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[Thunder Monkey]

Also largest popular vote difference in a very long time. Too bad so much of it is going to come from Cali and New York, while Texas is close enough to mitigate any normal advantages Reps have in bolstering their pop vote totals.

 

[Diablos]

Can't believe how this election season has been. MSM has been using kid gloves on Trump this entire election season.

It's really disgusting. But Trump paid the bills I guess. Really unethical though.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

How did the Iraqi army go from getting their shit pushed in in 2014 and 2015 to being a competent fighting force in 2016, anyway?

 

[Chezzymann]

My prediction. Hill will win but not as much as I want. Popular vote margin will end up being around 4-5%.

 

[Man God]

He's one of the things that the GOP did to itself.

I'm not letting them use Trump as an out. They caused Trump. They nurtured this.

The funny thing is, a lot of republican pundits have dismissed the losing candidates as RINOs for the past two cycles. This is the first time they actually have a case about it but I doubt they'll even try.

 

[Kusagari]

I'm eagerly expecting another NV poll with horrible Hispanic sampling so we can start the "NV is shifting Trump's way" horse race talk anew.

 

[Carpe Carnim]

How did the Iraqi army go from getting their shit pushed in in 2014 and 2015 to being a competent fighting force in 2016, anyway?

Because the Peshmerga and Shiite/Sunni militias are fighting ISIS, rather than eachother and the Iraqi Army.

 

[RustyNails]

How did the Iraqi army go from getting their shit pushed in in 2014 and 2015 to being a competent fighting force in 2016, anyway?

Inclusive government at top. Shia PM, Sunni President and Kurdish head of parliament. No favoritism and giving the forces a strong, achievable goal. Of course training and equipment from US forces helps.

 

[excelsiorlef]

Posted in election thread:

This is the state of the race IMO.

Nevada is red?

 

[Wolfgunblood Garopa]

How did the Iraqi army go from getting their shit pushed in in 2014 and 2015 to being a competent fighting force in 2016, anyway?

Shiite militias and US air power.

 

[Dany]

It's really disgusting. But Trump paid the bills I guess. Really unethical though.

Why is he the exception? If Clinton/Obama or even Romney/McCain did any of the disgusting shit that Trump has done, they'd be destroyed.

 

[thestopsign]

This is what I put in the Election thread:

My prediction at this point.

Closest states will be Ohio, Iowa, Alaska, Arizona, NE-2, and Florida.

Texas and Georgia will be within 4-5 points as well.

 

[Emarv]

My prediction. Hill will win but not as much as I want. Popular vote margin will end up being around 4-5%.

I refuse to believe in a world where FL goes blue and NC goes red. I refuse.

 

[Kusagari]

I refuse to believe in a world where FL goes blue and NC goes red. I refuse.

That world already happened. It's called 2012.

 

[ampere]

Nevada is red?

Desert is red, duh.

 

[Diablos]

Why is he the exception? If Clinton/Obama or even Romney/McCain did any of the disgusting shit that Trump has done, they'd be destroyed.

Because people love to hate him as much as his supporters love to love him. I guess. I don't know

 

[Squirrel Killer]

The dude in Washington worries me. That is 12 EVs just gone

He only controls one EV, and I suspect that if by some miracle his vote does matter, he'll get a major dose of Clinton religion.

 

[Fragamemnon]

The funny thing is, a lot of republican pundits have dismissed the losing candidates as RINOs for the past two cycles. This is the first time they actually have a case about it but I doubt they'll even try.

Trump's deviation from GOP dogma was mostly in places where the GOP's beliefs were big losers-Social Security, government investment in infrastructure. He's backed off where he was at in the primaries on those and some other issues, but his campaign and candidacy did one thing correct-some of the GOP longtime platform are big losers and it's better to break from them rather than let Democrats hook you to them.

 

[Roland_Gunner]

My prediction. Hill will win but not as much as I want. Popular vote margin will end up being around 4-5%.

Clinton is more likely to win NC than FL. Beyond that I agree that this is the most likely map.

 

[Debirudog]

Trump just brings in the ratings. Money over duty.

 

[A Serious Man]

I mean, he called the people taking back Mosul and killing ISIS "losers" today.

Nothing will break through the horserace/emails coverage.

Shit is so gross. The Mosul operation is going well so you know Trump is actively rooting for it to fail. It's just stunning that he's so open about it.

 

[Emarv]

That world already happened. It's called 2012.

Touché. Let's not go back to that, shall we?

 

[Carpe Carnim]

He only controls one EV, and I suspect that if by some miracle his vote does matter, he'll get a major dose of Clinton religion.

If in some fantasy timeline he was the deciding vote between Clinton and a House decision, he would be too busy hiding in the woods from violent mobs to make it to the December electors meeting, meaning his alternate would vote for Glorious Queen

 

[DrMungo]

Inclusive government at top. Shia PM, Sunni President and Kurdish head of parliament. No favoritism and giving the forces a strong, achievable goal. Of course training and equipment from US forces helps.

Yup Noori Al Maliki really pushed division and punished Sunnis. Corruption also weakened the forces too

 

[johnsmith]

I fully believe this is part of his motivation.


Glenn Thrush
@GlennThrush
Trump wants to win. But two people in his orbit have told me in last week that decisively beating Romney's 206 EVs is increasingly a goal.

