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[User 463088]

Benchmark Politics ‏@benchmarkpol 2m2 minutes ago
Final projected benchmark - Sanders 55% - Clinton 45%. There is a 4% MOE so it's possible he could get 8-6, but it's likely a delegate tie.

Hahahahahaha.

 

[Y2Kev]

Wow Bernie campaign in disarray

 

[ivysaur12]

Benchmark saying a likely delegate tie.

Amazing.

 

[User 463088]

Someone check on Tyler. Mess.

 

[Makai]

oh no

 

[ivysaur12]

oh no

FUCK

 

[NeoXChaos]

OR will probably be like that where the Clinton campaign will try and get as many people as they can to turn in their mail in ballot

 

[Holmes]

WERK
FUCK
QUEEN

oh no

w/e the only states that matter coming up are New York, Pennsylvania, and the rest of the April 26 contests. They favor Trump.

OR will probably be like that where the Clinton campaign will try and get as many people as they can to turn in their mail in ballot

Oregon already has ridiculously high voter turnout anyway, even for primaries. Like 70%+ turnout. Mail voting is great.

 

[kirblar]

FUCK

The bad: a contested convention is a little more difficult for Hillary in the general.

The good: a contested convention is far more entertaining for us in the short term.

 

[dramatis]

Would be better if Trump were on top of the ticket though, Dems might do better on the downticket

 

[User 463088]

I wonder if Queen should have thrown a bit of support towards Wyoming. I mean, a tie is a tie is a tie, but still....had she spent a day or two there....maybe could have flipped it.

 

[eBay Huckster]

I wonder if Queen should have thrown a bit of support towards Wyoming. I mean, a tie is a tie is a tie, but still....had she spent a day or two there....maybe could have flipped it.

eh. end of the day, we're talking about 2 extra delegates when even a 1% shift in NY gives her about 5

 

[darkside31337]

So did Hillary get her virtual tie? She should call it a victory

 

[Officerrob]

I wonder if Queen should have thrown a bit of support towards Wyoming. I mean, a tie is a tie is a tie, but still....had she spent a day or two there....maybe could have flipped it.

Doesn't seem worth leaving New York for

 

[StopMakingSense]

I wonder if Queen should have thrown a bit of support towards Wyoming. I mean, a tie is a tie is a tie, but still....had she spent a day or two there....maybe could have flipped it.

Smallest state in the country.

 

[Holmes]

I thought I was being optimistic when I thought Sanders would net 6 delegates in Wyoming.

 

[B-Dubs]

I wonder if Queen should have thrown a bit of support towards Wyoming. I mean, a tie is a tie is a tie, but still....had she spent a day or two there....maybe could have flipped it.

Probably, but it's not worth it for anything but the narrative. NY is the real prize.

 

[Loudninja]

I wonder if Queen should have thrown a bit of support towards Wyoming. I mean, a tie is a tie is a tie, but still....had she spent a day or two there....maybe could have flipped it.

Nah it would have been a waste of time.

 

[User 463088]

No, I agree with you all it's probably not worth the effort. I just like to see her win everywhere and compete everywhere. Did she send anyone to Wyoming? Could have sent Chelsea or something.

Anyway, I'll take this! Hahaha.

 

[eBay Huckster]

I thought I was being optimistic when I thought Sanders would net 6 delegates in Wyoming.

i was actually EXPECTING him to net 6, and now he might net 0

relative to my own expectations, he's underperformed today and on tuesday. i expect him to lose NY by at least 15 which means he'll lose by 25. mess.

 

[Iolo]

No, I agree with you all it's probably not worth the effort. I just like to see her win everywhere and compete everywhere. Did she send anyone to Wyoming? Could have sent Chelsea or something.

Anyway, I'll take this! Hahaha.

Yeah if Bernie has time to compete in the Vatican then surely Hillary could've stopped by Wyoming.

 

[Holmes]

I read on Twitter that Clinton won Natrona county (Casper) with these surrogate ballots, despite Sanders winning the caucus day vote.

 

[User 406]

On the plus side, if they burn down the city, maybe the Browns won't have to play this year.

BENEFITS!

I expect the Factory of Sadness to remain standing, the Q will be the crater. Lebron cried.

