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PoliGAF 2016 |OT14| Attention NV shoppers, democracy is on sale in aisle 4!
- Thread starter eBay Huckster
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Wilmington, North Carolina is not in Pennsylvania. =)
Dang the rally got rained out in FL and ended a bit earlier than it should've, but it was prettty fun. Hilary's voice was a bit throaty but she's been speaking A LOT. When she asked who had already voted pretty much everyone raised their arms, think that's a good sign. 3 more days.
TheCochese
Banned
I went with a 5.5 total margin earlier in the week. I might have to slightly revise upward.
Manmademan
Member
I had to run to the bank (both of them) before they closed, and decided to hit up the popeyes nearby.
went right past the KFC too. no regrets.
sazzy
Member
lol
She said Pennsylvania but was in North Carolina
People sent pizza last night to the grocery store for voters
https://twitter.com/maireadlynn/status/794770538950336512
BrokenFiction
Member
I really wanted to take a chance on TX, and I think it's going to be closer than people realize, but in the end I kept it red.
Michael McDonald ‏@ElectProject 4m4 minutes ago
Two FL wildcards:
-Will be ~2.5 Million more #earlyvote. Some must be prior Election Day voters
-Over 200% more Unaffiliated early voters
Man the Independent numbers in FL are nuts. I wonder how much Hill is going to win them by in the state, considering this surge is almost assuredly because of Hispanics.
Two FL wildcards:
-Will be ~2.5 Million more #earlyvote. Some must be prior Election Day voters
-Over 200% more Unaffiliated early voters
Man the Independent numbers in FL are nuts. I wonder how much Hill is going to win them by in the state, considering this surge is almost assuredly because of Hispanics.
Xamtheking
Member
Dominos rigged it bigly
And that's some fine ass shit that makes me feel a little better about being an American
Manmademan
Member
yeah, that one's a shame.
There's clearly something crazy going on there, but there's just not enough data where you can say "yeah, this might flip."
brianmcdoogle
Member
First McDonald's and now pizza. Has she no shame?
BrokenFiction
Member
Deplorable Goals.
Already Torn
Banned
Melania quoting word-for-word this Vic Berger video in a NC rally. I was jokingly saying "he's strong, he's smart, he's tough" and then Melania said it at the same time.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=W7uaBjBJs18
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=W7uaBjBJs18
Pence looking like he shit himself and is trying to pass it off unnoticed.
Into the basket with them all!
Carpe Carnim
Member
Ironically, Domino's is owned by a very Socially Conservative family. CCM is most assuredly a Planned Parenthood ally. Suck it Noid!
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
*taps side of nose*
You don't KNOW that the Ds showing up to vote aren't voting for Trump. YOU DON'T KNOW IT YOU CAN'T LA LA LA LA LA LA /joe scarborough
CLINTON CAMPAIGN IS IN DISARRAY at what happened in Nevada. Tons of Reagan Democrats that speak exclusively Spanish coming out to vote for Trump because they are ANGRY at
The Clinton campaign is so incompetent, we are leaning so much about them from Wikuhleak. John Podesta is part of a sex prostitution ring where he eats children. And Clinton hates Catholics or has to "dump" evidence that she doesn't like "those" people. Hillary should be ashamed of herself, lose or lose.
And then in Nevada they can't even get enough voting machines for people at a Mexican grocery store. EMBARRASSING. Clinton campaign should be ashamed of itself.
I actually think that because we are turning out more low propensity voters (aka hispanics and young people) that the Rs are moving people up while we have a chance to expand our base. But like Steve Schalesus says, we must gotv.
I thought he sold the company a long time ago?
newshinycd
Member
Yea I'm in the mindset that AZ, TX, and GA are locked in to go red on Tuesday. That way if they flip, I'll be surprised.
Carpe Carnim
Member
Yeah, but Bain Capital owns it now, so my problem with them stands!
CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS CHERYL MILLS
Fragamemnon
Member
Pence looking like he shit himself and is trying to pass it off unnoticed.
Pretty sure there's some people in Madison pissed at the logo clothing for the University of Wisconsin on display here.
Also Pence looks tired and low energy, but that's forgivable.
You have no idea how badly I want this to happen.
I don't know much about Sandoval, but what little I've read about him seems pretty ok? Of course, he sounds like exactly the kind of moderate candidate who would pivot hard right in a primary.
Hispanics and women. Guessing at least a 60/40 break for newly voting unaffiliated for Hillary.
Manmademan
Member
There are massive polling errors with hispanics everywhere. look at Nevada.
They're going to be writing pretty big books about a fuckup THAT big.
Ah. Well, I guess I can boycott it again which will be easy since I haven't had Domino's in years.
My final prediction:
States I'm not sure about:
Ohio leans Trump I think, but will probably be the closest state this year. Yes, closer than Florida.
NE-2 I'm iffy on, but I think it leans towards Hillary.
Arizona and Georgia are probably Trump, but will be closer than they have been in a long time.
Iowa is gone.
States I'm not sure about:
Ohio leans Trump I think, but will probably be the closest state this year. Yes, closer than Florida.
NE-2 I'm iffy on, but I think it leans towards Hillary.
Arizona and Georgia are probably Trump, but will be closer than they have been in a long time.
Iowa is gone.
That made me chuckle
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
I would bet one or possibly both nuts that the Trump campaign paid absolutely no attention to electors and just farmed it out to whomever the RNC or state GOP parties selected, and there's no guarantee they're all hardcore Trumpers.
KFC should always bee a last resort
Pence looking like he shit himself and is trying to pass it off unnoticed.
He looks like Cotton Hill
Roland_Gunner
Member
She is! Everyone in this thread should read Best Nate's overview of NC. He used the excellent data provided by the NC Secretary of State to build a model to track the early voting and Clinton is on pace to win by around 6 with over half of the vote in. Steven Schale reasonably puts Clinton's margin in FL at 2 points. Even with an extra point from the insane Hispanic turnout, 6 is way more padding than 3.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/north-carolina-early-vote-tracker.html
Friends, I think MA might be going Libertarian this year because my dad jokingly voted them and there are three yard signs on my way to work for Weld.
That's not what his model says. His thing just says that assuming his earlier poll is right, turnout is coming in at exactly the rate his poll projected.
If the poll is wrong and she is behind by 4, for example, then it would show the same thing.
I still don't understand this trick or treating thing. Did lots of people dress up as Trump?
I thought it was the point of Halloween to dress up as a monster?
Going full hopium
I feel like full hopium has to include Georgia.
Wait, they're for Weld and not Johnson? SAD!
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