You take the small victories where you can get them I guess.

 

[Manmademan]

sometimes I just hate leaving the house. just burns up so much time.

 

[DrMungo]

Trump just brings in the ratings. Money over duty.

Of note Jeff Zucker is current head of CNN and was head at NBC current the Conan and Leno debacle. He is a soulless POS

 

[Trouble]

My prediction:

I also stand by my prediction that the election will get called hours before OH does.

 

[sazzy]

 

[YaBish]

My current expectations (didn't mess with NE's districts b/c I can't recall the situation there):

Looks really good! NE-2 is a tossup, possibly leaning Clinton. Bernie stumped in Omaha for her yesterday, and the local news has her up a little I think.

 

[Fragamemnon]

Look everybody it's voting in North Carolina YAY

https://twitter.com/seangallitz/status/794944547830853632

*barf* (3 and 1/2 hour waits at NCSU. Can't we let the kids tailgate for the FSU game while in line?)

 

[Xamtheking]

Now that's a politician I can associate with

 

[maquiladora]

PHILADELPHIA (CBS) — Police are investigating the theft of three laptops that may have contained information about the Hillary Clinton Campaign from a car in Northern Liberties.

http://philadelphia.cbslocal.com/20...rom-suv-in-philadelphia/#.WB4ZPt0rCjA.twitter

 

[shiba5]

Why is he the exception? If Clinton/Obama or even Romney/McCain did any of the disgusting shit that Trump has done, they'd be destroyed.

My guess is he Gish Galloped so much they couldn't cover everything and just gave up. He's also highly litigious and I think they are afraid of him. Our media has been completely craven and spineless.

 

[Cyanity]

If Trump gets to 240 EVs I'll videotape myself doing whatever depraved dare GAF can come up with for me.

Save this post b/c I will

 

[Carpe Carnim]

My prediction:



I also stand by my prediction that the election will get called hours before OH does.

This is my map, except i'm torn about AZ. So much GOP inertia there, but so much Latinx potential energy.

350 is my dream EV threshold, where all my dreams come true and I finally convince my wife of a foursome with Christina Ricci and her forehead.

 

[GhaleonEB]

WILMINGTON, N.C. -- Melania Trump: "I enjoy speaking to all of you in Pennsylvania so much, I decided to do it again." Crowd cheers.

https://twitter.com/kevcirilli/status/794958065988751360

http://philadelphia.cbslocal.com/20...rom-suv-in-philadelphia/#.WB4ZPt0rCjA.twitter

Where I work it's company policy to never, ever leave our laptops in the car. It's a firing offense if stolen. Stop doing this, people.

 

[Xamtheking]

If Trump gets to 240 EVs I'll videotape myself doing whatever depraved dare GAF can come up with for me.

Videotape yourself driving recklessly

Spoiler

GAF never forgets

 

[Diablos]

Look everybody it's voting in North Carolina YAY

https://twitter.com/seangallitz/status/794944547830853632

*barf* (3 and 1/2 hour waits at NCSU. Can't we let the kids tailgate for the FSU game while in line?)

Hope no one has to poop

 

[SexyFish]

https://twitter.com/kevcirilli/status/794958065988751360

LOL.

 

[RoKKeR]

That's my ticket! #McMuffin #SausageAndEggWithCheese

 

[newshinycd]

This be mine.

Utah goes McMuffin!

Testify.


Here's my final prediction. My surprise gets are IA and AK.

Blue Georgia. I really hope to see that this Tuesday.

Also no one thinks that Texas is possible anymore? I thought early turnout was breaking records there too? Im thinking if it goes blue I think it's within .5%

 

[Officerrob]

My final prediction:

Congrats Trump, you did better than Romney

 

[Slayven]

sometimes I just hate leaving the house. just burns up so much time.

Need to finish up that LMD

 

[Trouble]

This is my map, except i'm torn about AZ. So much GOP inertia there, but so much Latinx potential energy.

350 is my dream EV threshold, where all my dreams come true and I finally convince my wife of a foursome with Christina Ricci and her forehead.

I would love to see AZ flip, my brother lives there and will be doing his part for Hills. I think it will be closer that AZ has been in a long time.

 

[sazzy]

https://twitter.com/kevcirilli/status/794958065988751360

.

I don't get it :\

 

[Fragamemnon]

I love Trump's super focused campaign stop in Wilmington right after early voting in the state closes (you have to be in line @ 1PM in NC to vote today). Pro plays there by his team.

 

[shiba5]

https://twitter.com/kevcirilli/status/794958065988751360

She even fumbled this. Sad.
Someone said people could relate better to Romney's wife riding around on her dressage horse more than Melania. Yep.

 

[Y2Kev]

Clinton is more likely to win NC than FL. Beyond that I agree that this is the most likely map.

Is she? I feel like NPA in FL is going to be in big part hispanic, which should help ha.

 

[Joe Shlabotnik]

Blue Georgia. I really hope to see that this Tuesday.

Also no one thinks that Texas is possible anymore? I thought early turnout was breaking records there too? Im thinking if it goes blue I think it's within .5%

Seems like no one serious thinks there's a chance for Texas, but maybe the final numbers will at least be a warning shot across the bow.