• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

PoliGAF 2016 |OT4| Tyler New Chief Exit Pollster at CNN

Status
Not open for further replies.

Iolo

Member
Also that take-out note is some Ron Paul tier shit. I think a not insignificant portion of Bernie's support is coming from the segment of would be Ron Paul supporters, who have no Ron Paul this round, and wouldn't be voting otherwise.
 
So is Hillary going to have to rely on Super delegates to clinch the nomination or will she get enough pledged delegates by the convention? Cause I'd rather not hear Bernie supporters claim she stole the nomination for the rest of the year and beyond.

Edit: Who am I kidding? I'll probably hear it even if she does get enough pledged delegates.
 

Prax

Member
Not an expert on Canadian affairs, but wasn't the reason Harper was elected so many times was because of the fact that Canada has two leftest parties, and that essentially split the vote? Or four really, if you count the Green and the Bloc Quebecois parties.

Yes. We tend to get left splits due to our consolidated conservative party.

Also the oil economy was doing well at that time and I think Canadians were "punishing" the Liberals for their scandals at first and then failing to get good leadership for subsequent election campaigns led to more Harper Conservative wins.
Left-leaning people tend to be merciless on their own when it comes to purity, it seems. >_> Compared to conservatives who tend to just galvanize and support the message regardless of scandal on their end.

Anyway, I'm a Canadian and I think Hilary is the better candidate for the US (but I'm also a pragmatist at heart with socially progressive leanings). Bernie, I think.. would not do well in Canada either. He'd fizzle out fast as it's kind of clear he has big dreams but little details in his plans (as if some Canadians forget how bottom-of-totem the NDP itself usually is due to having the more socialist/unrealistic goals). Trudeau is also an idealist a bit like Bernie, but he has the fortune of being young and handsome and also surrounding himself with good people with established portfolios (from the establishment itself!). I cannot say I see the same for Bernie since he seems to outright reject making alliances with people who know how to work the system best.

That Bernie seems to get crazed fervent supporters mainly from the internet or something is another aspect that makes this uncomfortable in a hype-train false-prophet sense (sorry internet citizens!).

I think a few Canadians and other non-US citizens have made some really.. unfortunate and uninformed judgments about how US politics does/should work and it makes me cringe in embarrassment every time.
 
So is Hillary going to have to rely on Super delegates to clinch the nomination or will she get enough pledged delegates by the convention? Cause I'd rather not hear Bernie supporters claim she stole the nomination for the rest of the year and beyond.

she'll have a clear majority of pledged delegates but almost certainly won't have 2382
 
I think the anger against superdelegates is justified. I mean, they are for Clinton in suspicious and disgusting proportions that do not represent the 43% of the vote Sanders has got.

But at the same time, such scenario has helped him to further his outsider/ not bought / not corrupted propaganda so... .
 
it's justified until you remember they were put into place after ted kennedy tried to amend rule 11(h) of the DNC and get carter's actual, massive pledged-delegate majority to vote for him

think of them as bonus delegates on top of an overall win
 

Y2Kev

TLG Fan Caretaker Est. 2009
They're not supposed to support based on popular vote. Otherwise you just get rid of them all together!
 
I think the anger against superdelegates is justified. I mean, they are for Clinton in suspicious and disgusting proportions that do not represent the 43% of the vote Sanders has got.

But at the same time, such scenario has helped him to further his outsider/ not bought / not corrupted propaganda so... .

Super delis are needed for a party to retain control in some form.

I would rather not hand the party over to someone who is about to torpedo it in the general.

I mean could you imagine that happening, someone from the outside basically creating an insurgency of uninformed idiots and hijacking the party?
 
Super delis are needed for a party to retain control in some form.

I would rather not hand the party over to someone who is about to torpedo it in the general.

I mean could you imagine that happening, someone from the outside basically creating an insurgency of uninformed idiots and hijacking the party?

could be worse. we could have someone from the inside who lost 37 states and received 3 million less votes try to overturn the actual will of the majority, like what LITERALLY HAPPENED IN THE LAST ELECTION THAT DIDN'T FEATURE SUPERDELEGATES
 

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
If the people cant be trusted why even hold an election?

You see what's going on with Trump? You want that?

Also, they force candidates to make relationships within the party so that when they, hopefully, take office they'll be able to get things done and the party will be unified.

EDIT: Also caucuses are even worse, so unless you're gonna complain about them too...
 
If the people cant be trusted why even hold an election?

To protect yourself from fringe situations where direct intervention is required.

I would rather have the "Oh Fuck" button than go "oh man we should have had the 'Oh Fuck' button installed"

although if you're at that point in your party, it's probably too late and something has gone horribly wrong

superdelegates are a paper tiger, by the time you'd need to call on them to get rid of some crazy candidate the party is already fucked anyway

^^^
 

NeoXChaos

Member
so it looks like at the minimum looking at polling Hillary is going to have at least 2000 pledged+super delegates by the end of the month. May has a total of 251 delegates. She will probably split that with Bernie or slightly under perform getting maybe an average of 40-45% of that amount.
 
superdelegates are a paper tiger, by the time you'd need to call on them to get rid of some crazy candidate the party is already fucked anyway
 

Argyle

Member
Also that take-out note is some Ron Paul tier shit. I think a not insignificant portion of Bernie's support is coming from the segment of would be Ron Paul supporters, who have no Ron Paul this round, and wouldn't be voting otherwise.

I think so too, after talking to some dude (a BernieBro posting on my friends page, I don't know him) who voted for Ron Paul in the past on Facebook that insisted that Bernie was a "libertarian socialist", whatever that means.

He also said he was planning on leaving the country soon, to avoid the civil war he sees coming during Clinton's second term...
 
I think so too, after talking to some dude who voted for Ron Paul in the past on Facebook that insisted that Bernie was a "libertarian socialist", whatever that means.

He also said he was planning on leaving the country soon, to avoid the civil war he sees coming during Clinton's second term...

I hope he remembered to invest in gold and silver
 
I don't think supers are essentially a bad thing. But they show a dissonance with the current state of the democratic voters (members) and the elites. Bernie and his support is not based in a personality cult, but in ideas that a big part of the base agrees.

You would presume such division would be present too with the elites.
 
I don't think supers are essentially a bad thing. But they show a dissonance with the current state of the democratic voters (members) and the elites. Bernie and his support is not based in a personality cult, but in ideas that a big part of the base agrees.

You would presume such division would be present too with the elites.

Democratic party members aren't keen to support guy who calls them all corrupt, not progressive and doesn't participate in down ticket fundraising to support the party. More at 11!
 
Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn
This is surprising to me
Sarah Zoellick @sarahzoellick
Of Laramie County's 51 delegates, 26 will go to @HillaryClinton, 25 will go to @BernieSanders #demcaucus @WTEnews

Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn
Earliest results suggest Sanders not faring as well in WY as UT/ID. Not surprising: it's a closed contest; Obama only won 61 in 08
Not a complete disaster for Hillary it seems.
 

pigeon

Banned
If the people cant be trusted why even hold an election?

Super delegates just raise the bar a person or interest group has to meet in order to take over the party. You might argue about whether that's a good thing, I guess, but Madisonian democracy is literally designed around tempering the errors of the masses, so I think you can't really say it's unAmerican!
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom