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PoliGAF 2016 |OT5| Archdemon Hillary Clinton vs. Lice Traffic Jam

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ABC7/SurveyUSA

California

Trump 54
Cruz 20
Kasich 16

Clinton 57
Sanders 38

General:

Clinton 56
Trump 34
Owowowowowow.

If that held Hillary would have a lead of more than 400 pledged delegates after all's said and done.

Bernie would need to win almost 80% of the superdelegates to overturn that. Yeah keep fucking that chicken.
 

Kite

Member
lol if Bernie somehow manages to win, he would get all that money she's been "funneling" to the DNC.
 

Suikoguy

I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
Wait, I'm not sure I get this. Correct me if I'm wrong. Sanders' claim is that Hillary raised money in a joint fundraiser for the state parties, but then those state parties gave that money to the DNC in order to help the DNC win in November, right? Has the DNC been spending money to help Clinton yet? I was under the impression they were basically sitting out until the general.

I want to know this too, as I thought the same thing.
 
Wait, I'm not sure I get this. Correct me if I'm wrong. Sanders' claim is that Hillary raised money in a joint fundraiser for the state parties, but then those state parties gave that money to the DNC in order to help the DNC win in November, right? Has the DNC been spending money to help Clinton yet? I was under the impression they were basically sitting out until the general.

The problem is that the money was transferred almost immediately to the DNC from the state parties, not that the DNC is spending the money. It's not like the state parties wouldn't want to keep that money to help the downticket, which is the whole point of the money going to them in the first place.

The other problem is that most of the money spent directly by the Hillary Victory Fund was used to the direct benefit of the Clinton campaign, either in online advertisements or campaign staffing.

These actions can be seen as exploitations of campaign finance laws and allows the Clinton campaign to circumvent campaign contribution limits.

Of course, all of this is perfectly legal, but it's a question of ethics more than anything else.
 

Suikoguy

I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
The problem is that the money was transferred almost immediately to the DNC from the state parties, not that the DNC is spending the money. It's not like the state parties wouldn't want to keep that money to help the downticket, which is the whole point of the money going to them in the first place.

The other problem is that most of the money spent directly by the Hillary Victory Fund was used to the direct benefit of the Clinton campaign, either in online advertisements or campaign staffing.

These actions can be seen as exploitations of campaign finance laws and allows the Clinton campaign to circumvent campaign contribution limits.

Of course, all is this is perfectly legal, but it's a question of ethics more than anything else.

You did not address any of the questions asked.
 
The problem is that by doing this he's really hurting the party. Democrars are supposed to look competent by not being the ones to have a contested convention this year.

Watch the GOP fall in line and Democrats be the ones left with the convention chaos. If I'm a GOP strategist right now l would be very hopeful that I could get my convention to go smoothly.

Bernie is guaranteeing a contested convention.

But if he doesn't have the support of enough delegates (he doesn't) then Hillary still wins on the first ballot and it's not a contested convention in any meaningful sense.
 

PBY

Banned
Honored to have received the endorsement of Lou Holtz - a great guy! #INPrimary #Trump2016

Lou Holtz endorsed Trump?!?
 

Kangi

Member
Dan Merica
‏@danmericaCNN

Hillary Clinton's campaign raised $2.4 million off Trump's "women's card" comment in the last three days of the April q, per @brianefallon.

Proceed, Trump.
 

ampere

Member
Dat 18 point CA GE poll spread. Oh my.

Bernie's campaign is trying its damnedest to make headlines for the GoP to use against Hillary I see! Sad!
 
You did not address any of the questions asked.

You do not seem to understand any of the points I addressed, like this one

brainchild said:
The problem is that the money was transferred almost immediately to the DNC from the state parties, not that the DNC is spending the money.

The Sanders campaign isn't complaining that the DNC is spending money on Hillary.



Sanders doesn't seem to realize this, considering he's throwing around accusations of money laundering.

I agree. Money-laundering is a false allegation. 'An equivalent to money laundering' would be more appropriate.
 
He doesn't even need Indiana. The only way for Trump to lose at this point would be for him to blow California or NJ, and that's not in the cards. It's more likely that Trump breaks 1350 delegates than he comes up short.

I don't disagree. But if he wins Indiana (and it looks like he's going to) then Cruz's battle in California becomes even more uphill and his numbers are looking terrible there too. Barring major polling error or a collapse, the question seems to be just how far Trump will blow past 1237.
 
RUpCSpA.jpg
Cruz is toast, the question is whether he can recover from this to compete in 2020.
 
The problem is that by doing this he's really hurting the party. Democrars are supposed to look competent by not being the ones to have a contested convention this year.

Watch the GOP fall in line and Democrats be the ones left with the convention chaos. If I'm a GOP strategist right now l would be very hopeful that I could get my convention to go smoothly.

Bernie is guaranteeing a contested convention.

i mean that he's guaranteeing something that flat-out isn't happening because clinton's winning on the first ballot, though
 
I agree. Money-laundering is a false allegation. 'An equivalent to money laundering' would be more appropriate.