Would be better if Trump were on top of the ticket though, Dems might do better on the downticket

I'm honestly not so sure. There's so much rage against the party establishment among Trump's voters that if he doesn't get it, a lot of them might just stay home or go on shooting sprees or something. Trump at the top of the ticket will drive away part of the GOP, Trump not being on the ticket will drive away part of the GOP. Which part is bigger?

 

[Tamanon]

That time would've been better spent meeting the pope.

 

[Y2Kev]

Doesn't seem worth leaving New York for

Yeah I mean it's not an invitation from the po...vatican

 

[Holmes]

Yeah if Bernie has time to compete in the Vatican then surely Hillary could've stopped by Wyoming.

Maybe, but a few % difference in Wyoming is like no delegates whereas a few % difference in New York or Pennsylvania is a half dozen delegates.

 

[dramatis]

Let's not get ahead of ourselves here. Every single time that happens things go bad.

 

[Loudninja]

Let's not get ahead of ourselves here. Every single time that happens things go bad.

Umm what are you talking about?

 

[Holmes]

I thought this was what was going to happen in Washington with the absentee ballots but alas.

 

[User 406]

Umm what are you talking about?

Counting delegates before they're fraudulently stolen.

 

[Daniel B·]

Wow Bernie campaign in disarray

.

 

[Loudninja]

Counting delegates before they're fraudulently stolen.

That reminds me I most go commit FRAUD.

 

[eBay Huckster]

Umm what are you talking about?

counting delegates before they hatch into the will of the people

 

[Holmes]

Clinton won Natrona county but Albany came in big for Sanders.

 

[dramatis]

Umm what are you talking about?

I'm cautious about NY margins

NH, Michigan, Hawaii

Too much optimism for me man

 

[ivysaur12]

Natrona reports (h/t @baseballot): Clinton win there brings Sanders down below 56.3% threshold he needs to avoid 7-7 split. 5 counties left.

Oh my god.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Delegates split. Haha.

What the hell changed in Wyoming

 

[eBay Huckster]

WERK
FUCK
QUEEN

 

[Ziltoidia 9]

PoliGAF cares about Wyoming now.

Wyoming wins.

 

[Suikoguy]

It's amusing cause of headlines like this:

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/10/u...rs-hillary-clinton-ted-cruz-donald-trump.html

 

[ivysaur12]

WERK
FUCK
QUEEN

Idk if there's anything else that can be the thread title after she wins the nomination.

 

[Holmes]

The University of Wyoming is in Albany county but I didn't think it would be so strong for Sanders considering the results in the rest of the state. But to be honest I was expecting 75-25 in every county and if the split is 7-7 then it's a good day. The pendulum is starting to swing the other way now.

 

[Hilbert]

You guys this think is because of the bad week he had? Or did polling kind of predict this?

Edit: Holy shit, I have a tag!

 

[eBay Huckster]

PoliGAF cares about Wyoming now.

Wyoming wins.

I only care about the bear vote.

Idk if there's anything else that can be the thread title after she wins the nomination.

There definitely isn't anything else. That's gonna be OT6 at this rate, eh?

 

[Loudninja]

I'm cautious about NY margins

NH, Michigan, Hawaii

Too much optimism for me man

Sure nothing wrong in being cautious.

 

[And_Gignac]

OLD PEOPLE STOP VOTING AGAINST THE INTERESTS OF YOUR GRANDCHILDREN, U-G-H

 

[B-Dubs]

You guys this think is because of the bad week he had? Or did polling kind of predict this?

Edit: Holy shit, I have a tag!

Grats.

Could be the bad week, I mean everything that could go wrong did.

 

[NeoXChaos]

OLD PEOPLE STOP VOTING AGAINST THE INTERESTS OF YOUR GRANDCHILDREN, U-G-H

are your grandparents Hillary supporters?

 

[Ziltoidia 9]

I only care about the bear vote.



There definitely isn't anything else. That's gonna be OT6 at this rate, eh?

Kinky.

 

[darkside31337]

You guys this think is because of the bad week he had? Or did polling kind of predict this?

Edit: Holy shit, I have a tag!

There was -zero- polling. Its a closed caucus and it would have been impossible to predict the surrogate ballots. Most plausible explanation is Clinton folks got people to vote via surrogate ballots in strong numbers because they werent going to turn out to a caucus.

I fucking loathe caucuses so I'm totally fine with surrogate ballots.