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PoliGAF 2016 |OT7| Notorious R.B.G. Plans NZ Tour

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Teggy

Member
Meanwhile, Hillary is like, "look at my cute grandson! Oh, is there campaign news? I really haven't been paying attention. I'm just a proud grandma!"
 
So I have a specific request.

Does anybody know where I could find a internal polling memo with analysis. From previous campaigns? Do those ever come out?
 
I'm paranoid about them trying to screw him in Cleveland. It's largely unjustified paranoia, I know, but still.. making him officially the nominee is going to be a seminal moment for defining the GOP going forward.

Hang in there, Trumpy.. you can do magic things!

It's called evil, kid.
 

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
So I have a specific request.

Does anybody know where I could find a internal polling memo with analysis. From previous campaigns? Do those ever come out?

I'm not entirely sure those get released. Cybit would know better though. All I know is I've never seen one.
 
Spoilers: No Republican wants Scott Walker to actually be president.

ClZmuoZWYAAYQBs.jpg


Chart shows the first choice of Republicans if they had to choose between the 17 guys as of now.

Scott Walker is amazing on paper still though.

So Manafort won. Wow. I'm guessing thus also could suggest the RNC is gaining some leverage on Trump. His campaign is imploding and he needs the party's infastructure ASAP.

But how long until Trump throws another fit and blows up whatever "progress" Manafort or the RNC manage to make.

Are Manafort and the RNC really united in their goals? Manafort is a two-bit man-servant for a dictatorship.
 
I'm not entirely sure those get released. Cybit would know better though. All I know is I've never seen one.
I'm not really looking for the content but more so the style. I have a job interview/test and want to kind of understand who they are written.

I imagine public polling memos (like ppp or luntz) would be stylistically the same just with different data?
 

Valhelm

contribute something
At this point, I'm not sure if Trump can pivot. Denying his own earlier positions will offend his base and make him just as flip-floppy as Crooked Clinton. This won't endear him to many voters.
 
I doubt much will change, it's not like Trump was listening to his advisers.

This is a bigger issue:


Mark Murray ‏@mmurraypolitics 33m33 minutes ago
Trump campaign, by the numbers
- trailing HRC by 6pts in RealClear avg

- Just $2.4M in bank

- Zero ad spending in battleground states

Ouch.

Ali VitaliVerified account
‏@alivitali
Trump camp source downplays Corey's success: he "ran the tour. The tour manager for the Stones doesn't get inducted into the hall of fame."
 

dramatis

Member
Amidst all this excitement, a dull reminder that the rulings from Supreme Court for cases involving abortion, immigration, and affirmative action are due out in the next week and a half.
 

Bowdz

Member
I think he fired Lewandowski explicitly to distract from the racial profiling stuff.

I agree to a point. That bombshell is going to go off at some point and get a shit ton of coverage.

Amidst all this excitement, a dull reminder that the rulings from Supreme Court for cases involving abortion, immigration, and affirmative action are due out in the next week and a half.

4-4, 4-4, 4-4
 

Valhelm

contribute something
Amidst all this excitement, a dull reminder that the rulings from Supreme Court for cases involving abortion, immigration, and affirmative action are due out in the next week and a half.

Stupid question, but what happens if the 8 of them are tied?
 

Bowdz

Member
Now that I think about it, it is pretty crazy that the GOP (beyond Grassely in IA) haven't been hit hard at all over their intransigence over Garland yet. I thought it was going to be a major theme this cycle, but Trump's managed to fuck this up so much that he's turned it into a minor issue.
 
Now that I think about it, it is pretty crazy that the GOP (beyond Grassely in IA) haven't been hit hard at all over their intransigence over Garland yet. I thought it was going to be a major theme this cycle, but Trump's managed to fuck this up so much that he's turned it into a minor issue.
I just don't think it's an issue the voters really understand the importance of or really care for that matter. SCOTUS isn't emphasized in civics classes.
 
yes it is. court decisions are always discussed. Especially warren court
We talked about important cases but so many of them were in the past, people didn't really understand how important the court really is. This issue is just something the Dems will most likely never succeed with on the communications side. Even when the republicans were talking about HRC nominating librullllll justices in debates, I doubt it was connecting with their voters either.

