shadowsdarknes
Member
Joe Biden will be here in Tampa tomorrow.
This is on par with what we've been seeing. Florida is getting tons of attention. Hillary in holding 3 events there and so is Bill.
I think Obama is making a couple of stops there tomorrow.
This is genuinely concerning.Read more: http://www.politico.com/states/flor...ns-to-early-voting-polls-106931#ixzz4OkpnC54S
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Not shocking that its way down from 2012.
Her unfavorables aren't meaningless.
Its what they do best.Republican talking heads get a gold medal in avoiding the question.
This is genuinely concerning.
It's early and I may be reading this incorrectly so someone correct me if I'm off base.
They're basing a drop in AA turnout on a percentage decline in ballots vs 2012. 25% of early ballots in 2012 vs 16% today.
Didn't the Latino early vote in Florida spike 99% compared to 2012?
Wouldn't doubling the amount of Latinos submitting ballots drop the percentage of the AA vote even if the actual number of votes didn't change?
It's early and I may be reading this incorrectly so someone correct me if I'm off base.
They're basing a drop in AA turnout on a percentage decline in ballots vs 2012. 25% of early ballots in 2012 vs 16% today.
Didn't the Latino early vote in Florida spike 99% compared to 2012?
Wouldn't doubling the amount of Latinos submitting ballots drop the percentage of the AA vote even if the actual number of votes didn't change?
It's early and I may be reading this incorrectly so someone correct me if I'm off base.
They're basing a drop in AA turnout on a percentage decline in ballots vs 2012. 25% of early ballots in 2012 vs 16% today.
Didn't the Latino early vote in Florida spike 99% compared to 2012?
Wouldn't doubling the amount of Latinos submitting ballots drop the percentage of the AA vote even if the actual number of votes didn't change?
It was expected to be down. That's why I like Cohn's sienna polls. He said nothing he's seen in North Carolina is surprising. And his Florida poll has trump ahead. I'm inclined to believe now based on EV.Black voting is down in OH, NC too. It is concerning for HRC campaign.
Florida and Ohio going to the losing campaign would certainly be interesting. Unless something major happens Ohio seems to be slipping away. I still think she takes Florida though. I don't necessarily believe that an increase in white turnout is automatically that great for trump. I need to see the demographic breakdown.
That drop in AA support is really, really eye opening. I thought NC was going to be closer than FL but now I don't know. Wow. Is there even enough time to turn this around?
Hoping for NV, PA, WI and NH to deliver.The Senate is goneski
It would still go to him in greater percentage than the black vote so you'd want black vote more than white vote. Theoretically.
The Senate is goneski
What kev says.
The Senate is goneski
The Senate is goneski
Philadelphia transit workers go on strike
A union representing about 4,700 transit workers in Philadelphia went on strike early Tuesday after failing to reach a contract agreement with the Southeastern Pennsylvania Transportation Authority.
The strike, which will shut dow bus, trolley and subway transportation, provides about 900,000 rides a day. City officials fear the strike will carry over to Election Day, causing concerns for potential voters who plan to use public transport on Nov. 8 to travel to and from work, while finding time to vote in the process.
Seriously? God dammit..... what revelations did I miss?
Any specific reason why? Upshot has a 59% chance of Dems taking it, and, yes, that's down about 10% on the past week or 2, that's still better than it was beginning September.
In the end, I think it was too much to think that most Repubkicans wouldn't come home.
You would think today was the election going by this topic.
I think women, college educated whites and the Hispanic vote will push Clinton well over the top. Hopefully it's enough for the downballot too.No, that's true. And the liberal elite bastions of NC turning out are not bad either.
If you just looked at Sienna and Selzer (who uses a 2004 style electorate) I wonder what you'd see. She probably still wins comfortably but Ohio is off the table by a lot.
Just doing some quick maths, if on-the-day voting shows the same proportional adjustment as early in-person voting, then Clinton loses Florida. Vote-by-mail and she wins it by basically the same as 2012. So I think Florida probably hangs pretty finely in the balance.
Shouldn't matter, though. I think she wins without Florida. I don't think the Senate is going blue, though.
Because...?The big increases in early voting favors Trump.