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PoliGAF 2016 |OT14| Attention NV shoppers, democracy is on sale in aisle 4!

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M

Maxim726X

Member
tedrotheredro said:
Trump just called out Katy Tur on stage "Massive support, there's something happening, you're not reporting it, Katy. There's something happening, Katy".
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Well, we can always hope that Trump will stick his foot in his mouth again and derail the positive trending his campaign has enjoyed.

God knows he's done it before.
 
K

kess

Member
Felix Lighter said:
PA is a perfect example of Democrats not showing up on midterm elections. That's when you get Corbetts and Toomeys.
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Ironically, Tom Wolf, the State Supreme Court and a bunch of executive positions were swept by the Democrats in 2014, despite the PA State Senate and US congressional delegation not significantly changing.

Another reason Toomey should be worried is because it is a statewide election. Even an unlucky candidate like Onorato in 2010 managed to outrun most of the Democrats who had been around for much longer, like Kanjorski.
 
C

clevbrowns94

Member
That CNN poll...too close for comfort in PA, bad in Nevada, and decent in Florida given recent polls there. I know Nevada seems like an outlier, but we didn't really see polls like this two weeks ago or even last week (plus the poll with Trump up 7 in NC).
 
C

Crocodile

Member
whyamihere said:
Actually, Kasich in the primary is somewhat responsible for this:

Might be better just to watch the polls than party ID in Ohio.
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I can confirm that a good number of my friends/acquaintances across the state registered as Republicans to vote for Kasich in the primaries not because they like him or are Republicans but because they had a seething hatred/fear of Trump. I won't pretend to know what that means for the final vote next week but I just felt I should make that point.
 
S

Spoiled Milk

Banned
Iolo said:
who is tim buckley
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Timothy Charles "Tim" Buckley III (February 14, 1947 – June 29, 1975) was an American singer-songwriter and guitarist. His music and style changed considerably through the years; he began his career based in folk music, but his subsequent albums incorporated jazz, psychedelia, funk, soul, avant-garde and an evolving "voice as instrument" sound. Though he did not find commercial success during his lifetime, Buckley is admired by later generations for his innovation as a musician and vocal ability. He died at the age of 28 from a heroin overdose, leaving behind his sons Taylor and Jeff Buckley, the latter of whom later went on to become a musician as well.

Early life and career
Tim Buckley was born in Washington, D.C. on St. Valentine's Day, to Elaine (née Scalia), an Italian American, and Timothy Charles Buckley Jr., a highly decorated World War II veteran who was the son of Irish immigrants from Cork. He spent his early childhood in Amsterdam, New York, an industrial city approximately 40 miles northwest of Albany; at five years old he began listening to his mother's progressive jazz recordings, particularly Miles Davis.

Buckley's musical life began in earnest after his family moved to Bell Gardens in southern California in 1956. His grandmother introduced him to the work of Bessie Smith and Billie Holiday, his mother to Frank Sinatra and Judy Garland and his father to the country music of Hank Williams and Johnny Cash.[2] When the folk music revolution came around in the early 1960s, Buckley taught himself the banjo at age 13, and with several friends formed a folk group inspired by the Kingston Trio that played local high school events.[3]

During his initial high school years, Buckley was a popular and engaged student; he was elected to numerous offices, played on the baseball team and quarterbacked the football team.[4] During a football game he broke the first two fingers on his left hand, permanently damaging them. He later said that the injury prevented him from playing barre chords. This disability may have led to his use of extended chords, many of which don't require barres.[5]

Buckley attended Loara High School in Anaheim, California,[6] which left him disillusioned. He quit football and cut classes regularly, focusing most of his attention on music instead. He befriended Larry Beckett, his future lyricist, and Jim Fielder, a bass player with whom he formed two separate musical groups, the Bohemians, who initially played popular music,[7] and the Harlequin 3, a folk group which regularly incorporated spoken word and beat poetry into their gigs.[2]

In 1965, during French class, Buckley met Mary Guibert, one grade his junior. Their relationship inspired some of Buckley's music, and provided him time away from his turbulent home life. His father had become unstable, angry and occasionally violent in his later years. He had suffered a serious head injury during the war; that, along with a severe work-related injury, was said to have affected his mental balance.[8]

Buckley and Guibert married on October 25, 1965, as Guibert believed she was pregnant.[4] The marriage angered Mary's father and he did not attend the wedding; Buckley's father attended, but joked to the priest, "I give it six months". Shortly after the wedding Mary realized that she was not pregnant after all.

