024, leading another candidate to failure and obscurity.
Thatsthejoke.jpg
Anywhere really worth living in Canada is something like within 100 km of the border.
User 463088
Banned
Alright, let's call it 100 miles then. 75% of the population.We use miles in Murcia not your commie metrics.
exmachina64
Banned
They'll say she's revealed her true power-hungry nature.
You're Canadian? I've spent this whole election cycle thinking you were in the U.S.
User 463088
Banned
Thank you for catering to my needs without question. As an American, I expect nothing less.
Your end of the deal is annexation and making us all American citizens. Don't let me down.Thank you for catering to my needs without question. As an American, I expect nothing less.
excelsiorlef
Member
Heh, to be fair one was an American living in Canada the other an American in America.
But still, takes a level of hubris to get that fucking pedantic and petty.
excelsiorlef
Member
Yeah, I just care a lot about US politics because I dunno I just do lol.
Mostly because I learn a lot and it's made me a better person, I used to be one of those Obama would be a conservative in Canada types, and now I'm not.
I try to drop hints and stuff, though I've said I'm Canadian a few times, I'll always usually refer to the US directly to distance it from being directly connected to me, like I'll say the US Supreme Court system rather than the Supreme Court System. But I'm active and loud so I can see how people make assumptions, most don't know I'm a woman either lolz
excelsiorlef
Member
Heh I live right near the Washington State border in Vancouver but I'm from the great Capital of North America Ottawa
Living in Kelowna and even this is too far from competent medical specialists for my taste.
excelsiorlef
Member
I also care because I'm an actor and hope to work in the US some day.
So California is creeping closer and closer to being finished in the count. 93.4% reporting in and Clinton has maintained a 13 point lead. It really seems like something changed in the last few days around this. I can't blame the polls being wrong because they are the same polling companies that were predicting a 20 point blow out not too long ago, so am wondering whether the party has decided to end the content in the same way the republicans did for Trump by coalescing around the winner?
Wanting to live/work there... and partner lives there. Totes not bias, tho.
excelsiorlef
Member
I'd have to see his % of Latino votes but that Univision interviews sucked for him, the spirit of Nevada I still think lingered, he had an awful week a few back with the whole Barney Frank and throwing that AIDS group under the bus thing, he had no real insight on the water issues in California because he was too busy running for President.
And young people don't vote. Though that's also I guess because I don't have the stats on that.
That and demographics not polls have been the best predictor this primary. It's why many here were not that surprised that Sanders won Michigan.
I mean, he said, word for word;
While he is the middle of suggesting a judge with Mexican heritage cannot do his job and should be removed. Whoever wrote this for Trump is desperate to make him sound like not a monster and it sounds hollow as shit. If this is him on message lord is he in trouble.
TheLostBigBoss
Banned
Went to bed before Sanders speech, shocked he didn't concede.
Anything I said in the past month about him just trying to make a push for Cali was invalidated, Sanders is what I originally thought he was, an asshole who thinks the "progressive" movement is his and his alone.
Get fucked asshole
Anything I said in the past month about him just trying to make a push for Cali was invalidated, Sanders is what I originally thought he was, an asshole who thinks the "progressive" movement is his and his alone.
Get fucked asshole
I'm not sure why people thought he would immediately concede the night of.
Also we get a new, wonderful round of eurosplaining in the OT after this. I'm thrilled.
Nate Silver ‏@NateSilver538 26m26 minutes ago
Nate Silver Retweeted BuzzFeed News
Final scores for FiveThirtyEight primary models:
Polls-only: 54 of 59 correct (92%)
Polls-plus: 53 of 59 (90%)
Kind of a low accuracy rate for him, no? I feel like in the past they get every state or almost every state. Maybe that's the general.
Nate Silver Retweeted BuzzFeed News
Final scores for FiveThirtyEight primary models:
Polls-only: 54 of 59 correct (92%)
Polls-plus: 53 of 59 (90%)
Kind of a low accuracy rate for him, no? I feel like in the past they get every state or almost every state. Maybe that's the general.
That's was the general in 2012, and people really, really overstate how impressive that was. *I* got the general right in 2012 - the data was so overwhelmingly pointing towards one outcome.
He has a very good track record, no doubt, but the 'he predicted every state' thing is actually the least impressive of his accomplishments given the circumstances. It was only the bizarre republican group think and the desperate need of the media to make it a horse race that ever made anyone think it wasn't in the bag for Obama.
He has a very good track record, no doubt, but the 'he predicted every state' thing is actually the least impressive of his accomplishments given the circumstances. It was only the bizarre republican group think and the desperate need of the media to make it a horse race that ever made anyone think it wasn't in the bag for Obama.
TheLostBigBoss
Banned
Because
He ain't got no money
He ain't got no staff
He ain't got no votes
He ain't' got no delegates
He's an old white dude refusing to admit that we just made history with the Democratic party selecting the first female nominee by a significant margin.
I hope he's fucking ready, if Weaver shows his sorry face to the media I expect absolute destruction with Weaver blinking his eyes rapidly as he wishes he never took this job to begin with
Cesare Borgia
Banned
I seem to remember a certain white woman doing the same thing on June 3rd, 2008.
Sanders is laying off half his staff according to the NY Times. He'll go to DC as is his right, and likely concede afterwards. It takes a few days to sink in that it's over. Losing isn't fun.
I no longer believe he'll go to the convention.
I'm not sure if what I'm saying is correct, but I remember him saying that with any model that calls something with 90% confidence, it's absolutely "healthy" for the results to be wrong 10% of the time. Because that's how statistics work.
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