gutter_trash
Banned
and miilions watching
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT14| Attention NV shoppers, democracy is on sale in aisle 4!
- Thread starter eBay Huckster
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Thaedolus
Member
Goddamn I just saw it, yikes...crazy.
In Cuyahoga County
Carpe Carnim
Member
I remember watching those white robed freaks as a teenager on Miami TV. They scared the shit outta my mom, I just thought they looked like George Clinton fans.
Crazy shit, man. Trump brings out the freaks
Spoiled Milk
Banned
Why, because of the cubs?
That's the only way Trump could be competitive. There are only so many old white People and Trump isn't winning 70% of them...
Same.
Yes please post.
eBay Huckster
Member
because i physically can't handle election talk anymore and yes, because a sports team in my hometown choked away a title for the hundredth fucking time
This is just Florida, FYI: not nationwide.
Explain to me how rubio keeps his senate seat with this kind of landslide.
If this same Hispanic trend continues for Arizona, it will likely be enough to flip that state. African Americans finally coming online bodes well for North Carolina and Ohio as well.
RustyNails
Member
Manmademan
Member
Yep. this is why I'm not concerned with polling anymore.
Your "clinton +1" polls assume low minority turnout ("blacks won't vote for a non black candidate!") and angry white voters showing up out of nowhere.
the "clinton +6" polls assume turnout similar to 2012.
We are looking at early voting totals completely destroying even the most agressive estimates of where minority turnout would be. Nothing is accurate.
This is going to be another "what happened to polling??" election.
I'm at work and on my phone but here's what I could quickly find http://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/11/02/arizona-early-voting-5-charts/93152768/
They could just release vote totals but no other info.
Spoiled Milk
Banned
Sorry about the cubs but Clinton's up +6, all you need is a week and it'll be over.
They've been ignoring minorities all election cycle in favor of paying attention to white guys, why start paying attention now?
Fragamemnon
Member
this can't be a real twitter post right
Come bro we are almost done here.
Carpe Carnim
Member
Cubbies are up 5-1, is eBay an Indians fan?
It's 5-3 now
Manmademan
Member
Arizona won't be that high. Florida is in it's own special little boat because of a flood of puerto rican immigrants in a very short period of time. somewhere between 500,000 and 1,000,000 since 2010.
as far as I know they primarily stayed local to florida and did not spread out to the rest of the continental US.
Latino voting is way up everywhere, but it's astronomical in florida because of that. Guess how many pollsters remembered to factor this in when estimating turnout?
if your answer is "zero" give yourself a cookie.
Jesus.
Carpe Carnim
Member
this can't be a real twitter post right
If the polls are as messed up as they seem, all the polling modelers are gonna look like trash. This election may have broken Nate. Sad!
elvisaintdead
Member
Someone asked earlier about people talking indictments for Clinton again, I think that was speculation from Bret Baier:
This is the story that FOX is running:
Clips on Twitter show it being portrayed as a pretty big story on Baier and Kelly's shows.
This is the story that FOX is running:
Clips on Twitter show it being portrayed as a pretty big story on Baier and Kelly's shows.
FUCK.
Carpe Carnim
Member
Damn, the goat lives.
RustyNails
Member
OK fox news. Let us know when you find something. Which is never.
And how much is total turnout up?
These numbers are meaningless if turnout is up across the board.
this can't be a real twitter post right
These fucking guys.
Surely THIS will be the thing that finally brings down the Clinton empire.
Them Cubbies, they ain't gonna win no more.
6-3
eBay Huckster
Member
(i'm also cracking under grad school-related stress, so i guess i can say election stuff and hometown team choking away a title are back-breakers rather than the root cause of anything)
Carpe Carnim
Member
Well, at least we know the narrative that the House Demon-Clinton Committee will use to justify their Impeachment attempt next year. What a bunch of treasonous douche-canoes. Bury them Queen
Nice makeup for an iffy half inning in front of that.
CrazedProfessional
Member
So RCP is shit now? Or was it always?
Ah ok makes sense then.
Voysa Reezun
Banned
This is just Florida, FYI: not nationwide.
Explain to me how rubio keeps his senate seat with this kind of landslide.
Split tickets where a number of voters vote for him and for Hillary?
We know that it's happening in OH. Maybe in FL as well? I think there was a post earlier today that indicated that some of this might be happening, but I don't remember who posted the info.
They had Romney up in 2012 by less than a point. Obama won by like 3.
Always.
Angry Grimace
Two cannibals are eating a clown. One turns to the other and says "does something taste funny to you?"
November surprise: 33K deleted emails from the Clinton Foundation that discuss Hillary's conspiracy to have Vince Foster's angry ghost purged by appeasing it with the soul of Ambassador Stevens.
newshinycd
Member
Always
Manmademan
Member
If you consider how heavily those demographics vote democratic, the numbers aren't meaningless at all.
You literally cannot spike the white vote high enough to overcome black voters going clinton 95-5, and (non cuban) latinos by 85-15 margins.
Phew. Glad they made up some of that rally in the making inning.
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