CoffeeJanitor
Member
Anyone have a summary of all polls for today ?
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT14| Attention NV shoppers, democracy is on sale in aisle 4!
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Nazgul_Hunter
Member
This isn't even the first time he's called Katy Tur out
Dun care, lazer focused on Clinton because $$$$$$$$$$
Captain Pants
Killed by a goddamned Dredgeling
Trump is winning Nevada bigly bigleague. Panic!
DontBeThatGuy
Member
PA might be closer than 2012 but I don't think it's anything to worry about.
whyamihere
Banned
Man, this really is going to end up very similarly to 2012, isn't it?
Hopium is back on the table.
Spoiled Milk
Banned
Reminder:
WikiLeaks ‏@wikileaks
No link between Trump & Russia
No link between Assange & Russia
But Podesta & Clinton involved in selling 20% of US uranium to Russia
Huh. I must be doing a good job tuning him out. Good on her for continuing to put up with pretty vile shit.
balladofwindfishes
Member
I believe she'll generally overperform her polls. I think she'll match 2012 Obama in PA, or slightly exceed him.
Looks like it. Other than NC, and maybe Ohio and Iowa.
The numbers are starting to fall right into 2012 place.
However
Polling in 2012 was very wrong. Very, very wrong. Obama greatly out performed polls. So if the polls are showing a 2012 race, maybe there's a chance it's actually more than 2012?
Looks like it. Other than NC, and maybe Ohio and Iowa.
The numbers are starting to fall right into 2012 place.
However
Polling in 2012 was very wrong. Very, very wrong. Obama greatly out performed polls. So if the polls are showing a 2012 race, maybe there's a chance it's actually more than 2012?
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Yep. My guess is Hillary ends up winning by 2 points nationally.
I got 3-5.
whyamihere
Banned
So then it wouldn't be like 2012.
balladofwindfishes
Member
5-6 point lead
A 2 point lead would be terrible (and not like 2012). There's no indication of that at all and she'd have to underperform polls to hit that.
aw, shit
No, but she was ahead by a healthier amount.
Still, that's a solid lead. Should hold out until election day.
lol, I gotta go straight MSNBC all night. I'll rely on PoliGAF to alert me of any meltdowns happening and I'll flip over accordingly.
Spoiled Milk
Banned
Betting 6-8 as well.
Beer Monkey
Member
I pulled early voting data for my county in Ohio (Hamilton county, Cincinnati) and crunched the numbers
I don't have the data to compare to 2012 yet. Trying to get it but not straightforward because of weird Party ID in Ohio.
FYI Obama won by around 3% here in 2012.
Code:
Party Requested % of Req Returned % OF Ret Ret %
----- --------- -------- -------- -------- -------
NON 46,131 43.88% 29,516 38.93% 64%
REP 32,595 31.00% 24,788 32.70% 76%
DEM 26,300 25.02% 21,428 28.27% 81%
GRE 76 0.07% 57 0.08% 75%
LIB 28 0.03% 20 0.03% 71%
Total: 105,130 75,809I don't have the data to compare to 2012 yet. Trying to get it but not straightforward because of weird Party ID in Ohio.
FYI Obama won by around 3% here in 2012.
I don't know about you guys but I'm ready for this thing to be over. If Trump wins, so be it. Maybe we'll get lucky and he won't do as bad as we think he will. Maybe not. At least, this god damn election will be done and we'll have a winner.
If you're in a battleground state, get your asses out and canvas for GOTV. I'll be doing my part on Saturday for Ohio.
If you're in a battleground state, get your asses out and canvas for GOTV. I'll be doing my part on Saturday for Ohio.
RustyNails
Member
This was a stretch post, but I laughed really hard just the same.
metalslimer
Member
Only a mass defection would give a 2 point win.
I'm also thinking 6-8 depending on the GOTV effort
I'm also thinking 6-8 depending on the GOTV effort
A Human Becoming
More than a Member
I would be very pleased by that. If his GOTV is as poor as people have been saying than that sounds plausible.
I wish I was contacted by one of those online surveys: I never answer my phone for unknown numbers.I wish a pollster would call ME....
CoffeeJanitor
Member
Can people please panic COME ON LETS GO
My parents are voting for Trump in Missouri but are voting for Kander for senate and Koster for governor. I didn't even try comprehending it but I'll take it
I'm not at all just cool with Trump winning, but I am definitely tired of this election now. I went from watching news networks daily and constantly browsing here and twitter to now just skimming stuff to keep up and wishing the election was today.
I've transitioned from daily CNN to daily ESPN. That's how bad this last week of this shitfest has affected me.
nature boy
Member
IT BEGINS
Spoiled Milk
Banned
Kander's opponent can't even assemble his rifle blindfolded.
But have you seen his rally sizes?
Whatever happens this will be an interesting study into how important GOTV spending actually is.
metalslimer
Member
Carpe Libertatem
Member
I know a volunteer for Kander and Koster who voted for Trump (absentee)
Already Torn
Banned
Drove through some backwoods MD and PA today. Surprisingly MD was full of Trump signs but once you crossed state lines they all turned to Johnson and Toomey, so go figure. There's still all of the shit hole middle parts of PA tho.
balladofwindfishes
Member
Where's this poll that's going to make us cry? I was promised a new poll
nature boy
Member
Marquette poll is being announced, but the stream has crashed (at least for me).
I assume he's talking about the MU Law Poll. They're announcing the results now.
Hellsing321
Member
I pre-soiled my sheets in anticipation.
My grandma and great-aunt are doing this. I don't know why but I'll let them vote for the two Ks. I know Koster has a lot of support because he used to be a Republican for years but Kander is a surprise. They either really don't like Blunt or just like that Kander can assemble a gun lol.
Nazgul_Hunter
Member
Maybe they prefer Trump with divided government to act as a check. I'm sure even they know he is extreme.
People hate lobbyists
whyamihere
Banned
+6!
Nazgul_Hunter
Member
Boom:
New Marquette Law School Poll finds Clinton leading Trump among likely voters in WI 46% to 40%. #mulawpoll
New Marquette Law School Poll finds Clinton leading Trump among likely voters in WI 46% to 40%. #mulawpoll
balladofwindfishes
Member
Nice
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