A Link to the Past
Banned
I was just watching a show on Japanese tv where they were breaking down the American presidential election system, and they listed Tennessee as a swing state, because it was blue in 1992.
I wish
I was just watching a show on Japanese tv where they were breaking down the American presidential election system, and they listed Tennessee as a swing state, because it was blue in 1992.
I was just watching a show on Japanese tv where they were breaking down the American presidential election system, and they listed Tennessee as a swing state, because it was blue in 1992.
Wait wait wait is the total vote in from Miami-Dade EV going to surpass 90% of the TOTAL 2012 vote of 890k......
Is Miami Dade going to smash >70% turnout?
Broward is trending the fucking same.....
Also, Trump's schedule for today seems really stupid even setting aside the early voting firewalls for a moment. Just the logistics of visiting Nevada, Colorado, North Carolina and Florida in a day seem ridiculously inefficient.
Well Hispanic vote in Florida is like at 130% of 2012 EV already.
This is exactly my prediction
This is where I'm expecting things to land. Not optimistic about Iowa (my home state, dammit) or Ohio. Otherwise, yeah.
http://pollyvote.com/en/
That's odd. He would stiff them anyway. I thought he would try to squeeze out some free laborWhy pay people for months when you can pay them for 3 days and still perform the same !
will PoliGAF be bedwetting in this thread or the OT election thread on Tuesday?
edit-
NYTimes teasing oppo drop?
Jonathan Martin of NYTimes wrote this stuff above, which I've quoted.
He just retweeted this tweet:
edit
unfortunately, I have a bad feeling it might be an fbi oppo drop; CNN played a clip of donald saying, from yesterday, "amazing news about the emails coming".
Eric Bradner ‏@ericbradner 56m56 minutes ago
Nevada early vote figures:
Dems won Clark County by 72K, or 13.7 points.
A GOP official told me Trump could afford to lose Clark by 6.
I erase my 538 bookmark. Sam wang and the upshot for aggregates. RCP just for individual poll resultsThanks for the update. I've decided to not give 538 anymore clicks this cycle. Unbookmarked and unfollowed on Twitter.
Florida fucking owes us one.
Jonathan Martin of NYTimes wrote this stuff above, which I've quoted.
He just retweeted this tweet:
edit
unfortunately, I have a bad feeling it might be an fbi oppo drop; CNN played a clip of donald saying, from yesterday, "amazing news about the emails coming".
Damn you guys are optimistic. I mean way more optimistic than anything I read when I step out of my Neogaf Distortion Bubble (and I don't mean just 538). God I hope nate is wrong.
This would be a great positive ad to close with on TV, as opposed to the dark and depressing stuff both campaigns have been running with for the most part (aside from some of the shorter trump TV spots, which are positive).
It's a minute, it is definitely going on TV.
that's what they say about Hitler. And by they I mean 4chan.Hillary didn't do anything wrong.
I just want you guys to know that I voted for this guy:
https://twitter.com/jiveassbaloney/status/794505627150249984
KP is Hill'S secret weapon for sure. What if she released a secret single tomorrow called Oppo Drop?
I'll be so upset if Jason Kander doesn't win Missouri.
Nate will blame poor Hispanic polling won't he on Wednesday?
Dan Merica Verified account
‏@danmericaCNN
Clinton to begin airing an ad set to @katyperry's "Roar" ahead of Perry's Philadelphia concert for HRC tonight
Which is fine, because it's almost certainly going to be what causes a huge discrepancy in polling and results, if that does happen
I think no matter the results, everyone's going to write articles on why the polls "got it wrong"
Don't have the picture, but damn that NYT front page paper.
Bigger problem 538 is they are not weeding out bad pollsters.
Yup, it's hitting TV:
totes switching to Roar
Don't have the picture, but damn that NYT front page paper.
this is huge
Also, Clinton might be doing even better than recent polls let on because they did not oversample Hispanic voters.
In Florida, the Hispanic vote is largely split between Republican-leaning Cuban-Americans in the Miami area whose numbers are relatively dwindling and Democratic-leaning non-Cuban Hispanics, especially Puerto Ricans, whose numbers are skyrocketing in the Orlando area. So by under-sampling Florida Latinos, surveys can misreport overall Latino support, often in favor of Republicans because Cuban-American voters tend to have landline phones and are easier to reach for pollsters.
In polls that survey only Hispanic voters, Clinton is dominating Trump. A smartphone-based survey of Florida Hispanics conducted by Florida International University professor Eduardo Gamarra last week showed that Clinton was beating Trump by historic amounts, 74-15 percent. A poll for Univision conducted by Bendixen & Amandi International in July found Clinton winning the Latino vote by 61 to 21 percent.
This is not fight song