The marriage was tumultuous, and Buckley quickly moved out, but Mary soon became pregnant. After several months, Buckley found himself neither willing nor able to cope with marriage and impending fatherhood. From then on, he and Mary saw each other only sporadically. They divorced in October 1966, about a month before their son Jeffrey Scott was born.[9]

By then, Buckley and lyricist/friend Beckett had written dozens of songs; several were to appear on Tim's debut album, Tim Buckley. "Buzzin' Fly", was also written during this period, and was featured on Happy Sad, his 1969 LP.[9]

Buckley's ill-conceived college career at Fullerton College lasted only two weeks in 1965;[3][4] Buckley dropped out and dedicated himself fully to his music and to playing L.A. folk clubs. During the summer of 1965 he played regularly at a club co-founded by Dan Gordon. Later in the year he played various Orange County coffeehouses, such as the White Room in Buena Park, and the Monday night hootenannies at the famed Los Angeles Troubadour.[10] That year Cheetah Magazine deemed Buckley an up-and-comer, one of "The Orange County Three", along with Steve Noonan and Jackson Browne.[2]

In February 1966, following a gig at It's Boss, the Mothers of Invention's drummer Jimmy Carl Black recommended Buckley to the Mothers' manager, Herb Cohen. Cohen saw potential in Tim[3] and landed him an extended gig at the Nite Owl Cafe in Greenwich Village. Buckley's new girlfriend, Jainie Goldstein, drove him cross-country to New York in her VW bug.[8] While living in the Bowery with Jainie, Buckley ran into Lee Underwood, and asked him to play guitar for him. From there, they became lifelong friends and collaborators.

Under Cohen's management, Buckley recorded a six song demo acetate disc, which he sent to Elektra records owner Jac Holzman,[2][7] who offered him a recording contract.[3]
 
Z

Zukkoyaki

Member
clevbrowns94 said:
That CNN poll...too close for comfort in PA, bad in Nevada, and decent in Florida given recent polls there. I know Nevada seems like an outlier, but we didn't really see polls like this two weeks ago or even last week (plus the poll with Trump up 7 in NC).
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1. PA is fine
2. Early voting in Nevada is heavily implying that Clinton has probably already won it
3. NC poll was an outlier. Early voting is looking really good for Clinton
4. Relax ^_^
 
V

Veritigo_X

Member
Why would Ohio voters need to change party registration to vote in the primary when they have an open primary?

Edit: saw whyamihere's edit. Didn't know about party ID switching based on vote... interesting.
 
W

whyamihere

Banned
Veritigo_X said:
Why would Ohio voters need to change party registration to vote in the primary when they have an open primary?

Edit: saw whyamihere's edit. Didn't know about party ID switching based on vote... interesting.
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Yeah, I had completely forgotten they don't have real party ID in Ohio.
 
S

Slacker

Member
If you had an event on election night and wanted to make sure you're home in time for the good stuff happening, when would that be? 9PM central too late? Trying to decide if I need to cancel. :D Should be must see TV.
 
F

Fragamemnon

Member
Slacker said:
If you had an event on election night and wanted to make sure you're home in time for the good stuff happening, when would that be? 9PM central too late? Trying to decide if I need to cancel. :D Should be must see TV.
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I think things get fun around 8:30 or so EDT.
 
N

Nazgul_Hunter

Member
Spoiled Milk said:
These polls are tighter than my girlfriend. Who gave Trump Cialis?
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These have the full brunt of the FBI impact. There's a few things that could explain why:

1) Republicans seem to be coming home to Trump.
2) Some pollsters have seen a depressed response rate when ppl's candidates are having a bad news cycle.

Both are probably true, but I don't know what the magnitude of each is.


Also did anyone else catch Trump saying Wikileaks was gonna drop some more info today
 
W

Wolfgunblood Garopa

Member
whyamihere said:
I was really hoping it would be the Democrats in Cuyahoga who were up and Republicans who were down. This could be not great:



EDIT: Just a reminder that party ID in Ohio is based on your 2016 primary vote. Which. You know.
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Yeah, a lot of Dems filed out R ballots to vote for Kasich. My entire family did other than me and my wife.
 
I

Incognito

Troll
Slacker said:
If you had an event on election night and wanted to make sure you're home in time for the good stuff happening, when would that be? 9PM central too late? Trying to decide if I need to cancel. :D Should be must see TV.
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dude, u need to be home by 6pm CST so Wolf can utter sweet little "dead heats" into your ear.
 
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