DontBeThatGuy
Member
Ohio, you dumb.
-
Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.
PoliGAF 2016 |OT14| Attention NV shoppers, democracy is on sale in aisle 4!
- Thread starter eBay Huckster
- Start date
- Status
whyamihere
Banned
Hillary gained a bit in the NC tracker on Upshot. Aw yeah.
Thunder Monkey
Banned
I also expect this to be the first GE in a very long time where ticket-splitting is a huge phenom.
Granted I don't expect much in the way of growth. A total sum of 140 million voters. The "Obama Coalition" relatively untouched, but a huge swath of Rep voters ticking Hillary and voting R downballot.
I expect Hill to win by 11% roughly, but Senate and House Dems to be running as if she's was only about 5% ahead.
Good Job Bob
Member
Ohio been gone.
balladofwindfishes
Member
Hey, I'll take these.
RIP Ohio, though. I think we're witnessing the birth of a new red state. Even if she over performs (which I think she will), gaining 5 points is pretty hard.
I have no idea how anyone can come to this conclusion with the data we have available.
Unless you believe that her superior ground game will turn the tide.
Irrelevant now
Well they been irrelevant for a while.
The biggest news is always dropped unannounced.
Captain Pants
Killed by a goddamned Dredgeling
I have to think it's closer than that... not to mention her ground game advantage.
Mizzou Gaming
Member
Missouri guy here trying to find a reliable poll for Kander smoking Blunt and Koster vs Greitens.
Also, we have a voter ID law on the ballot which will probably unfortunately pass. Would it have to be the MO Supreme Court that would have to strike it down or how does that usually work?
Also, we have a voter ID law on the ballot which will probably unfortunately pass. Would it have to be the MO Supreme Court that would have to strike it down or how does that usually work?
Two more will rise to take it's place. Texas and Georgia
balladofwindfishes
Member
More confirmation at this being 2012 +/- Iowa, Ohio and NC.
Thunder Monkey
Banned
Trump won't win Ohio by 5.
He's going to win it, but it will be by a margin much closer to 2004. Hill has Iowa. It's going to be a squeaker, but she wins it.
He's going to win it, but it will be by a margin much closer to 2004. Hill has Iowa. It's going to be a squeaker, but she wins it.
Q has had big R-lean, so there's still hope in OH.
But FL and NC looking good, and PA. Hillary's got this.
balladofwindfishes
Member
We're getting Virginia as a solid blue state and NC as lean blue, Florida getting bluer, with Texas, Georgia, Alaska (lol), and Arizona moving our way in the coming decade.
The big gains in the next few years are looking to be with the Democrats, pretty much entirely thanks to demographics.
They can have Iowa and Ohio if it means we eventually get Texas.
She is most likely going to overpefrorm the polls by 1 to 3 points.
eBay Huckster
Member
otoh, Q had about a 1% R lean in 2012 and IIRC it's been somewhat more pronounced this year (though not quite to the degree of, say, CNN/ORC), so it's unlikely that she actually needs to gain 5
clevbrowns94
Member
Pretty damn good all things considered. Apologies from Ohio. I guess we simply have too many uneducated white males.
Only thing Ohio has of value is Adam
8 X 11 Printer Paper
Member
Lets export him!
bangbang i'm a timpani
Banned
how? you think the trends towards trump are just going to stop?
Laevateinn
Member
Not really. North Carolina has seen a lot of growth and a lot of young talented people moving into the state. Ohio has seen the opposite: job loss and the youth fleeing the state. Ohio is a completely hopeless state facing massive depression and a drug epidemic.
The town my wife is from was once described as a third-world country by a Starbucks executive. Dems will continue to lose it unless massive reforms come to the state.
Nazgul_Hunter
Member
I hope Trump wins Ohio and loses the presidency so we can stop caring about Ohio.
Azure Dream
Member
Saw it coming a mile away. Especially in rural areas, most of the Hillary signs I see are "Hillary for Prison". Not joking.
They've fully chugged the Kool-Aid pitcher.
BenjaminBirdie
Banned
Skyline Chili
Brainiac (RIP)
Sudsy Malone's
Western College (RIP)
Okay, four other things
cartoon_soldier
Member
Randolph Freelander
Member
If Ohio goes for Trump, the Buckeyes are out of the CFP.
No pressure, adam, Floyd, etc.
No pressure, adam, Floyd, etc.
eBay Huckster
Member
I don't know whether I should feel insulted by this
We also have really good libraries, for some reason
Spider from Mars
tap that thorax
Cedar Point is the only thing Ohio has going for it.
balladofwindfishes
Member
Wasn't Harambe from Ohio?
Randolph Freelander
Member
Link to the poll.
Interesting part on early voting;
GOTV really might be the key if she ends up squeaking by in Ohio.
Interesting part on early voting;
GOTV really might be the key if she ends up squeaking by in Ohio.
SpeedySwaf
Member
While the FL swing is pretty pronounced (last two were +4 and +5 Clinton), the NC poll is pretty stable, having been +3 and +4 previously. The PA is also pretty stable, previously being +6 and +5.
Veritigo_X
Member
Genuinely surprised someone here even knows what Western College is!
Free Trade?
Sounds like Globalist talk
Ebay you will always be the Bronsonless of Poligaf
eBay Huckster
Member
...and now I don't know whether I should feel insulted by that!
DontBeThatGuy
Member
It can't feel good.
nature boy
Member
Da fuck, Q didn't poll the Senate races
RustyNails
Member
Ohio is a mess. I blame Adam.
eBay Huckster
Member
I would object, on the basis that I'm still gonna be living in Ohio for at least a couple more years.
Fair game once I get the hell out, though. Probably moving to NC!
maquiladora
Member
SuperfireCorman
Neo Member
Please no - I live in Ohio. It's bad enough seeing the sea of Trump signs in every yard on the way to my house. My wife and I did our part and have already voted for Dems down the ticket.
Hasphat'sAnts
Member
Lebron's pretty cool.
- Status
Similar threads
- Locked
- Locked
- Locked
- Locked