RastaMentality
Banned
But Beyoncé never joined. and she's 5x bigger these days.
-
Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.
PoliGAF 2016 |OT14| Attention NV shoppers, democracy is on sale in aisle 4!
- Thread starter eBay Huckster
- Start date
- Status
gutter_trash
Banned
best Sabato predicts that 272 EV are already cemented for HRC
HRC 293, DJT 214.... tossups 31 (Florida, ME-2, NE-2)
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-president/
HRC 293, DJT 214.... tossups 31 (Florida, ME-2, NE-2)
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-president/
balladofwindfishes
Member
So Hillary may have already technically won by Sunday, depending on how the vote goes the next few days
Manmademan
Member
Young voters? I went to see The National in Ithaca, and the average age had to be 40.
aspiegamer
Member
Dammit, I wished I lived somewhere awesome enough to warrant political rallies having A-list DJs doing free shows.
Carpe Carnim
Member
Yeah. That's insane. She's not playin' around here. She picked up where Obama left off, retooled her coalition with really good data, and she's gonna play up every advantage available. She isn't trying to coast to a narrow 270 win, she wants it all.
I hope she continues this in office. We need to complete the mental break in the GOP so they can start the process of becoming decent human beings, or at least passable legislators.
Step on their necks, Queen
User 463088
Banned
Absolutely not normal, no.
The important thing is the GOP is turning out their Likely voters right now. They've got a small pool of same day voters to work with. We're turning out our unlikely voters at the moment. So, if we're up in the early vote bigly (which signs point to we are) there's an even smaller than usual pool of voters for the GOP to claw back a margin.
I think in 2012, it was an 84k vote margin in the EV, and Obama won by 74k.
whyamihere
Banned
Oh my god, Dave Wasserman is so dumb.
MOMENTUM
DOES
NOT
EXIST
IN
POLITICS
IT
IS
NOT
A
BALL
ON
A
SLOPE
MOMENTUM
DOES
NOT
EXIST
IN
POLITICS
IT
IS
NOT
A
BALL
ON
A
SLOPE
RustyNails
Member
Fucking CNN not a peep about the ratship that is FBI. "The new ON MESSAGE Trump!"
Oh well, go fuck that horserace duck. At least it will help dems wrt complacency.
Oh well, go fuck that horserace duck. At least it will help dems wrt complacency.
Tweet ask him if he ever heard of the term dead cat bounce.
Carpe Carnim
Member
350 or bust, Bitchez!
Manmademan
Member
8 X 11 Printer Paper
Member
Interesting info from Kev's best friend Steve Schale.
"Non-white share of FL early voters thru yesterday: 31.3 Among NPA: 35 In other words NPA more diverse than state."
That is a really good sign.
"Non-white share of FL early voters thru yesterday: 31.3 Among NPA: 35 In other words NPA more diverse than state."
That is a really good sign.
Chezzymann
Member
RCP average is at 1.3% tho
****BREAK OUT THE SADDLES!****
****BREAK OUT THE SADDLES!****
Black Mamba
Member
Screwed by the DNC? Clinton adopted like 2/3 of his platform. DWS was kicked out.
If the Senate goes to Bernie, he's likely to be in charge of the budgetary committee.
Bernie didn't get screwed. He lost because minorities in the Democratic party didn't want him but he was far from screwed. The DNC could have not let him run, justifiably so, and they rolled out a red carpet for him.
Not doubting it's a big deal to have someone as big as them stumping for you, they wouldn't do it if it didn't help, was more curious on the logistics and how it translated to immediate EVs is all.
lol At Lawrence O'Donells show. The bottom banner is Breaking News: New Clinton Ad Uses Trump's Words Against Him. Like really guys? That needs a breaking news banner.
Fixed.
Fixed.
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
That's the update a week later?! We knew this the day it happened. What the hell were they looking at in the first place if it wasn't that?
I dunno, prophet Wasserman accurately predicted that Pennsylvania was the pivotal state of 2016. Sounds like president Trump and/or Rubio is a done deal.
It's why Bams is going there. But if we get Nevada, does NH matter?
"Live Free or Die" eh? Seem to be an awful lot of them choosing the latter.
sazzy
Member
Lawrence just showed a new Clinton ad: "We are America... We are not him"
The amazing thing is, they don't name him, or show his picture. Just his words against a backdrop of pictures of people.
But his words have become immortalized in such a way that even if you don't follow politics, you know who it is.
He will forever be remembered by his words.
The amazing thing is, they don't name him, or show his picture. Just his words against a backdrop of pictures of people.
But his words have become immortalized in such a way that even if you don't follow politics, you know who it is.
He will forever be remembered by his words.
I'm gonna laugh when New Hampshire is called immediately for Hillary.
whyamihere
Banned
UMass Lowell NH
Hillary: 44
Trump: 44
Johnson: 5
Stein: 2
Gonna be tight! Though annoyingly, none of the pollsters from NH today were from awesome pollsters.
Hillary: 44
Trump: 44
Johnson: 5
Stein: 2
Gonna be tight! Though annoyingly, none of the pollsters from NH today were from awesome pollsters.
CoffeeJanitor
Member
News is that they aren't dupes
whyamihere
Banned
Oh, also:
Hassan (D): 47
Ayotte (R): 46
Some guy: 4
Hassan (D): 47
Ayotte (R): 46
Some guy: 4
BoboBrazil
Member
Well I guess if no oppo comes out against Trump tomorrow there isn't anymore...
Aaron Strife
Banned
Clinton's got this.
Still think AZ/IA/OH go our way but who even cares. 320+ is pretty much guaranteed.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
So CIA has the highly educated, FBI has the boots-on-the-ground gruntsthe fbi is deep shit after the election. but we probably won't find out about it for years.
No. Was solid blue for a while.
Ah.. hahaha... haaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaomgFUCK
Basileus777
Member
It makes little sense for the Presidential race to have tightened drastically and the Senate race having Hassan with a slight lead.
whyamihere
Banned
I would move NH to lean blue at best, IMO.
balladofwindfishes
Member
RCP had Obama +2 in 2012. He won by 5.6
Yeah, it's annoying that none of the top tier pollsters have been doing much work in this final week.
But, come on, NH has been swingy for the entire campaign, and Trump has never gotten an average better than a tie, while HIllary has had up to a 10 point average lead (IIRC).
Obama is going to go there and knock some sense into them and that will be that.
Yes and no. Like I said. There's a bunch of "independent" voters who hate Trump but are holding their nose for Hillary and just tell pollsters they are "undecided" when bad news about her comes out.
whyamihere
Banned
You need to cool it.
Hey you made a funny!
Does anyone know of any people who are doing analysis of Trump's chances in certain states like Iowa, or Republican counties in swing states, like Ralston or Schale are doing? Like real analysis, but not counting halloween costumes.
That and it's just hard to hear the music when your head is up your ass.
Aaron Strife
Banned
They are doing work. They're just getting paid for it and you don't see it.
sazzy
Member
Remember to check this site out on election day: http://votecastr.us/
for live updates on battleground states' polls throughout the day, in case you can't wait for the evening news.
for live updates on battleground states' polls throughout the day, in case you can't wait for the evening news.
the fbi is deep shit after the election. but we probably won't find out about it for years.
They're souped up police. They know under Trump due process will be easily waived. Lets hope they don't get their wish.
- Status
Similar threads
- Locked
- Locked
- Locked
- Locked