Very tragic but she of all people should understand that you can't send in ballots for your ancestors because they were racist and you know how they'd vote.
Fact that she has been deciding peoples fates is terrifying.
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Very tragic but she of all people should understand that you can't send in ballots for your ancestors because they were racist and you know how they'd vote.
Fact that she has been deciding peoples fates is terrifying.
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Xamtheking
Member
They spelled "unpleasant" wrong lol
Manmademan
Member
nobody knows anything about turnout in texas other than it's "really high" with "a lot of latinos."
who can say? depends on who those people are and where they turned out.
eBay Huckster
Member
we're getting anywhere from 323 to 413 EVs, 50 to 54 senate seats, and probably in the ballpark of 200-210 house seats
i've got an actual prediction for that first thing lying around in a google response form somewhere
i've got an actual prediction for that first thing lying around in a google response form somewhere
Voysa Reezun
Banned
If your assessment that Trump is winning NH is based on recent polling, why don't you trust the polling re: Hillary and AZ? Hillary's been up in as many polls there over the past three weeks as Trump has been up in NH.
User 463088
Banned
I mean, it's a numbers game at this point. There just aren't enough people left and Trump has no GOTV, unlike the Reid machine, unions and Clinton team.
I just feel a prediction should be based on observable data, not a CNN poll that had Trump winning Clark county. But, it's online predictions, so it doesn't make a difference, just seems odd to me.
Basileus777
Member
@steveschale
VendettaRed07
Member
Special election is in 1 year which they could easily lose.
Why Warren was less of a risk to the Senate than Kaine. I trust a Mass Special senate election than a Virginia one.
RustyNails
Member
So anyone know why Trump is holding rally in Keith Ellison's district in MN, which has a Somali and majority Muslim community?
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Ben Garrison is God.
https://mobile.twitter.com/bunkerwsmith/status/794971433566957568/photo/1
Hail Satan.
https://mobile.twitter.com/bunkerwsmith/status/794971433566957568/photo/1
Hail Satan.
eBay Huckster
Member
you'd trust that right up until they nominate coakley for the tenth time
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Politico reported today that the GOP wants Fiorina to run for the Virginia special election.
This is going to be pretty easy.
This is going to be pretty easy.
User 463088
Banned
Independents lean right. They're Republicans who just don't admit to it. Obama lost them too. This is literally nothing to be worried about.
Can't wait to see his reaction on election night.
Also trump's campaign is delusional there is no way they will beat Romney's EV total in this election.
Voysa Reezun
Banned
Good to see my people rise up against this orange fascist even though the GOP is trying to take away their right to vote.
VendettaRed07
Member
lol..
But seriously I think Kennedy would have run for it; Ted and his old teacher's seat. Don't think anyone is going to take that from him.
Is this people actually registered as independent or "claim" they are independent
Go Big "Hopium" Map - Lebron brings Ohio home for Hillary and Latinos close the deal in AZ. Alaska is the other big surprise. GA will be like NC in 2008-2012, bitterly close.
Big win "Realistic" Map
I cannot wait for all the crow to be served Tuesday night to Trump, his surrogates, and the mainstream media.
Big win "Realistic" Map
I cannot wait for all the crow to be served Tuesday night to Trump, his surrogates, and the mainstream media.
Manmademan
Member
not really, no.
there are about 1700 divisions within the city- polling places are all within a few minutes walking distance. If anyone really wants to go vote they can do so easily without SEPTA.
from an employer prospective everyone knows SEPTA is down and transportation is fucked. no one is going to be on time for anything, anywhere- if employers are even running regular hours. retail and food service are probably running limited hours due to the lack of consumer traffic.
and regional rail is still working, since that's on a different union. That will take you between center city on 10th or so to university city out near 30th street in a couple of minutes. this is where a lot of the schools and business is. Same thing for north broad, temple, etc etc.
If someone really wants to vote, SEPTA not running isn't really going to get in the way of that.
Rockin' Ranger
Member
It's doubtful anyone with a chance of winning a congressional race wants him in their district campaigning at risk of being associated with him so close to the election.
Well, possibly Jason "If I owned a slave it wouldn't affect you" Lewis.
Can you give me more context. Who's lying to them and about what lol? I need to know what he's saying.
VendettaRed07
Member
Are Alaska and Arizona still a toss up? Or did they fall back like a lot of other states did after the Comey letter.
You know how Republicans have a well-earned reputation for being unlikable pieces of shit? Lots of people who otherwise support them don't want their voter registration to be Republican, so they go "independent."
That is questionable. IIf Iowa and Ohio were leaning his way I don't think hilary or her surrogates would have be campaigning in those states in the last minth or so.
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
@LarrySabato
Crystal Ball picks coming Monday. Tentative Elec College total 322-216 Clinton.
Crystal Ball picks coming Monday. Tentative Elec College total 322-216 Clinton.
Here's mine, subject to change:
Nevada? I didn't know you were on GAF Nate Silver.
StopMakingSense
Member
Protip: Nonaffiliated registration != Independent
Edit: oh quoting issue. Yeah Mitchell is a dumb dumb.
322-323 seems to be the most likely outcome by far
I hate this media narrative that Clinton is playing defense in NH and PA by holding rallies there in the days before the election.
It's definitely not that PA & NH don't have early voting so focusing on them the day before the election is important. Nope. Definitely not that! It must be that she screwed up and got lazy and took naps and now she's on the ropes and trying to catch up! Trust me, I'm a televised strategist!
I'm not bitter are you bitter i'm not being bitter
It's definitely not that PA & NH don't have early voting so focusing on them the day before the election is important. Nope. Definitely not that! It must be that she screwed up and got lazy and took naps and now she's on the ropes and trying to catch up! Trust me, I'm a televised strategist!
I'm not bitter are you bitter i'm not being bitter
funkystudent
Member
Got the impression a lot of undecideds this go around seem like people who would normally be republican voters who wouldn't go for Hillary anyway but didnt want to commit to Trump.
I wouldnt be shocked if a lot of those people go Trump.
User 463088
Banned
(((Harry Enten)))
‏@ForecasterEnten
You can agree or disagree with the model. (I have some qualms myself.) But it's empirical & tested. To say otherwise is idiotic.
So, ya. I agree with Harry.
Also, if you (universal, non specific collective you) are willing to give Hillary FL but not NV, that's an interesting assumption that I can't quite square with reality!
‏@ForecasterEnten
You can agree or disagree with the model. (I have some qualms myself.) But it's empirical & tested. To say otherwise is idiotic.
So, ya. I agree with Harry.
Also, if you (universal, non specific collective you) are willing to give Hillary FL but not NV, that's an interesting assumption that I can't quite square with reality!
I was quoting Bill Mitchell.
Well Obama lost them by 5, so by 8 is a little high probably.
That said, you expect him to do a little worse among "republicans" so that's probably that. Her standing with indies will also probably cost her Ohio.
callhitman
Member
can I see your map
StopMakingSense
Member
Yeah I saw you edited. All good!
This is why Harry is the best. He's right and open about it all. That dude really does have a bright future ahead of him.
User 463088
Banned
Ya, 8 is a little higher than what would happen, but I don't think 11 are going to Aleppo. Also, we know that NPA voters are younger and more diverse than the partisans.
My map looks just like the one on 538, except I gave Trump every state he was winning in, as well as NH.
http://www.270towin.com/maps/9BjRl
brianmcdoogle
Member
I like Enten because he made fun of the stupid Nowcast several times, and that Nowcast is stupid.
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