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[Fox318]

WTF is going on in this ad?

She's trying to court female voters.

 

[thebloo]

I talked to someone who is 43 today and about as worried as me. I think it's because Donald Trump of all fucking people is narrowing the gap. He has next to ZERO GOTV and he is doing this good?


Haven't they all had to pledge that they will cast their vote for the winner?

What has GOTV got to do with polling? I can be enthused and banging the drum about Trump all day long and have no idea how to register or where to vote.

 

[Manmademan]

this is gonna be good.

were you posting in this thread or the OT election thread before you warped back in time?

You'll just have to keep an eye out.

 

[HTupolev]

Might as well say, well, it could go 300 EV to Trump.

Seems legit.

 

[Boke1879]

Steve Schale ‏@steveschale 50m50 minutes ago

Soooo. Almost 47K people voted in Broward County today. Hint: That is a lot. Like 6-7K better than the best day of the year.

That is enormous. There's nothing Democrats can hope for more than running up the vote in Broward.

EV ends on Sunday in Florida right?

 

[balladofwindfishes]

What a weird map this would be

The "one insane idiot in Washington state destroys the world, going against the will of millions" map

 

[HylianTom]

Guys, we did this 4 years ago.

Remember when I explained to y'all why Obama was winning and there's nothing to worry about.

I spent all fucking month explaining why we're good.

I have't done it this time because I figured you learned.

But we're good. Trump has no path to winning. Hillary will win Florida, Nv, Pa, Col, Va, Mi, Wis, and any other state you think she has to win.

If you're still worried, get people to the polls.

Yup.

We've got this. The main question marks are the margin of electoral victory and the Senate itself.

I'm still excited about the idea that we don't quite know the full effect that Trump's lack of data/ground operation is going to have, especially in contrast with Hillary's record-setting behemoth machine. We could end-up with an undeniably impressive electoral margin and 53 Senate seats.

Tuesday night is going to be FUN.

 

[Zackat]

Seems legit.

 

[Black Mamba]

Drew Linzer ‏@DrewLinzer 15m15 minutes ago
Drew Linzer Retweeted PollyVote
People who study this stuff know what data points to what outcomes. A Trump win would belie a wide range of theory and evidence.

Linzer is basically saying a Trump win would probably mean we'd have to throw everything we know about data out the window.

 

[superdeluxe]

Modbot locked the Wash. elector thread because he didn't know why it was bumped. However, as someone posted above, there was a news story from today saying the guy is now saying he's definitely not going to vote for her.

I bumped it because it appears the race was tightening, many said earlier one electroral vote wouldn't matter..now it has a bit more relevance.

 

[Kusagari]

EV ends on Sunday in Florida right?

Yep.

 

[bluepolicebox]

Trump looks hilariously extra orange in MSNBC's Four Days banner on the bottom of the screen. Approaching neon status really.

 

[Y2Kev]

FOUR MORE SLEEPS until we KNOW THE NEXT PRESIDENT

What am I going to do with my time

I check this thread basically every ten seconds

And now that I discovered McDonald, Schale, and Godcohn on Twitter I check TWITTER every ten seconds and I HATE twitter

I wake up now at 2AM in a cold sweat and check my work emails and then twitter and then this thread

I'm going to get back like 18 hours a day of my life

 

[BigJonsson]

FOUR MORE SLEEPS until we KNOW THE NEXT PRESIDENT

What am I going to do with my time

I check this thread basically every ten seconds

And now that I discovered McDonald, Schale, and Godcohn on Twitter I check TWITTER every ten seconds and I HATE twitter

I wake up now at 2AM in a cold sweat and check my work emails and then twitter and then this thread

I'm going to get back like 18 hours a day of my life

4 more sleeps? How can you say that after what happened in 2000! This thing could go on indefinitely!

 

[Manmademan]

EV ends on Sunday in Florida right?

Yes it does.

it ended on SATURDAY in 2012- This gives another day for Black voters to do the souls to the polls thing.

 

[Cat]

Maps on CNN/MSNBC have been so annoying this past week.

