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[Makai]

Tell that to predictit.

Woahhhh. I hadn't looked in a while. Trump down to 40!

 

[Slayven]

I see Trump decided to do something about his Hispanic support.....

 

[B-Dubs]

Woahhhh. I hadn't looked in a while. Trump down to 40!

I sold when he was around 60c, the drop has been crazy.

 

[noshten]

sestak is a short mess

Can't wait till they get this debate on youtube

 

[Suikoguy]

I see Trump decided to do something about his Hispanic support.....

True, it was way too high.
Telling people he will take any money they are sending him to pay for a wall to keep others out, is perhaps as low as he can go before he starts killing them.

 

[WayneMorse]

Me too. I was on a trump high like a month or two ago and couldn't get enough news of him cause i thought the whole situation was fucking hilarious and terrifying at the same time but now his thing is just kinda getting old to me.

Exactly. Trump memed himself to death basically.

Only thing I worry about is how effective Cruz is gonna be at challenging Hillary.

 

[rjinaz]

I see Trump decided to do something about his Hispanic support.....

Oh shit! Did he hire one as his butler?

 

[hawk2025]

OMG this CNN shouting match <3

 

[User 406]

It's disgusting how Mr. Snuffleupagus has been completely ignored even though he's the only candidate with real solutions. But of course that talking head Kermit the Frog is just pushing the narrative bought and paid for by Big The Letter M and Big The Number 3.

 

[Bam Bam Baklava]

Exactly. Trump memed himself to death basically.

Only thing I worry about is how effective Cruz is gonna be at challenging Hillary.

Not sure what you mean, his support has not eroded so his voters are still lapping it up.

 

[Maledict]

I still think Winsconsin is a 15 point loss for Hillary. If she keeps it below 10 I'd consider that a big victory for her.

Onto New York!

 

[Trancos]

So Sanders winning by ~10 will take this night to a weird place.
It's a double digit win and Bernie's side will celebrate it as so (cutting her delegate lead, momentum, etc)
But it's well under their target for WI, and I think most on HRC side would be quite happy with that outcome. So in a sense loosing by ~10 take HRC closer to the nomination. Everybody wins. lol

 

[User 463088]

It's disgusting how Mr. Snuffleupagus has been completely ignored even though he's the only candidate with real solutions. But of course that talking head Kermit the Frog is just pushing the narrative bought and paid for by Big The Letter M and Big The Number 3.

BREAKING

Kermit released his transcripts of the speech he gave to Big Bird.

"The letter of the day is D"

Clearly, he is in the pocket of big pharma. I'm starting a MoveOn Petition right now to call for his removal. We will not stand for this.

Also, in that California poll from yesterday? Bernie voters in California have a more positive view of Trump than Hillary's voters.

 

[Suikoguy]

BREAKING

Kermit released his transcripts of the speech he gave to Big Bird.

"The letter of the day is D"

Clearly, he is in the pocket of big pharma. I'm starting a MoveOn Petition right now to call for his removal. We will not stand for this.

Also, in that California poll from yesterday? Bernie voters in California have a more positive view of Trump than Hillary's voters.

D? Are we sure we are not talking about the other D?

 

[eBay Huckster]

So I just got that Clinton campaign email containing the entire NYDN interview and :jnc at the last thing it highlights

 

[Macho Madness]

So Sanders winning by ~10 will take this night to a weird place.
It's a double digit win and Bernie's side will celebrate it as so (cutting her delegate lead, momentum, etc)
But it's well under their target for WI, and I think most on HRC side would be quite happy with that outcome. So in a sense loosing by ~10 take HRC closer to the nomination. Everybody wins. lol

Yeah. It's weird to think about it that way but if he doesn't win by a 16 point margin, he needs to make up those needed delegates somewhere else.

 

[Iolo]

I'm afraid Hooper's Store is too big to fail. I think we need to break it up.

"We need to reinstate Caroll-Spinney" —Bert & Ernie Sanders

 

[Thequietone]

D? Are we sure we are not talking about the other D?

Maybe its a Freudian slip.

Spoiler

Seeing as it is Adam, it probably was.

 

[Bam Bam Baklava]

Yeah. It's weird to think about it that way but if he doesn't win by a 16 point margin, he needs to make up those needed delegates somewhere else.

I tried to explain this in the thread. Anything under the target isn't really winning considering the calendar.

 

[Makai]

Are you guys managing expectations or something? Clinton's projected to lose by a couple of points, not 10-15.