That doesn't make any sense. She's not money-laundering she's just doing the equivalent of money laundering? If it's equivalent then it's the same. It would be one thing if money laundering was a generalized term or a catch-all, but it's kind of the opposite, it's a very specific term for a very particular crime.

It always bothers me when discourse defaults to hyperbole when you can something factual that retains the same impact. She's exploiting gaps or loopholes campaign finance laws. That's bad enough as written.
 

Kangi

Member
Yeah, I expect Cruz in 2020 to wind up like Santorum... but I'd love it if he won the nomination and gave Hillary a free re-election.
 
That doesn't make any sense. She's not money-laundering she's just doing the equivalent of money laundering? If it's equivalent then it's the same. It would be one thing if money laundering was a generalized term or a catch-all, but it's kind of the opposite, it's a very specific term for a very particular crime.

'Equivalent' simply means 'having equal value or effect', not that two or more things are exactly the same.

You and I could have equal value as human beings, but it wouldn't make us the same person.
 

DynamicG

Member
That doesn't make any sense. She's not money-laundering she's just doing the equivalent of money laundering? If it's equivalent then it's the same. It would be one thing if money laundering was a generalized term or a catch-all, but it's kind of the opposite, it's a very specific term for a very particular crime.

Brainchild is just splitting hairs here for the sake of perception, it's very Bernie like of him.
 

Fox318

Member
Cruz is toast, the question is whether he can recover from this to compete in 2020.

I don't think the freedom caucus like group that surrounds cruz will have the sway to get him elected to office.

Trump taking over the way that he did I think is proof that religiously backed social conservatism may win you Iowa in January but it isn't going to get you a seat at the table.
 

catmincer

Member
The Sanders campaign is getting more and more ridiculous. They just need to stop already. I was pleased to read their fundraising is down around 20 million in April versus march, people are wising up.
 
Dat 18 point CA GE poll spread. Oh my.

Bernie's campaign is trying its damnedest to make headlines for the GoP to use against Hillary I see! Sad!

You mean 22?

Obama beat Romney 60-37. Basically the same as Obama-McCain.

I could see Hillary beating Trump by more by sheer fact of increased hispanic turnout + effectively over race and the late hours seeing a lack of GOP voters.
 
I'm going to go out on a limb and say that one of the defining characteristics of humanity (racism and misogyny) is not caused by black women saying that thug is racist.

Was Andrew Jackson empowered by minority identity politics when he massacred all of those Native Americans or something?
 
The post-Trump GOP is going to give her a free reelection either way.

Eh, it's not hard to imagine the GOP getting a candidate through the primary that could contend with what is likely to be a vulnerable Democratic incumbent in 2020. It'll be another dangerous year especially as the GOP is likely to walk away with control over both houses of Congress in 2018.
 
Eh, it's not hard to imagine the GOP getting a candidate through the primary that could contend with what is likely to be a vulnerable Democratic incumbent in 2020.

The genie isn't going back in the bottle. They're never going to be able to power Ben Sasse through the primary when some asshole like Duncan Hunter will probably run on the "take benefits away from black people and give them to white people" platform. People know that open and loud bigotry can win them a primary and they'll exploit that now.
 
'Equivalent' simply means 'having equal value or effect', not that two or more things are exactly the same.

You and I could have equal value as human beings, but it wouldn't make us the same person.

That's a contortion dependent on a limited mathematical definition. Yes 2+2 = 4 and that is equivalent to 6-2 = 4. The thing we're interested in though is not 2+2 or 6-2, it's the resulting value of four. Language operates on a larger scale and just about any layman's use of the word would implicitly invoke "having the same meaning/use", see Miriam Webster.

And even if we took your rather limited definition it still doesn't make sense. If she's doing something with the same value or effect of money laundering, then it should have the same effect as it no (it should add up to "four")? Please explain how her actions have transformed the proceeds of criminal conduct to mask their origin.

We may have equivalent value as human beings, but you wouldn't describe us as equivalent human beings because that's comparing two very different things. You would say our value is equivalent, not ourselves. Similarly, you would not describe Hillary's actions as being equivalent with the actions of money laundering. Perhaps motivation or intention, but not the actions themselves.
 

PBY

Banned
That SUSA poll compared to the last one:

daveweigelVerified account
‏@daveweigel daveweigel Retweeted Igor Bobic
Since last poll

Trump 54 (+14)
Cruz 20 (-12)
Kasich 16 (-1)
 

snacknuts

we all knew her
GAF, as a voter in tomorrow's IN primary, I have SUPREME POWER in shaping the outcome of this race (or so the media would have me believe). How best to utilize my vote?

I want a dem in the White House, and I realize that Hillary is destined to get the nom. I like a lot of what Sanders has to say, and I like that he's helped to get Hilldawg talking about the issues he's been championing, but I don't like the way he's been handling his campaign for the past month or so.

On the GOP side, I mostly don't care who gets the nom (since I expect any of them to get wrecked come Nov), but I really, really don't want it to go to Cruz. Dude is human garbage.