Might as well say, well, it could go 300 EV to Trump. It's not probable but it's technically possible so fuck it, we'll just say whatever we want.

This explains a couple of recent conversations I've had with my mom. I was like, "where are you getting this?" She told me CNN/MSNBC, and I was like, and "where are THEY getting this?"

I told her I've even been checking this topic since then because ya'll are informed about this stuff.

 

[balladofwindfishes]

I bumped it because it appears the race was tightening, many said earlier one electroral vote wouldn't matter..now it has a bit more relevance.

The map where one EV matters is essentially impossible. It would require a very specific layout of states that would contradict each other (for example, winning Nevada, but not Florida, which demographically wouldn't make a lot of sense)

 

[Y2Kev]

4 more sleeps? How can you say that after what happened in 2000! This thing could go on indefinitely!

Yeah but no more campaigning at least.

 

[mackaveli]

Is the Jay Z concert event going to be streamed on youtube?

 

[thebloo]

2012 EV: 32,311,399
2016 EV so far: 37,001,686

Source: http://www.electproject.org/early_2016

 

[aaaaa0]

So, is this thread going to hit 20k posts before the election?

 

[Diablos]

This explains a couple of recent conversations I've had with my mom. I was like, "where are you getting this?" She told me CNN/MSNBC, and I was like, and "where are THEY getting this?"

I told her I've even been checking this topic since then because ya'll are informed about this stuff.

Your avatar... I actually haven't played let alone thought about FFXIII so much that I can't remember her name. Holy crap

 

[thebloo]

So, is this thread going to hit 20k posts before the election?

There's a 65% chance.

 

[Zackat]

So, is this thread going to hit 20k posts before the election?

definitely

the chances reduce every page, typically by 1%.

 

[eBay Huckster]

So, is this thread going to hit 20k posts before the election?

almost certainly, because we're gonna collectively panic at least once every day until tuesday

 

[BigJonsson]

Yeah but no more campaigning at least.

Isn't there a do-over clause in the Constitution that can be triggered one time in case of Democracy ending results? Like trigger the bonus round or something?

 

[HanShotFirst]

Guys, we did this 4 years ago.

Remember when I explained to y'all why Obama was winning and there's nothing to worry about.

I spent all fucking month explaining why we're good.

I have't done it this time because I figured you learned.

But we're good. Trump has no path to winning. Hillary will win Florida, Nv, Pa, Col, Va, Mi, Wis, and any other state you think she has to win.

If you're still worried, get people to the polls.

But Reagan won PA in 1988 which means if Trump wins New Hampshire he wins Nevada as well and he wins Iowa but loses Ohio and wins the swing state of Delaware which means its over! he's gonna win so much we're not gonna want to win anymore!

 

[RustyNails]

Obama is live on bill maher today

 

[Kevinroc]

So, is this thread going to hit 20k posts before the election?

I'd be surprised if the next thread didn't hit 20k posts before the election.

 

[BigJonsson]

Obama is live on bill maher today

And 2 Canadians!

 

[Finale Fireworker]

I haven't heard anything about Iowa lately; how has early voting been going?

I wrote off Iowa a long time ago, but I do remember seeing early voting had been good for dems?

 

[Manmademan]

The map where one EV matters is essentially impossible. It would require a very specific layout of states that would contradict each other (for example, winning Nevada, but not Florida, which demographically wouldn't make a lot of sense)

Exactly.

States aren't all little islands that could go one way or another like a coin flip. If Trump wins the latino vote to such a degree that he wins nevada- or they all sit out the election en masse (which is NOT happening...at all) then you would expect the similar behavior from latinos in florida, new mexico, texas, etc etc. There would be a chain reaction that ignored state lines.

This is most of the reason why I called bullshit on the "black voters are sitting out early voting in FL" news story- it was so drastically down that you would have expected to see it everywhere...but there wasn't any indication of it. Interest was pretty high everywhere sans NC, which had serious issues with voter suppression.

and surprise surprise...the story was bunk.

But Reagan won PA in 1988 which means if Trump wins New Hampshire he wins Nevada as well and he wins Iowa but loses Ohio and wins the swing state of Delaware which means its over! he's gonna win so much we're not gonna want to win anymore!