 

[Holmes]

Also, in that California poll from yesterday? Bernie voters in California have a more positive view of Trump than Hillary's voters.

Clinton's support in California is more black and brown compared to Sanders' support.

 

[Bam Bam Baklava]

Are you guys managing expectations or something? Clinton's projected to lose by a couple of points, not 10-15.

What difference does it make with regard to the delegate targets?

 

[PBY]

Are you guys managing expectations or something? Clinton's projected to lose by a couple of points, not 10-15.

Yes lol.

Guys your Clinton is showing. She shouldn't lose by more than 5-7ishhh.

And she won't.

 

[Loudninja]

Are you guys managing expectations or something? Clinton's projected to lose by a couple of points, not 10-15.

Something like that.

 

[B-Dubs]

Are you guys managing expectations or something? Clinton's projected to lose by a couple of points, not 10-15.

Bernie needs to win by 15 for it to mean anything at this point in the calendar is what I believe they are saying.

 

[Macho Madness]

Are you guys managing expectations or something? Clinton's projected to lose by a couple of points, not 10-15.

No? It's math.

 

[User 463088]

D? Are we sure we are not talking about the other D?

We've all seen the pictures of Kermit. We know he's a sloppy bottom.

Maybe its a Freudian slip.

Spoiler

Seeing as it is Adam, it probably was.

Maaaybee....

 

[WayneMorse]

Not sure what you mean, his support has not eroded so his voters are still lapping it up.

I'm just assuming his support will start to wane as well.

Who knows though with this year's primary.

 

[eBay Huckster]

Are you guys managing expectations or something? Clinton's projected to lose by a couple of points, not 10-15.

in before she winds up winning by 2 because exit polls understate her support by 3-5% again

 

[PBY]

in before she winds up winning by 2 because exit polls understate her support by 3-5% again

But Bernie wins the Latino vote!

 

[Makai]

in before she winds up winning by 2 because exit polls understate her support by 3-5% again

Like...yeah. That's way more likely than losing by 15. :B

 

[Suikoguy]

Best to worse case scenario.

A win of any amount
\/
A loss by 5
\/
A loss by less than 12
\/ \/ \/
A loss by more than 12.

Something went terribly wrong if it's more than 12, and it will throw into question future races. Any other result just moves up or back the date the primary is over.

 

[Trancos]

Yes lol.

Guys your Clinton is showing. She shouldn't lose by more than 5-7ishhh.

And she won't.

I'm not predicting anything (I'm awful at that, I would lose a coin toss 99% of the time)
The point I'm trying to make is that his target is insanely high for WI, which could result in some weird outcomes like him winning by double digits and everybody being happy about it.

 

[teiresias]

I'm bracing for a 19.5 loss personally.

 

[User 463088]

There can be two perspectives on the numbers.

A 10 point Hillary loss is (perhaps) more than what her campaign was anticipating, but it is still a "loss" for Bernie because he'll need to make up that 4-5% somewhere.

Wisconsin should be a big win for Bernie. It's got everything going his way, really.

 

[eBay Huckster]

though honestly, i'm bracing myself for 15. low expectations give you extremely high moodlets if they get exceeded, fam

 

[shem935]

I was bracing for the idictment tonight personally.

 

[Iolo]

in before she winds up winning by 2 because exit polls understate her support by 3-5% again

don't do this to yourself, not after Michigan and "absentee ballots are counted last"

edit: ok good

 

[eBay Huckster]

don't do this to yourself, not after Michigan and "absentee ballots are counted last"

i mean, with michigan there was also the extenuating circumstance of i hate the shit out of the state devolving me to 2004 for some reason

(and then her campaign exceeded the shit out of my expectations on the 15th)

 

[Makai]

 

[Suikoguy]

Is it cats or birds Sanders, can't have both!

 

[Butts-a-plenty]

Wait, what did Tyler say about tonight?

 

[Holmes]

Those Stephen Harper tears.

 

[User 463088]

Wait, what did Tyler say about tonight?

He said 59/41 Bernie.

 

[Macho Madness]

I say &#128116;&#127995; +4

&#128373;&#127995; +8

 

[pigeon]

My friend from Ohio says that the early vote numbers are showing:

Sanders 99.9%
Hillary 1

Not one percent, to be clear, just that one GAFfer who said he voted for Hillary. He was the only one.

 

[Suikoguy]

Yeah, Sanders +5 is the most likely outcome.

 

[BanGy.nz]

Sanders +8

 

[Makai]

It's a tie!

 

[Y2Kev]

Hopefully all the college students don't get to vote because they don't have IDs!!!