Clearly cloned after the virus had already taken Kev over.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT14| Attention NV shoppers, democracy is on sale in aisle 4!
- Thread starter eBay Huckster
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Clearly cloned after the virus had already taken Kev over.
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
I'm just curious, were you guys giving this much validity to the sources who told people at Fox that Obama was a socialist muslim in 2008 too?
Whitey tape is coming yo.
I adjust for trendz
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
95th percentiles in Quant and Verbal on the GRE (168 Quant, 165 Verbal), 3.995 GPA in math and economics, doing math research now... Feeling good about my Economics Ph.D. application.
Congratulations. You always struck me as more of a literary type.
Dunno man, would have to see how Nate adjusts those numbers before making a prediction.
congrats. your chances are at least as good as Clinton's.
StopMakingSense
Member
According to my site, PoliChartz
Iriscomeback
Member
I'm not very knowledgeable about these elections and I have been under the impression Hilary will win this easy.
But some news outlets here in the Netherlands have been pretty sure Trump will win this based on some recent polls. What to believe?
They cite ABCNews and Washpost tracking polls. Are those reliable?
But some news outlets here in the Netherlands have been pretty sure Trump will win this based on some recent polls. What to believe?
They cite ABCNews and Washpost tracking polls. Are those reliable?
The campaigns are fired-up, but not necessarily the voters. More precisely, Trump himself seems more energetic, but the rest of his campaign are just killing time, it seems. Like, where's Rudy? Hillary by contrast is using Comeygate to just press her advantage with the GOTV and Early Voting, and has more reason to push her surrogates into places.
It also seems like the GOP couldn't control the narrative with Comey - they don't know whether to push emails, or question his obvious partisan play. So they're just... losing it? I think we're lucky that those feds sat on the Weiner/Huma emails for as long as they did. If Comey had announced this at the beginning of October, it would've given the GOP hope. As it is, 10 days out, it was too late for them.
Plus, y'know, maybe the lack of enthusiasm with the early voting Republicans is due to not wanting Trump.
So when the fuck are they going to indict her? Before the election? Before her inauguration? What a bunch of crap.
If the FBI is really this partisan how can we even trust them to investigate serious things relating to national security etc.? It's terrifying.
StopMakingSense
Member
Well the FBI doesn't have the power to indict anybody so <shrug shoulders ascii guy>
ViewtifulJC
Banned
So what are yall gonna do after trump wins?
SpeedySwaf
Member
I think the general consensus is that you should pay more attention to the traditional polls rather than the trackers, and the traditional polls have been more-or-less pretty stable with Hillary's overall lead.
Twilight Princess
Member
Hillary got dis, right guys..?
sazzy
Member
Aaron Strife
Banned
More or less. It would be a pretty big shock if Trump did win.
Most of the debate is around the margin at this point.
ViewtifulJC
Banned
Too close to call
cartoon_soldier
Member
Aaron Strife
Banned
We're getting another one from Suffolk later today that's supposed to be a bit more grounded in reality based on twitter buzz.
cartoon_soldier
Member
What's wrong with this one?
ZeezbruhTV
Member
I hope it's at least +7
Iriscomeback
Member
Ok, thanks!
cartoon_soldier
Member
Twilight Princess
Member
Thanks guys, I feel better now.
Nevada math
If early vote is c.70% of the final like in 2012 and she leads by just 4% (she is surely leading higher)....
Trump needs to win Election Day 63%-37% (get 19% of the final 30%)...however CLARK and Washoe are 83% of the voting population even on the final day. Best case for him is to split the vote their 50/50 (he will lose that combo by 5-10pts). Assuming he does a miracle 50-50 means he gets about 12.5% from CLARK and Washoe but the rest of the state is only 5% of the remaining >>>> he gets only 17.5% max (he needs 19%) assuming he takes 100% of the rest of the votes in NV and Queen still wins the state by 1.5%.
For the record she is likely leading Nevada 6%+ and will win CLARK and Washoe with c.55% of the vote.
Only way this is wrong is if identified D's in NV are voting Trump higher than 10%.
Reid machine is amazing in action.
If early vote is c.70% of the final like in 2012 and she leads by just 4% (she is surely leading higher)....
Trump needs to win Election Day 63%-37% (get 19% of the final 30%)...however CLARK and Washoe are 83% of the voting population even on the final day. Best case for him is to split the vote their 50/50 (he will lose that combo by 5-10pts). Assuming he does a miracle 50-50 means he gets about 12.5% from CLARK and Washoe but the rest of the state is only 5% of the remaining >>>> he gets only 17.5% max (he needs 19%) assuming he takes 100% of the rest of the votes in NV and Queen still wins the state by 1.5%.
For the record she is likely leading Nevada 6%+ and will win CLARK and Washoe with c.55% of the vote.
Only way this is wrong is if identified D's in NV are voting Trump higher than 10%.
Reid machine is amazing in action.
The Quiet Ruthlessness of the Clinton Campaign
Bolded is the line they used in the tweet for the article.
Bolded is the line they used in the tweet for the article.
Her 2008 campaign was a fucking mess though. I'm glad she learned from it.
Hillary needs to win decisively by at least a couple states so there's no threat of a recount.
Yep I agree.
sazzy
Member
Bookmark this: http://votecastr.us/
if you want to follow voting results/projections throughout the day.
if you want to follow voting results/projections throughout the day.
ArkhamFantasy
Member
I have it on good authority that Donald Trump, his entire campaign, and all of the GOP have email accounts, full of emails. We need to figure out what the hell is going on.
That's nice, but it really shouldn't have to do that.
God, that woman is the master of deflection.
That's why you get insurance!
A Link to the Past
Banned
I just can't wait until the election is over. Besides the possibility of losing the Presidency and/or the Senate (the former being only a possibility in theory), watching the polls fluctuate and people stressing about them has been one of the most... well, stressful things
Not the Senate tho.
A Link to the Past
Banned
Is there really much concern about losing the Senate at this point though? Haven't we been tracking in the lead in like seven states, and we only need to get four?
Hold NV and flip 4 to get 50/50. Preferably 5 as a, once again, insurance policy for the special election in fall 2017 for Kaine's seat in case Dems fuck up
nature boy
Member
Races have tightened in WI and IN
A Link to the Past
Banned
Is a Virginia loss just an "it could happen" thing or a legitimate possibility?
Hmm, I see. I have heard about Bayh's recent dip, but not Feingold's.
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