Are you SURE about that?

 

[jiggle]

FOUR MORE SLEEPS until we KNOW THE NEXT PRESIDENT

4?

I'm definitely napping Tuesday away
Although last time I did that I woke up to Kerry losing D:

 

[Diablos]

Speaking of NM we need some polling from there... has there been anything decent lately? Anything coming?

 

[Y2Kev]

wtf is subtweeting

how bad do you think the tweets will be during Tuesday day about massive turnout in republican districts

 

[Dubbedinenglish]

So, is this thread going to hit 20k posts before the election?

Depends if there is droppo

 

[Jombie]

What's the atmosphere right now?

 

[superdeluxe]

Yeah I wasn't trying to freak people out. I didn't know 269 was impossible

 

[Oblivion]

Guys, we did this 4 years ago.

Remember when I explained to y'all why Obama was winning and there's nothing to worry about.

I spent all fucking month explaining why we're good.

I have't done it this time because I figured you learned.

But we're good. Trump has no path to winning. Hillary will win Florida, Nv, Pa, Col, Va, Mi, Wis, and any other state you think she has to win.

If you're still worried, get people to the polls.

But we've got states like WI, VA, MI, and PA that have voter ID laws that they didn't in 2012.

 

[thebloo]

What's the atmosphere right now?

Damp. And dank.

 

[DontBeThatGuy]

Speaking of NM we need some polling from there... has there been anything decent lately? Anything coming?

Aleppo might take it.

 

[Syncytia]

Obama just called out people looking at polls and freaking out hahaha.

"No, you just gotta vote!"

This explains a couple of recent conversations I've had with my mom. I was like, "where are you getting this?" She told me CNN/MSNBC, and I was like, and "where are THEY getting this?"

I told her I've even been checking this topic since then because ya'll are informed about this stuff.

I forget the guys name on CNN that prompted me to post, but he actually said "It's not probable, but it could happen" about his map with Trump winning.

 

[Manmademan]

Yeah I wasn't trying to freak people out. I didn't know 269 was impossible

Any scenario where Trump wins is bordering on "impossible" territory right now.

He needs to flip PA, FL, or NV...and all of these are out of reach right now using a number of metrics.

 

[ShironRedshift]

wtf is subtweeting

how bad do you think the tweets will be during Tuesday day about massive turnout in republican districts

Talking about someone on Twitter who also has a Twitter account without @mentioning them (putting their username in your Tweet) so they can see it and actually know you're talking about them. Basically, the Twitter equivalent of talking about someone behind their back.

 

[Cat]

Your avatar... I actually haven't played let alone thought about FFXIII so much that I can't remember her name. Holy crap

Her name is Fang, and she was my favorite character in the game and is one of my favorite FF characters period.

 

[Y2Kev]

Manmademan, you say FL is not even close and yet Steve Schale says it is. He's an expert. WHY ARE YOU SO CONFIDENT I JUST CANT KNOW

 

[Manmademan]

Her name is Fang, and she was my favorite character in the game and is one of my favorite FF characters period.

i liked fang, I think it was the accent.

I always used her as my party lead whenever I could.

Manmademan, you say FL is not even close and yet Steve Schale says it is. He's an expert. WHY ARE YOU SO CONFIDENT I JUST CANT KNOW

Maybe I am Steve Schale.

did I just blow your mind?

 

[User1608]

Obama just called out people looking at polls and freaking out hahaha.

"No, you just gotta vote!"



I forget the guys name on CNN that prompted me to post, but he actually said "It's not probable, but it could happen" about his map with Trump winning.

Obama's got the right message!! Love this man!!

Don't freak out guys, I got faith in you!

 

[superdeluxe]

Any scenario where Trump wins is bordering on "impossible" territory right now.

He needs to flip PA, FL, or NV...and all of these are out of reach right now using a number of metrics.

Not just polls right? I remember benchmark pol uses demos that still shows Nevada/FL etc trending clintons way

 

[johnsmith]

Did anybody ever make another discord?

And who deleted the old one?