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PoliGAF 2016 |OT14| Attention NV shoppers, democracy is on sale in aisle 4!
- Thread starter eBay Huckster
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Exactly lol. It's just to keep people interested and to turn out and vote.
Frank the Great
Banned
For me the biggest number is the female share. Wow.
Roland_Gunner
Member
If the gender spread stays above 10 points, or even 8, its going to extremely difficult for Trump to win NC.
balladofwindfishes
Member
Women generally vote more than men
cartoon_soldier
Member
Co-Chair & Chief Strategist for @PrioritiesUSA
...what does that even mean.
Seriously wtf
Manmademan
Member
it means he's bad at twitter.
balladofwindfishes
Member
It's the margin Trump's currently winning New York by
Manmademan
Member
I just realized I missed my ten year GAF anniversary by 3 days 
i thought there was a pretty impressive cushion?
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
Two weeks isn't far away from the election. The electorate didn't have the attention span of a fruit fly before... well, this year.
sazzy
Member
politico has a 16-lists-of-16-things about the '16 election
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/2016-election-in-review-230817
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/2016-election-in-review-230817
Probably just counting down the days until election day.
cartoon_soldier
Member
If Dems had mailed back all the requested ballots then yes.
Remember, Romney won Election Day in Florida. So, even Schale says it will be tight as fuck.
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
Yes, he posted "3." yesterday. Put the coffee and cigarettes down for another twenty minutes CS
Days left, you hyperventilating labradoodle.
JHoNNy1OoO
Member
It just feels like forever because of the 24 hour news cycle. I do agree though, maybe next cycle it'll be moved to one week before.
Manmademan
Member
does it even matter? nobody watching those was undecided after debates 1 and 2.
lyrick
Member
cartoon_soldier
Member
Trump's last campaign stop is in Detroit.
I am hoping that is good news and makes the AA voters even more motivated on Tuesday.
I am hoping that is good news and makes the AA voters even more motivated on Tuesday.
nature boy
Member
.
Already Torn
Banned
He just yells that the whole thing has been a giant waste of time and dives for cover when he realizes his African American is in the audience.
Folks, would you look at this. Hillary just said she's in second place. She knows she's losing. She knows she's losing. But there's a rigged system that's gonna help her win. It's a rigged system. We aren't going to let them take it from us.
Fragamemnon
Member
Turnout is up 15-20% in the urban counties where all the votes are. Trump was doomed in the state the minute that was clear given the fact that 60-66% of the vote is already in. Now it's just a matter of if it was enough to get Ross across the finish line.
The reason why you say that is to scare irregular NC young people and left-learning unafiliated white urbanties into thinking McRory might get re-elected. If you want to get out all of your vote an then some, that's what you say because HB2 is enrages urban residents.
I mean, if you talk to a NC white urbanite/liberal you'll find that it's all cheerwine and hush puppies until McRory/General Assembly/HB2 come up and the eyes go crazy and you think they are ready to stab someone based on their demeanor and the anger coming out of their mouth.
cartoon_soldier
Member
What is worrying is Repubs being up 15 fucking percent.
Nazgul_Hunter
Member
Those unaffiliated numbers tho.
CoffeeJanitor
Member
Could be temporarily embarrassed republicans
sazzy
Member
2 days
He's a little behind
Third Strike
Member
I'm not too worried. Democrats have declined in registration numbers since 2012, but unaffiliated voters have now overtaken Republicans as the second largest voting group in North Carolina, and many of them are younger voters. This was to be expected.
Edit: My bad, looks like unaffiliated voters are only 20k less away from Republicans. Still, that's a massive climb in four years.
i thought this was the state where republican registration went up because democrats switched over. so there's just fewer in the state overall. the unaffiliated vote is more than likely aligned with or favors democrats, and probably accounts for the 'closeness' in the polls (although clinton's been leading in most polls in the last week in nc).
Manmademan
Member
not really.
dixiecrats switching from D to R to vote Trump (we saw this in FL...NC has a ton of them as well) plus women overall showing up in greater numbers than 2012 would probably account for a decent chunk of that.
Plasticine
Member
Just another example of Trump being too honest about Republican talking points.
Fragamemnon
Member
They've had little organic registration growth outside of Dems swapping to Republicans so they could vote Trump or Cruz missile in the extremely contested primary. Realize that the primaries in NC have been late in the year forever until this year. This is the first year in decades that primary voting mattered, and Dixiecrats who hadn't voted for a Dem since Clinton '92 finally swapped parties so they could vote (many not for Trump).
The votes are just shifting from election day to early voting (a statewide trend) and the above flip. They aren't just pulling out 100k votes magically given that their most performing areas have negative white population growth. Meanwhile new left-leaning registrants have been NPA-young minorities and whites identifying with values instead of party. In NC you can register unaffiliated and vote in either primary, we had PLENTY (much more than I thought we would tbh) people register and vote for Bernie in the primary. He got 40%(!) here.
What is it about tracking polls that make them so volatile anyway?
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
Nobody goes through the trouble of de-registering out of temporary embarrassment
SporeCrawler
Member
Thats generally good for trump right? Since he can do anything and is a star
nature boy
Member
Beautiful.
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Are we certain some of those just aren't the racists finally finding a reason to vote?
/s
Partisan non-response.
Manmademan
Member
Women are voting at higher rates than men relative to 2012 in every state we have data in.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/...ates-than-men-relative-to-2012-in-EVERY-STATE
This is absolutely not good news for Trump.
As if the racists weren't motivated to vote against the black, muslim emporer the past two elections?
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
They know he needs to flip MI. It's the only reasonable chance he has, and, to be fair, the only state that could probably flip.
If he loses Florida, though, still wouldn't matter. Come on, Hispanic vote!
That was the joke, which I should have ended with "/s." I edited.
Partisan non-response.
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