Right now I am leaning toward voting for Bernie, but maybe I should vote for Trump to help make sure he gets things pretty much locked up? But I also sort of abhor the idea of engaging in this kind of political gamesmanship.
 

PBY

Banned
GAF, as a voter in tomorrow's IN primary, I have SUPREME POWER in shaping the outcome of this race (or so the media would have me believe). How best to utilize my vote?

I want a dem in the White House, and I realize that Hillary is destined to get the nom. I like a lot of what Sanders has to say, and I like that he's helped to get Hilldawg talking about the issues he's been championing, but I don't like the way he's been handling his campaign for the past month or so.

On the GOP side, I mostly don't care who gets the nom (since I expect any of them to get wrecked come Nov), but I really, really don't want it to go to Cruz. Dude is human garbage.

Right now I am leaning toward voting for Bernie, but maybe I should vote for Trump to help make sure he gets things pretty much locked up? But I also sort of abhor the idea of engaging in this kind of political gamesmanship.


I'd prob suggest just voting your candidate. Or Trump. Basically anyone but Cruz.
 
GAF, as a voter in tomorrow's IN primary, I have SUPREME POWER in shaping the outcome of this race (or so the media would have me believe). How best to utilize my vote?

I want a dem in the White House, and I realize that Hillary is destined to get the nom. I like a lot of what Sanders has to say, and I like that he's helped to get Hilldawg talking about the issues he's been championing, but I don't like the way he's been handling his campaign for the past month or so.

On the GOP side, I mostly don't care who gets the nom (since I expect any of them to get wrecked come Nov), but I really, really don't want it to go to Cruz. Dude is human garbage.

Right now I am leaning toward voting for Bernie, but maybe I should vote for Trump to help make sure he gets things pretty much locked up? But I also sort of abhor the idea of engaging in this kind of political gamesmanship.

Trump it up.
 

Gotchaye

Member
So the article has several flaws and you've touched on one of them (and I'm well aware that the fact that the author is Andrew Sullivan doesn't make that statement forgivable.) I think his basic premises are sound, though:

1- Trump is a classic demagogue that our democracy is poorly equipped to handle, especially in an age of social media.
2 - He is exploiting very deep resentment which is felt among a large segment of the population, and it isn't clear that the Democratic establishment is prepared to deal with that over the long term.
3 - Even if Trump himself is unelectable, the dangers of "Trumpism" - open xenophobia, embrace of ignorance, disdain for facts, and threats of violence - are being underestimated, and the sooner he is dispatched the better. I don't think he will be any more gracious in defeat in November than he will be if he loses at the convention in July. It might be better to for us to have him lose there, throw a tantrum, and watch Cruz go down in flames in the fall.

I don't see that we're much more poorly equipped to handle a demagogue now than we've ever been. The basic argument seems to me to fail the Mad Libs test - you could find and replace Trump with a bunch of other historical candidates and come up with equally convincing pieces.

(2) in particular strikes me as questionable, or at least non-noteworthy. Every few decades we have very large segments of the population experiencing deep resentment being a big factor in politics. Actually I think right now this is at something of a low point. The resentment is just more visible because the people experiencing it are feeling a loss of control - there used to be more of them.

On (3) I think it's just as easy to argue that stealing the nomination from him fails to discredit him in a way that him getting his ass kicked by the voters would.

Honestly I think the real danger here is that lots of people who really don't like Trump very much nevertheless end up voting for him because of political polarization. The problem is that the official Republican position is that, yes, Trump is a con-man, a racist, a liberal, and basically Hitler, but he's better than Hillary Clinton. And most of the prominent people saying this don't believe it - I bet Romney and Rubio vote for Clinton. Trump really wouldn't be dangerous at all if mainstream Republicans were allowed to say that they think he should absolutely not be president even if the alternative is a Democrat. Sullivan's idea that the Republicans should do absolutely everything they can to deny Trump the nomination is a total non-starter if they can't do that, but it's also totally unnecessary if they can.
 

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
GAF, as a voter in tomorrow's IN primary, I have SUPREME POWER in shaping the outcome of this race (or so the media would have me believe). How best to utilize my vote?

I want a dem in the White House, and I realize that Hillary is destined to get the nom. I like a lot of what Sanders has to say, and I like that he's helped to get Hilldawg talking about the issues he's been championing, but I don't like the way he's been handling his campaign for the past month or so.

On the GOP side, I mostly don't care who gets the nom (since I expect any of them to get wrecked come Nov), but I really, really don't want it to go to Cruz. Dude is human garbage.

Right now I am leaning toward voting for Bernie, but maybe I should vote for Trump to help make sure he gets things pretty much locked up? But I also sort of abhor the idea of engaging in this kind of political gamesmanship.

Just vote for who you want to.

Or if you want to engage in PURE FUCKERY go for Trump.

Seriously though, vote for whoever you want. Just be sure to check and see if there's any congressional primaries on your ballot and vote in those as well. Go check here. There's a lot of people in various congressional primaries this year.
 
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