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[newshinycd]

But like why do they keep saying this? He demonstrably did not upend it. Can people not even rewrite the stories they wrote a week ago?

Gotta get dem clicks, yo.

 

[Diablos]

Systematic polling error incoming.

*shrugs* Still confident and hopeful here. I'm riding this wave all the way until Tuesday night.

Sure, but this time last week you would have been way more aggressive in defending your confidence and hopefulness. It's not because of your opinions but rather the general mood over the past few days. I feel like last week was a different reality politically speaking

But like why do they keep saying this? He demonstrably did not upend it. Can people not even rewrite the stories they wrote a week ago?

To make the race look closer. The problem is that they keep insisting this. It's just a bad look. By not paying attention to the fact that Comey did little to nothing they're pushing manufactured narratives that can impact the election. It's ridiculous, it amplifies peoples fears or hopes depending on what side you're on

 

[cartoon_soldier]

I think you have an uncanny ability to say things and the exact opposite is true

And yes, I do think Hassan and Ayotte will operate independently of the top of the ticker, as they've done all year, because they're Hassan and Ayotte.

Yes, they will operate independently to an extent. After that we need voters who are turning out for Hillary to vote straight ticket and get Hassan over the finish line.

 

[Aaron Strife]

I was expecting 51/49 but I am thinking 50/50 is best case now.

Our best case is 45 seats. Lose Wisconsin, Illinois, Nevada. We'll be lucky if Schumer hangs on.

Maybe they won't beat us up too badly if we cower in fear the whole time.

 

[Spiritreaver]

Sure, but this time last week you would have been way more aggressive in defending your confidence and hopefulness. It's not because of your opinions but rather the general mood over the past few days. I feel like last week was a different reality politically speaking

You're wrong actually. I am still on the Texas train. Still feel she will outperform numbers. Still think the race was as set as it was last week. You should see me in the discord. I haven't faltered at all since debate #1.

I'm not aggressive with it today because I am not trying to convince others, especially not people that likely won't be convinced anyway.

 

[Pixieking]

Our best case is 45 seats. Lose Wisconsin, Illinois, Nevada. We'll be lucky if Schumer hangs on.

Maybe they won't beat us up too badly if we cower in fear the whole time.

*rolls eyes*

The Democrats have a 56% chance of winning the Senate. Though a 50/50 is the most likely of all the outcomes.

 

[balladofwindfishes]

I saw a sign for Schumer's opponent yesterday

It was like seeing a unicorn

 

[Gorger]

Let's take another look at how Europe (Scandinavia, England, Germany, France) currently views the two candidates.

Source:
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2016/10/27/europeans-trump-would-be-terrible-president-clinto/

 

[Diablos]

*rolls eyes*

The Democrats have a 56% chance of winning the Senate. Though a 50/50 is the most likely of all the outcomes.

He was joking fam

I realllllly hope we can get 51/49 but NH tightening might stop that

SCOTUS needs to be packed with liberal justices if it's 50/50 by fall of next year because of the special election in VA. Ginsburg, Breyer, Kennedy need to step down

 

[Finale Fireworker]

How bad would we be with 50/50? Who determines if we hold hearings on an even split like that? Because I'm sure there are some Republican Senators who would be willing to vote for things.

 

[Maledict]

How bad would we be with 50/50? Who determines if we hold hearings on an even split like that? Because I'm sure there are some Republican Senators who would be willing to vote for things.

Democratis hold the senate if its 50/50 and Hillary wins. The VP gets to cast the deciding vote.

Means Tim Kaine will be in the senate a lot more than he planned on being!

 

[balladofwindfishes]

How bad would we be with 50/50? Who determines if we hold hearings on an even split like that? Because I'm sure there are some Republican Senators who would be willing to vote for things.

Kaine is the tie breaker

 

[Kusagari]

I mean we'll take 50/50 but it's far from what we want.

The specter of the election for Kaine's open seat will loom large.

 

[Diablos]

Democratis hold the senate if its 50/50 and Hillary wins. The VP gets to cast the deciding vote.

Means Tim Kaine will be in the senate a lot more than he planned on being!

It would be like he never left, lol

 

[Finale Fireworker]

Democratis hold the senate if its 50/50 and Hillary wins. The VP gets to cast the deciding vote.

Means Tim Kaine will be in the senate a lot more than he planned on being!

Oh, of course. The Golden Vote.

 

[Pixieking]

He was joking fam

I realllllly hope we can get 51/49 but NH tightening might stop that

SCOTUS needs to be packed with liberal justices if it's 50/50 by fall of next year. Ginsburg, Breyer, Kennedy need to step down

Hahah... I legit can't tell anymore, sorry. The sarcasm/bedwetting/"I haven't been paying attention what's going on?" hit a peak a few days ago, and I've lost all sense of anything.

 

[A Serious Man]

Renee Ellmeers on CNN going full conspiracy theory and acting like Hillary will be in jail tomorrow.

 

[effzee]

Was at the live taping of Keeping it 1600 last night at Drew University in NJ.

Great time and reassuring for ppl panicking.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Renee Ellmeers on CNN going full conspiracy theory and acting like Hillary will be in jail tomorrow.

Oh good, this will motivate Dem base even more.

 

[Measley]

I need Tuesday to hurry up and get here. Trump supporters are becoming insufferable.

