Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
CNN doesn't operate on early voting numbers, though. They're just going by their recent poll that had Trump up by like 7.
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT14| Attention NV shoppers, democracy is on sale in aisle 4!
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CNN doesn't operate on early voting numbers, though. They're just going by their recent poll that had Trump up by like 7.
Well that's dumb. When you have the data you use it
lyrick
Member
Signs point to they got a taste of what leaning to the right does to your ratings. I'm guessing they want to hold onto that Fox News Lite audience.
sazzy
Member
Look at NC on the map.
Look at the banner headline at the bottom of the screen.
You decide
This guy is just listening to sweet nothings from (((globalists))).
nature boy
Member
Kev, control your heart!
shinra-bansho
Member
What if there is nonresponse bias leading to systemic polling error for both simultaneously? Is it like when you poor boiling water on dry ice?
thanks!
nature boy
Member
Whoa Schale tweeted the Biden.gif about early voting yesterday in FL
MEGA
MEGA
Abinash117
Member
Don't know if this was posted yesterday, but very big leads among early voters. It reflects FL and some other states in terms of massive lead.
This NH poll that has her losing
I'm still waiting for the FBI to drop some last minute bullshit on, say, Friday afternoon. I'm almost expecting it at this point.
Consider this. Obama initially spoke rather respectfully of Comey after he sent his stupid letter to the House GOP. But then he did a complete 180 and basically called them out on it. He's also starting to kind of show this when he's on the stump. This is out of character for him. It almost leaves the impression that something made Obama change his tone between his first statement and what he last said in that interview. Could be that he sees something he doesn't like in polling or he knows something we don't.
Consider this. Obama initially spoke rather respectfully of Comey after he sent his stupid letter to the House GOP. But then he did a complete 180 and basically called them out on it. He's also starting to kind of show this when he's on the stump. This is out of character for him. It almost leaves the impression that something made Obama change his tone between his first statement and what he last said in that interview. Could be that he sees something he doesn't like in polling or he knows something we don't.
Tal Shiar Agent
Banned
Oh jeez. PEC's Bayesian number this morning is 100%.
JHoNNy1OoO
Member
Woah. Murphy on CNN.
teruterubozu
Member
Yup, they only know the number of votes, nothing else. The Dem vs. Rep count is all presumed through demographics, voting patterns, etc. So basically how early independent voters are voting is completely unknown.
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
More likely he just sees the partisan BS republicans are trying to pull to influence a general election.
Need McCrory and Burr to go down too or I won't be satisfied.
I noticed this too, but I don't think it's foreshadowing of more FBI sabotage.
shinra-bansho
Member
There's something going on here.
cartoon_soldier
Member
Yea, I fully expect FBI to drop something too.
We already have that supposed indictment coming soon on Clinton Foundation probe.
We already have that supposed indictment coming soon on Clinton Foundation probe.
RustyNails
Member
Which biden gif?
D
Deleted member 231381
Unconfirmed Member
When we actually have the results, I'll be interested to see who had the smallest standard error on the forecast for each states' popular vote result - 538 or PEC.
the FBI cannot indict. If you think the doj is going to go through with this five days before an election I would be very surprised!
Genius at Work
Neo Member
Don't worry guys, the Senate might be able to keep President Trump in check. According to 538 there's more chance of Democrats winning the senate than Hillary Clinton becoming president.
RustyNails
Member
Costco doesn't carry Pampers. They carry Huggies.
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Didn't the DOJ file a complaint against Comey for how he handled the release last week? I would think that would make the DOJ issuing an indictment extremely unlikely at this point in the election cycle.
cartoon_soldier
Member
I know, but that is not what the supposed FBI leaks were. So FBI will recommend indictment or whatever.
Some more vagueish statement from Comey.
They could hold a press conference and say that they suggest an indictment, which does the same, politically.
TumblingHippo
Member
It would feel like the most cosmic disaster
for a candidate to be ahead 99% of an election to lose it in the final week.
A year ago I knew they'd go for the horse race thing as much as possible but even knowing that it all still fills the air with anxiety, so I'll just relax by worrying about my interview the morning of the 9th.
fuckery
A year ago I knew they'd go for the horse race thing as much as possible but even knowing that it all still fills the air with anxiety, so I'll just relax by worrying about my interview the morning of the 9th.
I think (I hope) everyone here knows the DoJ won't act on it. Has more to do with, yes, optics and the impression it would leave on voters heading into Election Day when you have the FBI recommending indictment
shinra-bansho
Member
Maybe the FBI will indict her for forging Obama's birth certificate using the blood of Vince Foster.
TestOfTide
Banned
I keep saying and I will say it one more time:
Fire Comey and then give the position to Bill Weld. Weld can probably clean the DoJ up considering the last time he worked for it he rightfully ratted out a corrupt AG.
Fire Comey and then give the position to Bill Weld. Weld can probably clean the DoJ up considering the last time he worked for it he rightfully ratted out a corrupt AG.
I would wait for proper sourcing or a proper paper/news association independently reporting this before worrying, since it's both "Fox News" and "two anonymous sources with close ties". I personally think this is just alt-righters within the FBI bullshitting. For instance:
(From: Bret Baier: FBI Sources Believe Clinton Foundation Case Moving Towards "Likely an Indictment" )
Seems a bit unlikely, and very much just stirring-up shit.
I had a panic attack thinking that all those people are showing up to not vote for hillary. That the numbers are right and wrong at the same time
Didn't they say the clintion server had not been breached? Comey during his press conference
Didn't they say the clintion server had not been breached? Comey during his press conference
Fire Comey and give it to a Democrat. Sorry. Can't take any more risks.
Yes. Which is why it's almost-certain to be bullshitting. Why leak to Fox News otherwise? WaPo/NYT/CNN are all more respected, and more likely to turn-heads. But of course they'd also source and vet news properly, too.
TestOfTide
Banned
We are talking about a guy who has been unofficially stumping for Hillary.
This isn't like appointing some neoconservative. This is appointing a dude who calls the emails crap a "witch hunt".
And if he's FBI Director, we don't have to worry about him running for Warren's senate seat.
Hydrophobic
Member
This is freaking me out a bit, but I don't know what they would have discovered now that they didn't discover before that would indicate the server was hacked. That's how I'm keeping myself calm about it.
Okay, cool. Thanks!
Yet on their site Nevada is essentially a toss up. Lol.
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