Hillary's already stopped talking about it on her Twitter.
 
yes it is. court decisions are always discussed. Especially warren court

In mine we did a weird thing where we discussed pretty heavily if the SC had too much power, citing stuff like Dred Scott.

You'd leave the class feeling like the SC was a couple bad justices away from being tyrants. And this was from a fairly liberal school from a super hardcore liberal teacher.
 
Scott Walker is amazing on paper still though.

Walker's problem is that the gap between how he looks on paper and how he is in reality is huge. It's kind of the same problem Sarah Palin had back in 2008.

If you're a Republican, then "conservative governor who won over a deep blue state" sounds perfect. There's just a few problems. Wisconsin isn't actually all that blue. He had the good fortune to be up in Republican wave years and to be succeeding an unpopular Democratic governor. He's faced weak opponents each time, the Wisconsin Democratic Party is a mess, and the recall effort earned him sympathy. His act has worn thin in Wisconsin (his approvals are 39-57 in the latest Marquette Law School Poll). He's also just completely out of his depth in a national campaign. He has no ability to improvise or think on his feet, hence you get gaffes like "build a wall with Canada." It's a testament to how bad his opposition has been in Wisconsin that none of his opponents have been able to knock him off his script, because he sounds like a complete moron once you do.

In the run up to the Republican primaries, I wasn't sure how things would shake out, but the one thing I was sure of was that Walker would flame out early.
 

Captain Pants

Killed by a goddamned Dredgeling
In Texas, it's illegal to carry while intoxicated. Of course, they haven't specified what the alcohol limit is and it's technically not illegal to carry while drinking. <_<

I think this just means that designated drivers also have to become designated shooters. It just makes sense.
 
There's a Change.org petition demanding we make Bernie the nominee. And the guy who started it set his profile picture to him lifting his shirt and showing his abs. He wants 8 million signatures. He's at 7k. Can someone convert that using FRAUD and retroactive momentum please
 

Fox318

Member
Spoilers: No Republican wants Scott Walker to actually be president.

ClZmuoZWYAAYQBs.jpg


Chart shows the first choice of Republicans if they had to choose between the 17 guys as of now.

Scott Walker is amazing on paper still though.



Are Manafort and the RNC really united in their goals? Manafort is a two-bit man-servant for a dictatorship.

Pataki is the most electable person on the chart
 
There's a Change.org petition demanding we make Bernie the nominee. And the guy who started it set his profile picture to him lifting his shirt and showing his abs. He wants 8 million signatures. He's at 7k. Can someone convert that using FRAUD and retroactive momentum please

I've outsourced the work to Tyler, but it might be a while before he gets done adding more variables.
 

HylianTom

Banned
The 5th Circuit is likely to be the last one to go liberal. It's pretty well-stacked with conservative justices. When that one goes.. wow.
 
I find the idea that Trump's children are the real brains behind the operation to be hilarious.

Like in my head, Ivanka is Bowser Jr, basically doing all the grunt work and coming up with the ideas, while Trump, as Bowser, just plays his part as the big brute and tries (but fails) to intimidate people and generally just messes everything up because of his ego.
 

Y2Kev

TLG Fan Caretaker Est. 2009
I think it depends. Ivanka is a demigoddess and probably knows she needs to ditch Corey if her father has any chance at winning. His sons though are cave trolls.
 
Earlier Monday morning, Donald Trump and his adult children gathered for a regular strategy meeting at Trump Tower. Also present was Corey Lewandowski, the campaign's embattled manager. According to one senior Trump staffer briefed on the meeting, "things went south for Lewandowski, and he was fired." Shortly after, he was escorted out by security. Paul Manafort, Trump's campaign manager, is now fully in charge.

Lewandowski's ouster was the result of a coup led by Trump's children Ivanka, Eric, and Donald Jr., according to the staffer. And his abrupt dismissal culminates one of the most dramatic story lines of the 2016 campaign.

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/06/trump-kids-ousted-corey-lewandowski.html
 

teiresias

Member
Game Change III is going to be Game of Thrones-length at this rate.

I swear, the HBO adaption will play like a comedy, with scenes of Trump campaign staff running around, screaming, Trump holding severed heads aloft while frantically pointing to catastrophic polling numbers . . .

. . . with quick cuts to Hillary just sitting quietly having some breakfast with Bill.
 
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