 

[Diablos]

Hahah... I legit can't tell anymore, sorry. The sarcasm/bedwetting/"I haven't been paying attention what's going on?" hit a peak a few days ago, and I've lost all sense of anything.

Just don't forget to vote!

 

[balladofwindfishes]

I need Tuesday to hurry up and get here. Trump supporters are becoming insufferable.

It's going to get worse before it gets better

 

[Setsuna]

WTF is Renee Elmers on CNN talking about. This Woman is out of her mind!

 

[Pixieking]

Just don't forget to vote!

Ah, I really would if I could - I'm a British citizen in the Middle East. I genuinely hope I'm in the US in 4 years time, though, because I'd get out and volunteer for Hillary so fast.

 

[Diablos]

Ah, I really would if I could - I'm a British citizen in the Middle East. I genuinely hope I'm in the US in 4 years time, though, because I'd get out and volunteer for Hillary so fast.

Fill out two phony ballots and send them to Ohio's Secy. of State with a note saying you did this because Trump said to on television.

 

[Spiritreaver]

Tracking poll round up:

IBD
Clinton 44
Trump 44
Johnson 4
Stein 2

ABC
Clinton 47
Trump 44
Johnson 3
Stein 2

LATimes
Trump 47
Clinton 43.5~ (She jumped 2 points today)

 

[A Serious Man]

WTF is Renee Elmers on CNN talking about. This Woman is out of her mind!

Thank god Chris was having none of it.

 

[Diablos]

Tracking polls... I feel like they all suck

Not sure if it's because of my own bias or if it's because they really do suck

I know the LA Times one is bogus for sure

 

[Slayven]

What did she say?

 

[Spiritreaver]

Tracking polls... I feel like they all suck

Not sure if it's because of my own bias or if it's because they really do suck

Clinton rebounded 1-2 in one day in everything but IBD. At least take that as a positive. It's the same in the Reuters poll.

 

[Diablos]

Clinton rebounded 1-2 in one day in everything but IBD. At least take that as a positive. It's the same in the Reuters poll.

But they all still look kind of subpar for Queen... I don't like it

 

[Pixieking]

Fill out two phony ballots and send them to Ohio's Secy. of State with a note saying you did this because Trump said to on television.

Mmmmmm... I'd rather not risk the wrath of an Ohio state official. That sounds bad.

 

[Spiritreaver]

But they all still look kind of subpar for Queen... I don't like it

You're the worst, lol. Tracking polls are garbage, but I still think they trend alright. Well everything but LA Times.

(I don't actually think you're the worst.)

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Trump still up in Iowa

http://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/public-safety/trump-clings-to-small-edge-in-iowa-20161103

Does anyone know how Dems are doing compared to 2012 in EV?

Someone said if they hit 90% of 2012 numbers in EV in Iowa it will bode good tidings.

 

[Plinko]

Only state that really worries me about flipping is Michigan. I know, I know, polling aggregates. I'll still worry until the moment it is called for Hillary. That state and its electorate has disappointed me so much over the last few years and the polling was awful in the primaries.

Yes, she'll probably win. Just don't have faith in Michigan to do the right thing sometimes.

 

[Diablos]

Only state that really worries me about flipping is Michigan. I know, I know, polling aggregates. I'll still worry until the moment it is called for Hillary. That state and its electorate has disappointed me so much over the last few years and the polling was awful in the primaries.

PhoenixDark will be the deciding vote. Michigan = Midwestern Trumpland.

 

[obijkenobi]

You think Michigan is in the mood for another businessman Republican after Snyder and his team's dealings in Flint?

 

[CoffeeJanitor]

Fairwell Iowa

We knew ye well

 

[Diablos]

Fairwell Iowa

We knew ye well

I am just mad that it's looking like we won't be able to trade IA for UT after all. That was a good deal

 

[Incognito]

lol @ all the trackers miraculously coming in line now. bunch of frauds. the tears on tuesday are going to be deliiciouuus.

 

[Gattsu25]

Fill out two phony ballots and send them to Ohio's Secy. of State with a note saying you did this because Trump said to on television.

Don't do any of this. Terrible idea.

 

[whyamihere]

@JohnJHarwood: Trump strategist at last weekend: "MI/PA/WI break our hearts. We win OH/NC/IA; NH/FL toss-up. We win those, LONG night waiting for NV/CO/AZ"

oh no they don't realize they've already lost NV and CO and possibly NC.

 

[Aaron Strife]

We'll win Iowa. Have faith.

Just for fun, remember six years ago when this Senate class was up and fucking California and Washington were tossups? Good times, and by good times I mean everything sucked.

 

[Incognito]

oh no they don't realize they've already lost NV and CO and possibly NC.

neil newhouse redux. these guys are going to be in shambles tuesday night.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

NC early voting ends Saturday correct?

 

[Slayven]

Holy shit that CNN lady was batshit

 

[Loudninja]

I asked this yesterday but when does FL early voting ends?

 

[cartoon_soldier]

I asked this yesterday but when does FL early voting ends?

Sunday

 

[Pixieking]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/794410706615603200

Dave Wasserman Verified account
‏@Redistrict

NV now looking like state where the hard early vote evidence most clearly contradicts Trump's narrow polling edge in @FiveThirtyEight model.

Goooood.... Goooooooooooooooooood.

 

[Y2Kev]

Yes. There's no souls2polls2 in NC but there is in Florida.