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PoliGAF 2017 |OT3| 13 Treasons Why

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@alexis_levinson
At polling place in Bozeman, haven't found anyone yet who changed their mind bc of last night's events. #MTAL

As expected. After Trump not really sure this kind of stuff affects voters.
 
Didn't exactly go great.

edit: let me clarify. I did not mean "why do these celebrities think it's possible to do it," I meant why would these celebrities think it's a good idea after seeing what is happening right now.

Because they *also* think they'd be better at it, and they are right. Of course there is still PLENTY of room to be an awful President, but there is essentially zero chance they would be the worst President in history.

In terms of temperament, personality, and general intelligence, Donald Trump is nearly the worst possible choice in the entire country. Someone asked during the election season if you would rather have Trump or an American picked at random for President, and I think it's clear by now that a random choice among all eligible Americans would have an excellent chance at being a better President than Trump.

There are dumber people than Trump. There are more self-centered people than Trump. There are more corrupt people than Trump. There are very, very few who are so particularly ill-suited in all of these respects for the Presidency.
 
@alexis_levinson
At polling place in Bozeman, haven't found anyone yet who changed their mind bc of last night's events. #MTAL

As expected. After Trump not really sure this kind of stuff affects voters.

Unless some people decided to stay home because of it, which you wouldn't discover by talking to people at a polling place.
 
In other news.

Across the pond, it's now (slightly) possible that Theresa May might end up with a huge egg on her face.

@britainelects
Westminster voting intention:

CON: 43% (-1)
LAB: 38% (+3)
LDEM: 10% (+1)
UKIP: 4% (+1)

(via @YouGov / 24 - 25 May)
 
Unless some people decided to stay home because of it, which you wouldn't discover by talking to people at a polling place.

This is the only effect that would have happened. People don't change teams because the star player beat somebody up. They just might not go to the game and only watch from TV.
 
I can only see Zuckerberg having a shot as an independent when we're in another Trump/Hillary situation when both candidates are loathed, and even then only if he's a good bit older and has beefed up his credentials.

I don't see that as a viable strategy. As unpopular as Trump/Clinton were, they still collectively received over 94% of the vote. Most people will line up behind their party's nominee, even if they don't like them. Since political parties formed in the US, every president has come from what was at the time considered one of the two main parties. The only case of an independent/third party candidate even finishing second was Teddy Roosevelt in 1912, and he was a popular former president.
 

NeoXChaos

Member
I don't see that as a viable strategy. As unpopular as Trump/Clinton were, they still collectively received over 94% of the vote. Most people will line up behind their party's nominee, even if they don't like them. Since political parties formed in the US, every president has come from what was at the time considered one of the two main parties. The only case of an independent/third party candidate even finishing second was Teddy Roosevelt in 1912, and he was a popular former president.

So if Democrats ever nominate a Trump they would line up with him 94%?
 

The Technomancer

card-carrying scientician
It's pretty easy to criticize UBI from a socialist POV.

It is, but I've also been grappling recently with how to fold this into a vision of socialism that isn't too labor centric.

EDIT: Like, if you're anarcho socialist the labor community angle really doesn't sit well with me and if you're state socialist then...UBI or its equivalent seems like its going to feature really prominently
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
To be clear, the best poll so far has still shown a hung parliament with a very clearly Conservative minority forming government, so it's not like Red Dawn: Nationalize Harder. But it'd be a huge embarassment for May, and simultaneously a big rebuke of the centrist wing of the Labour Party. I think it would cement 'Corbynism' as the new path of the Labour Party, even once Corbyn himself goes.
 
To be clear, the best poll so far has still shown a hung parliament with a very clearly Conservative minority forming government, so it's not like Red Dawn: Nationalize Harder. But it'd be a huge embarassment for May, and simultaneously a big rebuke of the centrist wing of the Labour Party. I think it would cement 'Corbynism' as the new path of the Labour Party, even once Corbyn himself goes.
so what you're saying is that this poll proves Bernie would have won
 
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Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
so what you're saying is that this poll proves Bernie would have won

Without a doubt, it confirms it completely, and also the consquent hypothesis that everyone who ever remotely associated with Clinton is a poopy butthole.
 
To be clear, the best poll so far has still shown a hung parliament with a very clearly Conservative minority forming government, so it's not like Red Dawn: Nationalize Harder. But it'd be a huge embarassment for May, and simultaneously a big rebuke of the centrist wing of the Labour Party. I think it would cement 'Corbynism' as the new path of the Labour Party, even once Corbyn himself goes.

Wrong side of the pond, mate.
 
Has Zuckerberg always been a Democrat or is he just running as one? I'm not sure if it's just because he is super rich, but I always thought he a Republican.

He's neither, he's in it for himself and Facebook and the knowledge economy. His company's PAC donates to both Republicans and Democrats.
 
I personally like the idea of a negative income tax better as it targets need better. At least until the demand for labor makes us rethink the entire structure.
 

Xando

Member
This might be the greatest twitter thread i've ever read:

1. Trump NATO meeting reminds me of a story I was never authorized to share, until now. His 1st call w/ Prime Minister of Denmark last year
2. This story was shared with me in December and confirmed by two high-level sources.
After the election it was widely reported that world leaders had a difficult time reaching Trump.
4. Normally calls w/ foreign leaders/POTUS elect are arranged w/ State Dept. This email @AmbassadorRice sent to Podesta explains process.
5. So the Prime Minister's office finally tracks someone down that knows how to get a hold of Trump and the call is arranged/made...
6. President Elect Trump is on call w/ Prime Minister of Denmark + mentions that his daughter in-law, Vanessa Trump, is of Danish descent
7. Trump then conferences his daughter-in-law into call w/ the Prime Minister of Denmark! Prime Minister was not warned/briefed in advance.
8. He then says to his daughter-in-law, "I'm on the phone with the King of Denmark! (wait for next tweet)
9. Reminder: He was on the phone with the Prime Minister of Denmark and Denmark doesn't have a King. Queen Margrethe II is the head of state
More at the link
https://twitter.com/yashar/status/867844340210475008
 
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thepotatoman

Unconfirmed Member
Someone was saying it couldn't go much into June without causing budget problems, but it feels like every time I thought there was a hard and fast reconciliation deadline, we've blown past it with no consequence.

The only deadline with actual teeth in the entirety of the process is the October 1st deadline to pass a budget or the government shuts down, but once they start the official process with a resolution that sets topline spending, they lose their opportunity, and there's a ton of steps and negotiation with democrats and the house after they start that process to finish by October 1st.

But that doesn't mean they can't use continuing resolutions and just never adopt a budget resolution. For the 2017 budget, they didn't adopt a budget resolution until January 13th, and the only reason they even passed that is so they could start the reconciliation of it for repeal.

That said, continuing resolutions are still a victory for the democrats, because Republicans are giving up a lot of power over the budget process by going that route.

So that's all I mean when i say it causes them problems if they delay it far into june. They totally might prefer taking their time on AHCA, even if they can't pass it until January of next year, and be OK with giving democrats the victory of continuing resolutions.
 

kirblar

Member
It is, but I've also been grappling recently with how to fold this into a vision of socialism that isn't too labor centric.

EDIT: Like, if you're anarcho socialist the labor community angle really doesn't sit well with me and if you're state socialist then...UBI or its equivalent seems like its going to feature really prominently
I mean, the whole concept of a "labor" class and a "owner" class has completely fallen apart. It just doesn't work as a way of explaining the world. It's just very attractive to people because it's black and white instead of nuanced.
 

The Technomancer

card-carrying scientician
I mean, the whole concept of a "labor" class and a "owner" class has completely fallen apart. It just doesn't work as a way of explaining the world. It's just very attractive to people because it's black and white instead of nuanced.

I would say that the owner class is still very meaningful, in terms of people who posses access to capital resources or money they can deploy in different directions, but what we think of as a labor class has splintered and remixed in some very fundamental ways we're not fully accounting for. A lot of anarcho-socialist thought I see still isn't set up for "what do we do when 30% of the population doesn't need to work" other than "divide the labor so more people work less" which I have some pretty strong concerns about
 
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